Tropical Storm Ophelia possible for Florida

[Dark Knight]

Another area of low pressure is just off the southeast coast of Florida and has shown little movement today. This feature should drift to the north or northwest, which will bring heavy rain and gusty winds to Florida over the next several days. This developing low will combine with a strong ridge of high pressure across the northeastern United States, and the result will be an increase of northeast winds, high surf and rip currents along the east coast of Florida and the Southeast coast over the next few days. This feature also bears watching for potential tropical development.

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/regions.asp?site=atl&partner=

Also, Hurricane Maria and the new Tropical Storm Nate are not expected to threaten the U.S.

[Amraann]

Ahhh that is all the rain cutting into my beach time...

[Dark Knight]

New Storm Could Bring Heavy Rain to Fla.

By JILL BARTON, Associated Press Writer


About 120 miles of Florida's Atlantic coast were under a tropical storm warning Tuesday as a new system formed offshore and threatened to dump up to 15 inches of rain in parts of the state.

The tropical depression could strengthen into Tropical Storm Ophelia by Wednesday, which prompted the warning from north of Jupiter to Titusville, according to the National Hurricane Center. It is expected to bring tropical storm conditions of wind of at least 39 mph to the state by Wednesday morning.

"The primary concern is very heavy rains," hurricane specialist Richard Pasch said. Five to 10 inches were expected over the next few days, with some isolated areas possibly getting 15 inches. The rain was expected to hit areas affected by last year's Hurricanes Frances and Jeanne. Much of the region has recovered but some homes remain covered in blue tarps as owners await new roofs.

Emergency management officials in St. Lucie and Indian River counties said they were monitoring the depression for developments but were not taking any protective action.

"Right now we're looking at this as a rain event," said Nathan McCollum, emergency management coordinator for Indian River County.

At 2 p.m. EDT, the depression had top sustained winds of about 30 mph and was centered about 180 miles southeast of Cape Canaveral. It wasn't moving, but it should start heading north-northwest later Tuesday.

Two other storms were out in the open ocean Tuesday as the busy hurricane season continues. Tropical Storm Nate intensified south of Bermuda, while Hurricane Maria weakened on its way to the colder waters of the north Atlantic.

Nate, the 14th named storm of the season, was centered about 275 miles south-southwest of Bermuda with top sustained winds near 60 mph. Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center said it could reach hurricane strength, with winds of at least 74 mph, by Wednesday.

It wasn't moving, though it was expected to eventually make a turn to the northeast, forecasters said.

"Perhaps by the end of the work week it could be posing a threat to Bermuda, but not the U.S.," hurricane specialist Stacy Stewart said.

Maria peaked late Monday as a Category 3 hurricane with top wind speed at 115 mph. By 11 a.m. EDT, it was centered about 545 miles east-northeast of Bermuda with winds near 100 mph, forecasters said.

The hurricane was only a threat to shipping interests as it moved north-northeast near 7 mph, forecasters said.

Maria is the fifth hurricane of the Atlantic hurricane season. The season began June 1 and ends Nov. 30. Peak storm activity typically occurs from the end of August through mid-September.

Florida has been hit by six hurricanes since August 2004, including Katrina, blamed for 11 deaths in the state.

___

On the Net:

National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

[Beyond Belief]

Geez, our area The Treasure coast is smack in the middle of Jupiter Inlet (Palm Beach) to Titusville (Cape Kennedy). I wonder what time the power will go off. I wonder what week the power will come back on.

[Tom'sGirl]

Geez, our area The Treasure coast is smack in the middle of Jupiter Inlet (Palm Beach) to Titusville (Cape Kennedy). I wonder what time the power will go off. I wonder what week the power will come back on.BB, How is it in Vero now?

My friend called me last week and I know she's fit to be tied because she can't email me about the weather as she can't get her WebTV thingie hooked up in her new condo.

She's computer challenged, relied too long on Web, so hope she learns :D I'm hoping her daughter in Miami comes and sets her up!

[Shadow205]

Geez, our area The Treasure coast is smack in the middle of Jupiter Inlet (Palm Beach) to Titusville (Cape Kennedy). I wonder what time the power will go off. I wonder what week the power will come back on.
Looks like its just going to be a lot of rain BB. Heck you get stronger winds than that in an afternoon thunderstorm.

[Beyond Belief]

Its beautiful here right now. We had a little rain this afternoon, but lighter LOL than the normal 3 o'clock downpour.I put everything in our survival kit except a boat. And hip boots, I hope I have time to run to Sam's.

Vero Beach is fine tonight.

[Dark Knight]

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/regions.asp?a=b&site=ATL

As of 2 PM EDT, Tropical Storm Ophelia was stationary and just
wobbling around mph, east of the central east coast Florida coastline. The center of the storm was near 28.8 north and 79.4 west, or about 80 miles east-northeast of Cape Canaveral, FL. A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the east coast of Florida from Sebastian Inlet northward to Flagler Beach. A tropical storm watch is in effect for the northeast Florida coast north of Flagler Beach to Fernandina Beach.

