PDA

View Full Version : Trop Dep 18(RITA) ATT FLORIDA (3 storms in atlantic)


Pages : [1] 2

Beyond Belief
09-18-2005, 12:01 AM
WTNT33 KNHC 180240
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

CORRECTED AWIPS IDENTIFIER FROM AT1 TO AT3

...THE EIGHTEENTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE YEAR FORMS TO THE EAST
OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS...
...WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND FOR THE
SOUTHEAST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 11 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/180240.shtml

deanws
09-18-2005, 12:08 AM
WTNT33 KNHC 180240
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

CORRECTED AWIPS IDENTIFIER FROM AT1 TO AT3

...THE EIGHTEENTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE YEAR FORMS TO THE EAST
OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS...
...WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND FOR THE
SOUTHEAST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 11 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/180240.shtmlOH CRAP!! You people don't need any more grief.:( I will keep you in my prayers. I can't believe this.

Beyond Belief
09-18-2005, 12:13 AM
This one could end up in the gulf, so we better pay attention to it.

poco
09-18-2005, 08:02 AM
This one could end up in the gulf, so we better pay attention to it.

Not me, If I don't pay any attention to it, it might go away.

Rita - that would be #18 - what happened????

poco
09-18-2005, 08:06 AM
Looks to me like Florida and La may be spared this time -

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/reconlist.shtml#hunters

Beyond Belief
09-18-2005, 08:36 AM
I guess they don't do Q names.
WE all could get lucky with this one. Philippe is out there spinning like a fish storm so maybe both of them will leave us alone.

Beyond Belief
09-18-2005, 08:56 AM
Good grief! Theres a third one out there...............See whats behind door number 3.


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/danger_atl_latestBW.gif

Amraann
09-18-2005, 12:19 PM
NO FLorida is not spared

Issued this morning was a Hurriciane warning

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DRY
TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.

I live in Key Largo

For now the state parks are being closed and I am not sure if the tourists have been evacced or not ...
There was a huge event down in Key west this weekend.

I will keep you all posted :)

Amraann
09-18-2005, 12:26 PM
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/144728.shtml?3day

Amraann
09-18-2005, 12:34 PM
http://www.comcast.net/news/index.jsp?cat=GENERAL&fn=/2005/09/18/223953.html


MIAMI - A hurricane watch was issued for the Florida Keys as a tropical depression moved over the southern Bahamas on Sunday and was expected to strengthen into a named storm, forecasters said.

The depression had the potential to cross into the Gulf of Mexico, the National Hurricane Center said.

The watch means that hurricane conditions with sustained wind of at least 74 mph are possible by late Monday, according to the Miami-based hurricane center.

Amraann
09-18-2005, 01:04 PM
The news just reported no school tomorrow and they have requested that all non residents evacuate.


http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20050918/ap_on_re_us/tropical_weather


Visitors were told to evacuate parts of the Florida Keys. Monroe County emergency management officials issued the evacuation order for visitors on islands extending from the Seven Mile Bridge through Key West, including the Dry Tortugas.

deanws
09-18-2005, 02:52 PM
The news just reported no school tomorrow and they have requested that all non residents evacuate.


http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20050918/ap_on_re_us/tropical_weather


Visitors were told to evacuate parts of the Florida Keys. Monroe County emergency management officials issued the evacuation order for visitors on islands extending from the Seven Mile Bridge through Key West, including the Dry Tortugas.Gosh! :( I am so sorry for all of you that live in Flordia. Yall have been pummeled long enough. I hope things let up for you all in the next couple of seasons. Flordia deserves a BREAK. Everyone try to stay safe. IMO

Amraann
09-18-2005, 02:55 PM
I know I will be :)


They say go and I am out of here fast.

concernedperson
09-18-2005, 03:02 PM
Rita looks like she is staying on a westward path into the Gulf of Mexico. Trouble!!!

deanws
09-18-2005, 03:33 PM
Rita looks like she is staying on a westward path into the Gulf of Mexico. Trouble!!!:eek: Maybe I need to start gathering my little bag yall told me to pack. IMO

poco
09-18-2005, 04:14 PM
Jesus, it looks like a friggin' tropical storm parade - that one right behind Rita don't look good at all!!!!

http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlstorm5/tropicalatlanticsatellite_large.html

deanws
09-18-2005, 04:18 PM
Good grief! Theres a third one out there...............See whats behind door number 3.