Maximum sustained winds in Ophelia are near 50 mph, and the storm continues to look better on both the satellite and radar. Steering winds are expected to remain very light and, as a result, the system should wobble around and stay off the east coast of Florida for the next day or two. Given persistent surface pressure falls, very warm water temperatures and only light wind shear, Ophelia should continue to strengthen. There is a good chance that Ophelia will become a hurricane within the next 12-24 hours. The main impact from this system will be heavy rain, mainly along the central and northern east coast of Florida as well as well as the central and northern sections of the peninsula. This heavy rain potential is expected to last over the next few days. There will also be rough surf and rip currents along the east coast of Florida and the Southeast coast of the U.S. over the next few days. The forecast movement of Ophelia is a very complex and difficult one. One option is for Ophelia to move westward across central Florida and wind up in the eastern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Another option is for Ophelia to drift north or northwest along the Florida coast, before turning northeast away from the Southeast coast. Even if this latter option were to occur, there is still a good chance that it could loop back toward the coast next week. The bottom line is that the future movement of Ophelia is very uncertain and all interests along the southeast U.S. coast - and even the Gulf coast - should monitor the progress of Ophelia

[concernedperson]

Just turned into Hurricane Ophelia. Sitting 60 miles off the coast of Florida and not moving. Yuck!!

[Dark Knight]

Just turned into Hurricane Ophelia. Sitting 60 miles off the coast of Florida and not moving. Yuck!!
Uh oh. Everyone nearby be careful, please! Don't take any storm lightly.

[Buzzm1]

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 80 MILES...130 KM.

THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...28.6 N... 79.5 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 985 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.


Real-time Satellite Imagery Loop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

[Beyond Belief]

HOLD ON TO YOUR HATS BOYS AND GIRLS........

CHECK OUT OPHELIA'S 5 DAY FORECAST. LOOKS LIKE THE OLD GIRL IS CIRCLING IN FOR A LANDING.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/092025.shtml

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/204657.shtml?5day

[tybee204]

I hate when they show me in that damn bubble!

[Buzzm1]

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AND ABOUT 220 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 70 MILES.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WAS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...30.0 N... 78.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

[Casshew]

Ophelia regains hurricane strength and could make landfall in South Carolina on Monday or Tuesday, says National Hurricane Center.

Uh oh, Tybee :(

[tybee204]

Which side of the eye is worst to be on? Anyone remember?

[Casshew]

Which side of the eye is worst to be on? Anyone remember?
I think the right

[concernedperson]

Which side of the eye is worst to be on? Anyone remember?

The northeast side.

[tybee204]

OK so if it comes in to the North of me I can evac to the south of me. LOl Im trying to determine where to book reservations tomorrow if i need to. Hotels are still full from Evacuees from NO and Mississippi so it might be difficult

[Casshew]

What is the worst side to be on when there is a hurricane? I have heard there is one side that is worse than the other.

A: The right side of a hurricane usually has the fastest winds, while the left side often has the heaviest rain. (Most people describe hurricane severity by wind speed not rain amounts, even though the number one cause of death in a hurricane is fresh water flooding.)

A hurricane is a whirling mass of thunderstorms that spins counterclockwise. As a hurricane moves, the wind on its right side blows in the direction of the storm's motion. That means a hurricane packing 100 mph winds and moving at 20 mph has a combined wind of 120 mph on that side of the storm. It also means that the forward motion of 20 mph takes away from the opposing wind on the left side of the storm: 100 mph - 20 mph = 80 mph. In this example, that's a 40 mph difference in wind from one side of the storm to the other. The forward motion has no effect on the wind in the front or rear part of the hurricane.

While storm surge generally occurs in the center of a hurricane, higher waves and the onshore wind in the right side of the storm can worsen the surge there. Also, tornadoes are most likely in the right-front part of a hurricane, which makes the right side that much worse.

[concernedperson]

OK so if it comes in to the North of me I can evac to the south of me. LOl Im trying to determine where to book reservations tomorrow if i need to. Hotels are still full from Evacuees from NO and Mississippi so it might be difficult

Consider some of the smaller towns like Melbourne which would be south and fairly far that you may not have to worry about power outages. Of course, you can always go to Miami or Fort Lauderdale where there would be lots of hotels and I doubt many evacuees made it that far.

[tybee204]

Oh Hell im not driving all the way to Florida. Im thinking Stateboro.

[concernedperson]

Oh Hell im not driving all the way to Florida. Im thinking Stateboro.

That would work if there are hotels. Lord, I haven't been there in so many years I hardly remember what it looks like.

[Casshew]

Tybee, how much advance notice do you need to get to the mainland safely?

[poco]

REPEAT AFTER ME:

OPHELIA OPHELIA WE HOPE TYBEE DON'T FEELYA!

Hey, Tybee - I'm in Florida - come on down, but get out as soon as ya can - we may get the next one!

[kgeaux]

Oh Hell im not driving all the way to Florida. Im thinking Stateboro.

Sweetie, make sure you go far enough to be safe! And leave early enough to avoid all the nasty evacuation traffic jams.

[Buzzm1]

OK so if it comes in to the North of me I can evac to the south of me. LOl Im trying to determine where to book reservations tomorrow if i need to. Hotels are still full from Evacuees from NO and Mississippi so it might be difficultWith the direction of travel being the 12 on a clock face--the 12:00 through 3:00 position is the most dangerous area.

[LovelyPigeon]

Ophelia now more than possible for South Carolina instead of Florida.

[tybee204]

Last evac it took me 3 hours just to get across Savannah then 10 hours to Atlanta. We have one road in and out. Statesboro is about 50 miles inland and will probably take me 4 freakin hours to get there.

Hope Hope Hope Ophelia just goes out to see and doesnt turn back in!!

[Buzzm1]

Last evac it took me 3 hours just to get across Savannah then 10 hours to Atlanta. We have one road in and out. Statesboro is about 50 miles inland and will probably take me 4 freakin hours to get there.

Hope Hope Hope Ophelia just goes out to sea and doesnt turn back in!!


Ophelia appears to be beginning to break up. We'll have to wait and see if it reforms???

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

[tybee204]

I love you Buzz. :innocent:

[Casshew]

Ophelia appears to be beginning to break up. We'll have to wait and see if it reforms???

Sure hope it dies, and quick!

[Dark Knight]

From Accuweather.com

Ophelia should slowly strengthen over the weekend and could become a Category 2 storm, or even higher, later in the weekend. Satellite and radar images suggest Ophelia has been moving on a more east to northeast course. The hurricane will move northeastward, then start to loop. However, if it moves more to the east Friday night, it could take that looping path much sooner.

The main impact from this system over the next 24-48 hours will be rough surf and rip currents along the Carolina, Georgia and Florida coasts, especially north of Vero Beach, causing beach erosion and tidal flooding.

The forecast movement of Ophelia is a very complex issue. Ophelia will move north, then northeast, off the Florida coast Friday into the weekend as a weak upper-level trough of low pressure to the north of the storm influences it. This trough will then lift out to the northeast late in the weekend or early next week, leaving Ophelia behind. A large upper-level high pressure area will move into the mid-Atlantic states behind the trough, and should send Ophelia tracking back toward the coast, probably after making a loop out over the water. The location of the center of the high will influence where a potential landfall would be; the farther east that the high tracks early next week, the higher up on the Southeast coast a landfall would occur.

The bottom line is that the future movement of Ophelia will be slow, and all interests along the southeast U.S. coast should monitor the progress of Ophelia into next week.

[tybee204]

About time you wake up DK .

[Buzzm1]

HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 09 2005

...HURRICANE HUNTER FINDS OPHELIA MOVING NORTHEASTWARD WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

INTERESTS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.0 WEST OR ABOUT 255
MILES... 410 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AND ABOUT
240 MILES... 390 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 75 MILES...120 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...30.4 N... 77.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

Satellite Imagery
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

[Buzzm1]

About time you wake up DK .tybee, should worse come to worse, don't worry about a thing; you are in good hands; they have reassigned Mike Brown from Katrina to Ophelia.

[DEPUTYDAWG]

tybee, should worse come to worse, don't worry about a thing; you are in good hands; they have reassigned Mike Brown from Katrina to Ophelia.
:laugh:

:eek:

[Dark Knight]

tybee, should worse come to worse, don't worry about a thing; you are in good hands; they have reassigned Mike Brown from Katrina to Ophelia.
:eek: :eek: :eek: You are gonna be SO banned!!! :p

Forecasters watching erratic Hurricane Ophelia

TALLAHASSEE Fla. (AP) - It has vexed forecasters for days.
Ophelia, which has regained minimal hurricane status, is
centered about 255 miles east-northeast of Daytona Beach, Florida
and about 240 miles south-southeast of Charleston, South Carolina.
At eleven p-m Eastern, it had winds of 75 miles per hour and was
moving to the northeast at about nine miles per hour.
Forecasters say the erratic storm could possibly threaten the
southeastern Atlantic coast from the Carolinas to northern Florida.
Ophelia is the season's seventh Atlantic hurricane.

[tybee204]

tybee, should worse come to worse, don't worry about a thing; you are in good hands; they have reassigned Mike Brown from Katrina to Ophelia.

Well luckily I have a car , a credit card and flood insurance so Mike brown can kiss my a$$!!!

[LovelyPigeon]

I'm sleeping easier tonite knowing that Michael Brown is now in charge of Hurricane Ophelia.

(apologies to tybee204 LOL)

[Amraann]

Consider some of the smaller towns like Melbourne which would be south and fairly far that you may not have to worry about power outages. Of course, you can always go to Miami or Fort Lauderdale where there would be lots of hotels and I doubt many evacuees made it that far.
Well Tybee if your going to drive down here you may as well drive the extra40 minutes and come to my house ..
I can take you to the place that has fish tacos!!

[Buzzm1]

Well luckily I have a car , a credit card and flood insurance so Mike brown can kiss my a$$!!!Oops tybee, Ophelia appears to have reformed, but it hasn't, as yet, made that turn to the Northwest. BTW, where is Tybee Island--I couldn't find it on the map.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

There will be another major update in about 45 minutes.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...SOME STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST AND OPHELIA COULD AGAIN BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...31.2 N... 76.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.

[Buzzm1]

HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005

...AN AIR FORCE PLANE MEASURED 80 MPH WINDS IN OPHELIA...NOW A
HURRICANE AGAIN...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF THE SAVANNAH
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 255 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA HAS SLOWED DOWN AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR
3 MPH. LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 76.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

[tybee204]

HI Buzz
Tybee Island Georgia is right on the Georgia/S Carolina line. I can see Hilton Head , South Carolina from my deck. We are a barrier Island 13 miles east of Savannah.

[Buzzm1]

HI Buzz
Tybee Island Georgia is right on the Georgia/S Carolina line. I can see Hilton Head , South Carolina from my deck. We are a barrier Island 13 miles east of Savannah.tybee, thanks for that info. It appears you may be OK, but stay tuned.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF THE SAVANNAH
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

[JBean]

tybee, thanks for that info. It appears you may be OK, but stay tuned.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF THE SAVANNAH
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
Good for some, not so good for others. Our WS poster Gaia may have to evacuate. She is scheduled for a long awaited surgery to relieve pain associated with herniated cervical discs this Tuesday.