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/danger_atl_latestBW.gifOMgosh.. I just pulled up the screen to see all three storms. I am worried for us here is Texas as well as poor Flordia. Three in a row!!?!?! This is really getting crazy. :confused:

Amraann
09-18-2005, 04:49 PM
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/atvs.html

Phillip I is # 2 in the pick It is said to be no danger to US land .
Heading North in the atlantic.

#1 is TD18 AKA Rita headed towards South Florida.

ANd #3 is yet unnamed ( invest 97L) with no projected path tht I have heard

deanws
09-18-2005, 05:28 PM
A hurricane watch was posted for the entire Florida Keys.

"It does look like that there is the potential for it to become a hurricane, near or just before it reaches the Florida Keys," said Daniel Brown, a meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center.

The watch means that hurricane conditions with sustained wind of at least 74 mph are possible by late Monday, according to the Miami-based hurricane center.

Long-term forecasts show the system heading generally toward the west in the Gulf of Mexico toward Texas or Mexico later in the week, but such forecasts are subject to large errors. That means that areas ravaged by Hurricane Katrina could potentially be in the storm's path.

"Once it reaches the Gulf, really everybody should pay attention at that point," Brown said.

http://aolsvc.news.aol.com/news/article.adp?id=20050918114309990001&ncid=NWS00010000000001


My hope is that it stays weak, and won't do much damage. :chicken:

Casshew
09-18-2005, 05:36 PM
#1 is TD18 AKA Rita headed towards South Florida.

ANd #3 is yet unnamed
After Rita is 'Stan' then hypothetically Tammy, Vince & Wilma and thats it for the year. I wonder if they have ever run out of names?

deanws
09-18-2005, 05:43 PM
After Rita is 'Stan' then hypothetically Tammy, Vince & Wilma and thats it for the year. I wonder if they have ever run out of names?OMG...lol..Wilma. Can you imagine telling your grandkids...yeah honey, we lost everything in the great storm of WILMA. ;) I know storms are not funny. Especially ones in the GOM...when you live along the coastal areas. But, I did laugh out loud when I saw that name. What were they thinking!?!? Probably that the name would never be used. IMO

concernedperson
09-18-2005, 05:48 PM
OMG...lol..Wilma. Can you imagine telling your grandkids...yeah honey, we lost everything in the great storm of WILMA. ;) I know storms are not funny. Especially ones in the GOM...when you live along the coastal areas. But, I did laugh out loud when I saw that name. What were they thinking!?!? Probably that the name would never be used. IMO

Let's just hope that no one finds this name catchy along with Wilda and start naming their kids this.

13th Juror
09-18-2005, 06:13 PM
NO FLorida is not spared

I live in Key Largo

For now the state parks are being closed and I am not sure if the tourists have been evacced or not ...

I will keep you all posted :)



Hey MaryKate! :)

Yes, there is a mandatory evacuation order for all tourists in the Keys vicinity - not sure about residents.

"Rita" may still be only a tropical depression but a "state of emergency" has already been issued. Looks like the Keys are right in her path as she makes her way into the Gulf toward the Texas/Mexico coastline.

Sure hope you have a bag packed, car gassed, cash from the ATM, meds and all necessities for the furry family members ready to roll on out of there.

Stay Safe, MaryKate!! :blowkiss:

13th Juror (further north in Central Florida)

poco
09-18-2005, 06:35 PM
What do they do when they go through the whole alphabet??? Hmmmmm.

AA, BB?????

concernedperson
09-18-2005, 06:40 PM
What do they do when they go through the whole alphabet??? Hmmmmm.

AA, BB?????

Never happened in my lifetime.

Beyond Belief
09-18-2005, 06:50 PM
:waitasec: if we run out of names, do the hurricanes shut down until next season?

deanws
09-18-2005, 07:31 PM
:waitasec: if we run out of names, do the hurricanes shut down until next season?Looking at your location...I bet you are wishing that was true!:eek: Stay safe BB. IMO

Amraann
09-18-2005, 07:35 PM
They name them alphabetically the I guess would start over at the beginning if we went through the list.