[Buzzm1]

Good for some, not so good for others. Our WS poster Gaia may have to evacuate. She is scheduled for a long awaited surgery to relieve pain associated with herniated cervical discs this Tuesday.Where is Gaia located?? Perhaps she'll get lucky and not have to evacuate. They are saying that along with Ophelia slowing down, it will begin a gradual turn on Sunday toward the West/Northwest; however, the track of this storm has been erratic, so that could change. We'll do our best to wish the storm away from her area.

[JBean]

Where is Gaia located?? Perhaps she'll get lucky and not have to evacuate. They are saying that along with Ophelia slowing down, it will begin a gradual turn on Sunday toward the West/Northwest; however, the track of this storm has been erratic, so that could change. We'll do our best to wish the storm away from her area.
Hi Buzz
Oriental, North Carolina. She is having the exact surgery I just had and I know she is anxious to get it over with.

[Buzzm1]

Hi Buzz
Oriental, North Carolina. She is having the exact surgery I just had and I know she is anxious to get it over with.Hi JBean, what date did you have your surgery, and how are you feeling???

At the moment, Oriental, NC is in the picture. It's a wait and see.

[Buzzm1]

HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005

...LARGE OPHELIA BARELY MOVING...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE
SHIFTED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST OR ABOUT 230 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 240 MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA HAS BEEN MEANDERING MAINLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH.
LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N... 76.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

[JBean]

Hi JBean, what date did you have your surgery, and how are you feeling???

At the moment, Oriental, NC is in the picture. It's a wait and see.9/1. Anterior cervical discectomy with double fusion. Buzz, I got the titanium mesh cages,plates, bolts and cadaver bone and the whole nine yards. I'm bionic!
I am still mending but I feel just fantastic. Some typical post-surgical discomfort and local neck pain, but no headaches and the radiculopathy is gone.
*sigh* I know you know that relief is a good thing. thanks for asking.

[Dark Knight]

Hurricane Watch Posted for Southeast Coast

By BRUCE SMITH, Associated Press Writer


A hurricane watch was posted Saturday for the Southeast coast as Ophelia strengthened into a hurricane once again and meteorologists said its meandering course could take a sharp turn toward land.

A hurricane watch was posted along a 300-mile stretch from the Georgia-South Carolina state line to North Carolina's Cape Lookout, meaning hurricane-force wind of at least 74 mph was possible by Sunday evening, the National Hurricane Center said.

South Carolina state emergency officials said a decision would be made later Saturday whether any evacuations would be ordered, but Charleston County announced it would open shelters Saturday evening for voluntary evacuees from low-lying areas and barrier islands.

"We don't think it's a done deal yet," said Joe Farmer, a spokesman for the South Carolina Emergency Management Division. "It's moving really slow so we have to hang with it. But there is some expectation it will move toward the coast."

Emergency management directors along the North Carolina coast said they were prepared for Ophelia and warned residents not to be complacent.

The crew of an Air Force hurricane hunter airplane flying through Ophelia measured top sustained wind of 80 mph. It could strengthen a bit before an expected Monday landfall, said Eric Blake, a meteorologist at the hurricane center in Miami.

"Almost every (computer) model indicates a United States landfall," he said. "It's time to make those preparations."

At 2 p.m. EDT Saturday, Ophelia was centered about 225 miles east-southeast of Charleston, S.C., and about 255 miles south-southwest of Cape Hatteras, N.C. It was drifting northeast at about 3 mph, but was expected to head to the northwest, toward the coast, on Sunday.

Ophelia was already contributing to rough surf along the coast.

"There are large swells from Ophelia and residual swells from (Tropical Storm) Nate and from the northeast winds we've had over the past few days. You can imagine how confused the seas are," said meteorologist Steve Pfaff at the National Weather Service in Wilmington, N.C. He said a buoy at Frying Pan Shoals, 35 miles off Cape Fear, was reporting 12-foot waves.

Nate and another tropical storm, Maria, posed no threat to land as they weakened over the cooler water of the north Atlantic.

If Ophelia makes landfall in South Carolina it would the third hurricane in 13 months to strike the state. Hurricanes Charlie and Gaston hit the South Carolina coast last season in the same general area.

Ophelia is the seventh hurricane in this year's busy Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and ends Nov. 30. Peak storm activity typically occurs from the end of August through mid-September.

___

On the Net:

National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

[concernedperson]

OK, Tybee there's your warning. You will get some wind and water, hopefully not much but better to be safe. Let us know where you land. God Bless!

[JBean]

Does that include Gaia's area? Oriental, NC?

[Buzzm1]

HI Buzz
Tybee Island Georgia is right on the Georgia/S Carolina line. I can see Hilton Head , South Carolina from my deck. We are a barrier Island 13 miles east of Savannah.tybee, you should be safe, and shouldn't have to evacuate, as the hurricane will most likely end up making landfall far North of you. At 11:00PM EDT there will another major advisory which will most likely shift the area of concern from North Carolina Northward. It's moving almost directly North at the moment at 2mph, and is well East of you.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005

LOCATION A B C D E
SAVANNAH GA X 2 5 5 12
CHARLESTON SC 1 6 5 4 16
MYRTLE BEACH SC 6 7 3 3 19
WILMINGTON NC 10 6 2 2 20
MOREHEAD CITY NC 9 6 2 2 19
CAPE HATTERAS NC 2 7 2 3 14
NORFOLK VA X 3 4 4 11

COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
C FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON
D FROM 2PM MON TO 2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

[Buzzm1]

Does that include Gaia's area? Oriental, NC?NC is still in the projected path, based on the current track, and expected turn towards the Northwest sometime tomorrow.. It appears that tybee is just about free and clear though. The 11:00PM EDT advisory should tell us more.

[Buzzm1]

8:00PM EDT Update

OPHELIA HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. LITTLE MOTION IS
ANTICIPATED THE REST OF TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N... 75.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

[Buzzm1]

HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005

...OPHELIA AGAIN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE
SHIFTED NORTHWARD ON SUNDAY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST OR ABOUT 255 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 235 MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
NOAA BUOY 41002 LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 47 MPH.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 150 MILES...240 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N... 75.8 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

[Buzzm1]

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST OR ABOUT 265 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 250 MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
HURRICANE HUNTERS IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 75.7 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 978 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

[Dark Knight]

Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Off Carolinas

By BRUCE SMITH, Associated Press Writer


Hurricane Ophelia sat off the coast of the Carolinas on Sunday and a meteorologist said it was a waiting game to see where, and if, the storm comes ashore.

"This one is sitting still," said meteorologist Gil Wagi at the National Weather Service bureau in Newport, N.C.

The hurricane's top sustained wind decreased from 85 mph earlier in the day to 80 mph at 11 a.m. A hurricane watch remained in effect from just north of Edisto Beach, S.C., to North Carolina's Cape Lookout, a stretch of more than 250 miles.

Although there was a chance Ophelia could remain at sea, most computer models bring the hurricane close to the Carolinas late Tuesday or early Wednesday, said Daniel Brown, a meteorologist with the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

"They'll be feeling the effects there in portions of the Carolinas even if it stays offshore," he said.

Conditions don't appear too favorable for Ophelia to strengthen much, he said.

North Carolina Gov. Mike Easley declared a state of emergency as the storm's meandering track shifted northward. The storm was not close enough to make a decision on whether to order evacuations, said Eddie King, Pender County emergency management director.

South Carolina officials said a decision would be made soon about whether to order evacuations, but Charleston County said it would open shelters for voluntary evacuees from low-lying areas and barrier islands.

The storm is "moving really slow so we have to hang with it. But there is some expectation it will move toward the coast," said Joe Farmer, a spokesman for the South Carolina Emergency Management Division.

At 11 a.m. EDT, Ophelia was 265 miles east-southeast of Charleston, S.C., and about 250 miles south of Cape Hatteras, N.C. The storm was stationary after following a meandering course since becoming a tropical storm Wednesday off the coast of Florida.

Ophelia already was contributing to rough surf along the coast.

"There are large swells from Ophelia and residual swells from (Tropical Storm) Nate and from the northeast winds we've had over the past few days. You can imagine how confused the seas are," said meteorologist Steve Pfaff at the National Weather Service in Wilmington, N.C. He said a buoy at Frying Pan Shoals, 35 miles off Cape Fear, reported 12-foot waves Saturday.

Nate and another tropical storm, Maria, were heading toward the cooler water of the north Atlantic.

Ophelia is the seventh hurricane in this year's busy Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and ends Nov. 30. Peak storm activity typically occurs from the end of August through mid-September.

___

On the Net:

National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

[Buzzm1]

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 250 MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA HAS MEANDERED A LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS
ESSENTIALLY STATIONARY. LITTLE OVERALL MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TODAY
OR TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 75.8 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 978 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

[Buzzm1]

HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2005

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT
NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE SHIFTED NORTHWARD LATER TONIGHT
OR ON MONDAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COASTAL REGION
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 255 MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS STATIONARY AND A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...31.5 N... 76.0 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 978 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.

Not at all, a very tightly wrapped, well-defined eye. like Katrina
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

The North Carolina coast is probably getting fairly well battered by wave action.

[Buzzm1]

Forecast Of Eye Path

http://tinyurl.com/8ktnm


Location

http://tinyurl.com/8oj6d

[Buzzm1]

HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2005

...OPHELIA APPEARS TO BE DRIFTING WESTWARD...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE SHIFTED NORTHWARD LATER TONIGHT
OR ON MONDAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COASTAL REGION
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST OR ABOUT 245 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 255 MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA APPEARS TO BE DRIFTING WESTWARD. A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES. A NOAA BUOY 41002 LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF OPHELIA
RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF NEAR 56 MPH.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...31.4 N... 76.2 W. MOVEMENT
...DRIFTING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

[LovelyPigeon]

Does the extremely slow movement portend disaster if Ophelia makes landfall?

[Dark Knight]

Does the extremely slow movement portend disaster if Ophelia makes landfall?
Depends. Sometimes it give it time to strengthen, but forecasters don't think this one will. What it CAN do when it moves this slow, is stay over the area it makes landfall at for a long time, causing enormous amounts of rainfall and greater wind damage, potentially.