NO evac for residence yet only those in Mobile homes (not sure if that is mandatory)

We have the shudders up and the SHelters are open which is a good sign as I have been told they don't even open the shelters for anything beyond a 1 they just evac the entire keys.

So keeping my fingers crossed its just a 1:)

deanws
09-18-2005, 07:40 PM
They name them alphabetically the I guess would start over at the beginning if we wnet through the list.

NO evac for residence yet only those in Mobile homes (not sure if that is mandatory)

We have the shudders up and the SHelters are open which is a good sign as I have been told they don't even open the shelters for anything beyond a 1 they just evac the entire keys.

So keeping my fingures crossed its just a 1:)We are keeping our toes crossed for yall too! :D It couldn't hurt could it? IMO

scandi
09-18-2005, 07:43 PM
Last night on CNN I heard the commentor say if they run out of names they then start with the Greek Alpha to Omega. It was the newscaster on the show that starts at 2am on the west coast. Thought that was strange, but he repeated it twice.



Scandi

deanws
09-18-2005, 08:06 PM
Last night on CNN I heard the commentor say if they run out of names they then start with the Greek Alpha to Omega. It was the newscaster on the show that starts at 2am on the west coast. Thought that was strange, but he repeated it twice.



ScandiYes..that is what they are saying.
http://blogs.marylandweather.com/2005/09/what_if_we_run_.html

IMO

Dark Knight
09-18-2005, 08:14 PM
(Accuweather.com) Rita will continue to strengthen given the lack of shear aloft and warm waters in its path. Heavy rain and strong winds will affect the Bahamas over the next couple of days, and we feel that Rita will track across the Florida Straits Tuesday, perhaps as a hurricane before heading west into the Gulf of Mexico. Hurricane conditions could effect the Florida Keys while tropical storm conditions occur farther north into South Florida, mainly from later Monday night into Tuesday. A strong upper-level ridge of high pressure centered over Louisiana is expected to build east into northern and central Florida beginning Monday. This upper-level ridge will keep this feature on a westward track, and we are concerned that Rita could make landfall as a major hurricane across the Texas or Mexican coast late this week or early in the weekend. All interests in South Florida, particularly in the Keys, as well as the Texas coast should monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Rita. Rough surf, rip currents and minor beach erosion will be a threat through Tuesday along the East Coast Florida beaches, especially south of Cape Canaveral.

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/regions.asp?a=b&site=ATL

Dark Knight
09-18-2005, 08:16 PM
Yes..that is what they are saying.
http://blogs.marylandweather.com/2005/09/what_if_we_run_.html

IMO
That blog also said this:

"On the other hand, hurricane specialists say they're also running out of storm systems in the Atlantic. It could be the end of the season. Or, it could be a lull."

Guess it was a lull, eh? Plenty of systems now!

deanws
09-18-2005, 08:27 PM
That blog also said this:

"On the other hand, hurricane specialists say they're also running out of storm systems in the Atlantic. It could be the end of the season. Or, it could be a lull."

Guess it was a lull, eh? Plenty of systems now!Yeah....LOL...I caught that also. :) IMO

Beyond Belief
09-18-2005, 08:34 PM
Two and half more months of hurricane season. LOL

Beyond Belief
09-18-2005, 10:11 PM
Now Fox just said RITA could actually go to the gulf and hit NEW ORLEANS.

WHAT THE HECK!

Dark Knight
09-18-2005, 10:39 PM
Now Fox just said RITA could actually go to the gulf and hit NEW ORLEANS.

WHAT THE HECK!
Meanwhile, genius N.O. Mayor Nagin is bound and determined to return 180,000 people back to N.O. by next week, even thought the levees, as they stand now, couldn't survive even a Cat 3 storm. :doh:

Beyond Belief
09-18-2005, 10:50 PM
I guess he needs the people back so he can continue to be mayor. No people no city. I wonder what they think of him and his invitation to the dome in the first place. He might want to run and hide.

Beyond Belief
09-18-2005, 11:17 PM
RITA MOVING CLOSER TO THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...
...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN FLORIDA...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z... THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS HAS
BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY FROM OCEAN REEF
SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DRY TORTUGAS.

AT 11 PM EDT... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A
HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD TO
FLORIDA CITY AND CONTINUING WESTWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE.http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/182343.shtml

concernedperson
09-19-2005, 09:03 AM
Lower Keys Ordered Evacuated (includes residents)

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,169747,00.html

Amraann
09-19-2005, 12:24 PM
At 3pm it will become a mandatory evac for everyone in the Florida keys..

Just heard on the news ..

concernedperson
09-19-2005, 12:26 PM
At 3pm it will become a mandatory evac for everyone in the Florida keys..

Just heard on the news ..

Be safe. I heard they were expecting an 8 foot surge and possible Cat 2, however it changes frequently. Hit the road and drive safely.

mjak
09-19-2005, 01:28 PM
At 3pm it will become a mandatory evac for everyone in the Florida keys..

Just heard on the news ..

Take care MaryKate. May you and your family keep safe!!!

mjak

BeeBee
09-19-2005, 01:42 PM
Where did I hear this? :waitasec:

Oh well, I heard, or read, lol, that if they run out of our alphabet (of names) they use the Greek alphabet. Alpha, Beta, etc. Anyone else hear this?

concernedperson
09-19-2005, 01:52 PM
Where did I hear this? :waitasec:

Oh well, I heard, or read, lol, that if they run out of our alphabet (of names) they use the Greek alphabet. Alpha, Beta, etc. Anyone else hear this?

Yes, I heard it on CNN.

deanws
09-19-2005, 04:27 PM
http://www.ih2000.net/ira/bmt-wth.htm

Scroll to the bottom of the page. Look at the projected path. It is almost a dead on hit to Galveston. My home is in Baytown. :( At least we have a farm to come to. I am worried guys. I hope all stays well with our Flordia posters which are now on the road traveling.

Beyond Belief
09-19-2005, 04:37 PM
there was so much traffic on I 95 at 3 oclock when I got off work today, i took the back roads home. We are two hrs north of miami and i bet people ae coming all the way up here looking for rooms.

we saw several rain bands this afternoon, but the day is still sunny with wind.

deanws
09-19-2005, 05:05 PM
there was so much traffic on I 95 at 3 oclock when I got off work today, i took the back roads home. We are two hrs north of miami and i bet people ae coming all the way up here looking for rooms.

we saw several rain bands this afternoon, but the day is still sunny with wind.How much damage did you have this past hurricane season? I know you must be feeling nervous. I hope you stay safe. I feel for you guys. Life hasn't been fair to yall lately! :(

Beyond Belief
09-19-2005, 05:53 PM
How much damage did you have this past hurricane season? I know you must be feeling nervous. I hope you stay safe. I feel for you guys. Life hasn't been fair to yall lately! :(
As long as it goes west theres no problem for us. If it heads this way, we are outof here. No damage this season, last year was horrible. But then, I have lived here for 35 yrs and never had any problems with hurricanes until Frances and Jeanne. knock wood.

deanws
09-19-2005, 06:13 PM
As long as it goes west theres no problem for us. If it heads this way, we are outof here. No damage this season, last year was horrible. But then, I have lived here for 35 yrs and never had any problems with hurricanes until Frances and Jeanne. knock wood.I just adore Flordia. It is so beautiful. :) Keep your fingers crossed for Texas too. We haven't had one in a long time...and the city has been over built. If one hits, there will be lots of flooding and damage. Alllison was just a TS and the whole downtown and medical center flooded. :( I hope you guys in Flordia continue to post as much as you can so we will know yall are all right.:angel:

BillyGoatGruff
09-19-2005, 06:41 PM
They name them alphabetically the I guess would start over at the beginning if we went through the list.

NO evac for residence yet only those in Mobile homes (not sure if that is mandatory)

We have the shudders up and the SHelters are open which is a good sign as I have been told they don't even open the shelters for anything beyond a 1 they just evac the entire keys.

So keeping my fingers crossed its just a 1:)
That means there have been 7 named storms since the end of August.
Yikes.

Beyond Belief
09-19-2005, 06:45 PM
I just adore Flordia. It is so beautiful. :) Keep your fingers crossed for Texas too. We haven't had one in a long time...and the city has been over built. If one hits, there will be lots of flooding and damage. Alllison was just a TS and the whole downtown and medical center flooded. :( I hope you guys in Flordia continue to post as much as you can so we will know yall are all right.:angel:
I thought I had heard they were evacuating all ove the keys, but who knows. I just saw some information on Galveston last night. They were talking abt the one from 1900. Very sad story. they did say the bulkhead that was built there works great.