[tybee204]

The water tempurature is cooler the further north Ophelia travels. It is much cooler then the Gulf waters which I think makes a difference in gathering strength. But then again I could be totally wrong

[Dark Knight]

The water tempurature is cooler the further north Ophelia travels. It is much cooler then the Gulf waters which I think makes a difference in gathering strength. But then again I could be totally wrong
You're correct about water temperature determining the strength of a hurricane, which is probably why they aren't forecasting significant strengthening. :)

[kgeaux]

Does the extremely slow movement portend disaster if Ophelia makes landfall?


Slow moving hurricanes are sometimes more dangerous than fast moving ones. They dump a lot of rain in one place causing flooding.

[Buzzm1]

HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2005

...OPHELIA TEMPORARILY MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE SHIFTED NORTHWARD ON MONDAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COASTAL REGION
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.4 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 290 MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...31.1 N... 76.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 981 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.

Satellite Imagery Loop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

Forecast Of Eye Path
http://tinyurl.com/8ktnm

Location
http://tinyurl.com/8oj6d

[Buzzm1]

There is a separate weather system to the North of Ophelia that is preventing Ophelia from moving in that direction. They said that weather system would start moving out over the next few days which will then allow Ophelia to begin moving in a Northwest by North direction. If Ophelia waits more than a day to begin making this turn in a Northerly direction, the Georgia coast may come into play.

Forecast Of Eye Path
http://tinyurl.com/8ktnm

Location
http://tinyurl.com/8oj6d

[Buzzm1]

HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT MON SEP 12 2005

...OPHELIA MOVING VERY SLOWLY WESTWARD...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE SHIFTED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COASTAL REGION
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.6 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 270 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...31.2 N... 76.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER KNABB


Satellite Imagery Loop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

Forecast Of Eye Path
http://tinyurl.com/8ktnm

Location
http://tinyurl.com/8oj6d

[Buzzm1]

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 12 2005

...OPHELIA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COASTAL REGION
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 76.8 WEST OR ABOUT
205 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 260
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH AND A SLOW...
GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD...MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA HAS THE POTENTIAL TO RESTRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES FROM THE
CENTER. SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE NEAR THE COAST IN THE
WARNING AREA.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTERS IS
989 MB...29.20 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 76.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH


Satellite Imagery Loop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

Forecast Of Eye Path
http://tinyurl.com/8ktnm

Location
http://tinyurl.com/8oj6d

[Dark Knight]

Tropical storm inches closer toward Carolinas

UNDATED (AP) - Tropical Storm Ophelia continues its slow crawl
along the coast of the Carolinas.
Forecasters say the storm, which has 70 mile-per-hour winds, is
centered about 140 miles east-southeast of Charleston, South
Carolina. It's moving at about three miles-per-hour.
A hurricane warning has been issued from Cape Lookout, North
Carolina, south to Edisto Beach, South Carolina. The warning means
hurricane conditions are expected by late Tuesday.
With the storm's path uncertain, South Carolina Governor Mark
Sanford has called for a voluntary evacuation of oceanfront and
riverside areas in his state's northeastern corner. He was joined
by officials in North Carolina's adjacent Brunswick County.
The storm's slow movement is its primary danger, bringing the
likelihood that it could produce rain for days after coming ashore.


(Copyright 2005 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)

[Buzzm1]

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005

...OPHELIA AGAIN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CAPE
LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST OR ABOUT
140 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 205
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY THE PAST FEW HOURS. A
NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING...AND A GRADUAL TURN
TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES FROM THE
CENTER. OPHELIA'S STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED RELATIVELY FAR FROM
THE CENTER...ROUGHLY 50 TO 60 MILES. THESE WINDS WILL REACH THE
COASTLINE WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41004 RECENTLY
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 39 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA. A STORM SURGE OF UP TO
7 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.

OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...
WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
AND NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...31.9 N... 77.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN


Satellite Imagery Loop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

Forecast Of Eye Path
http://tinyurl.com/8ktnm

Location
http://tinyurl.com/8oj6d

[Buzzm1]

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005

...OPHELIA GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT WOBBLES SLOWLY
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO
SOUND...AND FROM SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z... DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NOAA COASTAL DOPPLER RADARS INDICATE
THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3
NORTH... LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON
NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...
STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND
OPHELIA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE AGAIN LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES FROM THE
CENTER. OPHELIA'S STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED RELATIVELY FAR FROM
THE CENTER...ROUGHLY 50 TO 60 MILES...AND THESE WINDS WILL REACH THE
COASTLINE WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41004 RECENTLY
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 43 MPH WITH A GUST TO 58 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA. A STORM SURGE OF 6 TO
8 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.

OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES OVER FAR NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF NORTH
CAROLINA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...32.3 N... 78.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART

Forecast Of Eye Path
http://tinyurl.com/8ktnm

Location
http://tinyurl.com/8oj6d

[Dark Knight]

Ophelia Regains Hurricane Strength

By PAUL NOWELL, Associated Press Writer


Vulnerable islands were evacuated and mainland schools were closed Tuesday as Ophelia again strengthened to a hurricane and wobbled closer to land with a threat of flooding rain.

The National Hurricane Center upgraded the storm's status Tuesday evening, saying maximum sustained winds had reached 75 mph, with higher gusts. The storm was graded a Category One hurricane, but the center said further strengthening was possible in the hours ahead.

"I don't really want to mess with it," Bruce McIlvaine of Logan Township, N.J., said as he packed to leave the Outer Banks' Hatteras Island before his vacation ended. "You're on a spit of land a dozen miles into the ocean."

A hurricane warning extended from the South Santee River in South Carolina north to Oregon Inlet at Pamlico Sound in North Carolina, meaning hurricane conditions were expected within 24 hours.

A hurricane watch and tropical storm warning were in effect from the Oregon Inlet north to the North Carolina-Virginia line and southward from the South Santee River to Edisto Beach in South Carolina.

After taunting coastal residents for days, the storm appeared ready to move ashore, as heavy rain battered South Carolina's northern coast and the beaches of southeastern North Carolina.

In Carolina Beach, south of Wrightsville Beach, officials reported a foot of water on one road due to heavy wind and a high tide.

Unlike Hurricane Katrina's devastating charge at the Gulf Coast, the week-old Ophelia had been following a meandering path, making predictions of its landfall difficult. The hurricane center's latest forecasts showed it running along the coast, then veering through Pamlico Sound, crossing the Outer Banks and heading back out to sea.

Its slow movement — 4 mph as of 5:30 p.m. EDT — meant heavy rain could linger over land, possibly causing serious flooding. The hurricane center said up to 15 inches of rain was possible in eastern North Carolina.

At least six North Carolina counties ordered mandatory evacuations of some areas and seven others had voluntary evacuations.

Along the exposed Outer Banks chain, all residents and visitors were ordered to evacuate Hatteras Island on Tuesday, visitors had been ordered off Ocracoke Island and the National Park Service closed the Cape Hatteras lighthouse and the Wright Brothers National Memorial in Kill Devil Hills.

Schools were closed in several coastal counties in both North and South Carolina, while classes were canceled at the University of North Carolina at Wilmington and East Carolina University in Greenville.

The Air Force sent some aircraft from bases in Virginia and North Carolina to airfields farther inland and moved others into hangars.

With power outages expected, North Carolina utilities recalled workers they had sent to the Gulf Coast region after Hurricane Katrina. North Carolina Gov. Mike Easley said coastal residents should be prepared to go without power from two to three days.

"The beaches we expect to take a real beating," Easley said. "The bottom line is we're definitely going to get flooding, not just on the coast but in low-lying areas as the rivers swell from the storm surge itself."

South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford had called for a voluntary evacuation of oceanfront and riverside areas in the northeastern part of his state. Virginia Gov. Mark R. Warner declared a state of emergency. National Guard troops were on duty in parts of North Carolina and Virginia.

A surfer was missing along the South Carolina coast, and the search had been suspended because of the rough sea.



At 5:30 p.m. EDT, Ophelia was centered about 110 miles south of Wilmington and about 110 miles east-southeast of Charleston, S.C., and was moving slowly north-northwest. A gradual northerly turn was expected during the night or on Wednesday, but continued erratic motion was likely, the hurricane center said.

The storm's likely path across Pamlico Sound and the Outer Banks would mean the biggest flooding threat would come not from the Atlantic Ocean but from the sounds — the bodies of water between the mainland and the barrier islands, said Jonathan Hobbs, a spokesman for the Dare County Joint Information Center. Wind can push enough water out of the sounds to expose their bottoms, he said.

Ophelia became a tropical storm Wednesday off the Florida coast and later strengthened to a hurricane. It is the 15th named storm and seventh hurricane in this year's busy Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and ends Nov. 30.

___

Associated Press Writers Jeffrey Collins in Avon, N.C., and Tom Foreman Jr. and Martha Waggoner in Raleigh, N.C., contributed to this report.

___

On the Net: National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

[Buzzm1]

HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32A...CORRECTION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2005

...TO CORRECT LONGITUDE ON THE REPEAT SECTION

...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ABOUT 30 MILES OFFSHORE...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT
NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND...AND SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...
INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES
EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF
WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWARD...HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS
REMAIN WEAK...AND AN ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA
IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES. BECAUSE OF THE SLOW MOTION OF THE HURRICANE AND THE
RELATIVELY LARGE EXTENT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...THE HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10
FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.

OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF NORTH
CAROLINA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...32.8 N... 77.9 W. MOVEMENT
...DRIFTING NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.



Forecast Of Eye Path
http://tinyurl.com/8ktnm

Location
http://tinyurl.com/8oj6d

[Beyond Belief]

Hurricane OPHELIA Public Advisory
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2005

...OPHELIA STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD
THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT
NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH OF THE SOUTH
SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...
INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES
SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY
TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO MAKE
LANDFALL ALONG OR PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS
ON THURSDAY. HOWEVER...THE NORTHERN EYEWALL WILL LIKELY MOVE ACROSS
THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA LATER TODAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AND NOAA LAND-BASED
DOPPLER RADARS INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO
NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL OCCURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES. DURING THE PAST HOUR...NOAA BUOY 41013 LOCATED SOUTH OF CAPE
FEAR NORTH CAROLINA REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND 54 MPH WITH A GUST TO
69 MPH BEFORE THE LARGE EYE OF OPHELIA PASSED OVER THE BUOY. IN
ADDITION...TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS HAVE NOW SPREAD ONSHORE THE
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM CAPE FEAR NORTHEASTWARD TO
CAPE LOOKOUT.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10
FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.

OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF NORTH
CAROLINA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...33.4 N... 77.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/141143.shtml

[Buzzm1]

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.

MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. A STORM SURGE OF 9 TO 11
FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.

OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF NORTH
CAROLINA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...33.9 N... 77.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 PM EDT.

Forecast Of Eye Path
http://tinyurl.com/8ktnm

Location
http://tinyurl.com/8oj6d

It appears that the coast Of North Carolina is catching hell, and will continue to, through tomorrow.

[Buzzm1]

HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED SEP 14 2005

...OPHELIA MOVING CLOSER TO THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...
...NORTHERN EYEWALL WITH STRONG WINDS RAKING THE COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM SOUTH
OF LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES
LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT
COMFORT.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 77.2 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES
EAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ON
THURSDAY ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA NEAR CAPE
LOOKOUT. HOWEVER...THE NORTHERN EYEWALL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS TONIGHT... AND OVER THE
NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

DATA FROM A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NOAA LAND-BASED
DOPPLER RADARS INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL OCCURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.

MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. A STORM SURGE OF 9 TO 11
FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.

OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...34.1 N... 77.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM EDT AND 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

Forecast Of Eye Path
http://tinyurl.com/8ktnm

Location
http://tinyurl.com/8oj6d

Carolinas Lashed By Ophelia
http://tinyurl.com/8yyn5

[Casshew]

Buzz ~ you have found your calling, a much better job that Poco & DK :D

[Buzzm1]

Buzz ~ you have found your calling, a much better job that Poco & DK :DLOL Casshew, I am fascinated with the awesome power of nature.

[Casshew]

LOL Casshew, I am fascinated with the awesome power of nature.
Me too!
http://www.casshew.com/tornado.gif

[Buzzm1]

Hurricane Ophelia Soaks North Carolina
Governor Warns Residents to Move to Safety

CAROLINA BEACH, N.C. (Sept. 14) - Hurricane Ophelia lashed the North Carolina coast with high winds and heavy rains Wednesday, beginning an anticipated two-day assault that brought stern advice from North Carolina's governor. With the slow-moving storm expected to produce up to 15 inches of rain in places, Gov. Mike Easley told people to get out of the storm's path." If you have not heeded the warning before, let me be clear right now: Ophelia is a dangerous storm," the governor said from Raleigh, warning of storm surges that could reach 11 feet. As it brushed the coast, Ophelia ripped away one barrier island street and chased emergency personnel to shelter. The storm had sustained wind of 85 mph Wednesday afternoon, according to the National Hurricane Center. The governor urged people to leave flood-prone areas. "We're asking and begging them to do that because it's going to be hard to get them out later," he said. The storm's center was expected to make landfall Wednesday evening in Carteret County, at the corner of North Carolina's central coast.

Satellite Imagery Loop (Be Patient)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

[Dark Knight]

Buzz ~ you have found your calling, a much better job that Poco & DK :D
:slap: :slap: :slap:

[Shadow205]

Do we have any members in the Carolina area that is getting hit by Ophelia?

[Casshew]

:slap: :slap: :slap:
Truth hurts, don't it DK? :crazy:

[Buzzm1]

HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 14 2005

...OPHELIA CONTINUES TO POUND THE CAROLINA COAST...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR IS
DISCONTINUED.

AT 11 PM EDT...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR IS
DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SURF CITY TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES
LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT
COMFORT.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 85 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...AND A SLOW
MOTION TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. WHILE THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PARALLEL AND
PASS A VERY SHORT DISTANCE OFFSHORE THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THE NORTHWEST EYEWALL IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN OVER THE OUTER BANKS DURING THIS PERIOD.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...PRIMARILY LOCATED OFFSHORE IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE EYEWALL...ARE NEAR 85 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. A STORM SURGE OF 9 TO 11
FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.

OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...34.3 N... 76.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM EDT AND 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.

Forecast Of Eye Path
http://tinyurl.com/8ktnm

Location
http://tinyurl.com/8oj6d

Satellite Imagery Loop (Be Patient)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[Buzzm1]

HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 38A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT THU SEP 15 2005

...OPHELIA STALLS JUST OFFSHORE THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS. A PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING
THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 55 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

OPHELIA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY. HOWEVER...A SLOW DRIFT TO THE
EAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR
TONIGHT. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION
WILL BE POSSIBLE. WHILE THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
JUST OFFSHORE THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS... PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN EYEWALL ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER OR NEAR THE OUTER
BANKS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO POSSIBLY 24 HOURS.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...MAINLY
NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. DURING THE PAST
HOUR...A GUST TO 60 MPH WAS REPORTED AT CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA...AND A GUST TO 81 MPH WAS REPORTED BY A NOAA BUOY
LOCATED AT DIAMOND SHOALS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. A STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 8
FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.

OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...34.7 N... 75.7 W. MOVEMENT
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 986 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 PM EDT.

Forecast Of Eye Path
http://tinyurl.com/8ktnm

Location
http://tinyurl.com/8oj6d

Satellite Imagery Loop (Be Patient)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

[Buzzm1]

Ophelia Soaks North Carolina Barrier Islands

NEW BERN, N.C. - Hurricane Ophelia stalled Thursday just off North Carolina's Outer Banks, prolonging the wind and rain blasting the fragile barrier islands even as it appeared the mainland had avoided severe flooding. Thousands of homes and businesses had no electricity. As the erratic storm slowed almost to a halt during the early afternoon, the National Hurricane Center said its northern eyewall, the ring of high wind surrounding the eye, could remain over the Outer Banks for 12 to 24 more hours.

http://tinyurl.com/8r88j