Beyond Belief
09-19-2005, 06:49 PM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 19 2005

...RITA EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA.

AT 5 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS MODIFIED WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR CUBA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...AND
LA HABANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...AND
PINAR DEL RIO.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA CITY AND WESTWARD
TO EAST CAPE SABLE...AND FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN
REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/191800.shtml

concernedperson
09-19-2005, 06:53 PM
The projection at this very early juncture is Galvestion to the west. I, in my uneducated opinion, think Terrebonne Parish in Louisiana. I hope I am wrong. But, if this is the case then New Orleans will experience the NE quadrant and have a significant problem. The only good news is that the area is not heavily populated at this time.

Dark Knight
09-19-2005, 07:12 PM
Local meteorologist just said with all the warm water in the gulf, it could be a Cat. 3 or 4 when it makes landfall.

deanws
09-19-2005, 07:19 PM
The projection at this very early juncture is Galvestion to the west. I, in my uneducated opinion, think Terrebonne Parish in Louisiana. I hope I am wrong. But, if this is the case then New Orleans will experience the NE quadrant and have a significant problem. The only good news is that the area is not heavily populated at this time.Concern, I do hope they are wrong. If it hits Galveston, we here in Houston are in for a lot of trouble. With the shelters already full, this is going to be a nightmare. My husband left our farm today and is headed back to Houston to board up our house down there...just in case. I am worried at the moment. :(

deanws
09-19-2005, 07:22 PM
I thought I had heard they were evacuating all ove the keys, but who knows. I just saw some information on Galveston last night. They were talking abt the one from 1900. Very sad story. they did say the bulkhead that was built there works great.Yes it does. We actually live in Baytown. It will not be protected. It will flood big time. The Houston, Galveston, Beaumont areas are all prone to flooding due to the massive over building. No where to let the water run off if you have most of it covered with houses and buildings.

concernedperson
09-19-2005, 07:29 PM
Concern, I do hope they are wrong. If it hits Galveston, we here in Houston are in for a lot of trouble. With the shelters already full, this is going to be a nightmare. My husband left our farm today and is headed back to Houston to board up our house down there...just in case. I am worried at the moment. :(

What I am saying is I don't think it will be Texas at all. I think it will be Terrebonne Parish. That hurts New Orleans a lot but it could be a little west around Calcasieu Parish and that is not heavily populated. I mean I hope no one is hurt but I would rather see less populated areas. I can't control Mother Nature I just hope for less human tragedy. I am thinking of you and understand your worries.

deanws
09-19-2005, 07:54 PM
What I am saying is I don't think it will be Texas at all. I think it will be Terrebonne Parish. That hurts New Orleans a lot but it could be a little west around Calcasieu Parish and that is not heavily populated. I mean I hope no one is hurt but I would rather see less populated areas. I can't control Mother Nature I just hope for less human tragedy. I am thinking of you and understand your worries.I appreciate that. I do understand what you mean about the less populated areas. I hope people will take this one serious. No one needs to stay if they can help it. Remember Hugo? It was headed right for us and turned in the last 24 hours. It took so many people by surprise because it made that little turn. Many lost their lives because they were not prepared for it to come there. Hopefully, people will take notice now...in light of the tragic situation that Katrina created.

concernedperson
09-19-2005, 08:02 PM
I appreciate that. I do understand what you mean about the less populated areas. I hope people will take this one serious. No one needs to stay if they can help it. Remember Hugo? It was headed right for us and turned in the last 24 hours. It took so many people by surprise because it made that little turn. Many lost their lives because they were not prepared for it to come there. Hopefully, people will take notice now...in light of the tragic situation that Katrina created.

Right now the whole south is braced. No matter where it goes. It is close to panic alert. If I didn't live in Atlanta I would be heading at least 100 miles north. Pick a vacation spot in Colorado would be my suggestion. I just can't see diddling with these storms or the state officials any longer.

poco
09-19-2005, 08:04 PM
Holy crap guys, check this link out - we're being attacked.....

RUN FOR YOUR LIVES!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

Beyond Belief
09-19-2005, 08:41 PM
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/danger_atl_latestBW.gif

concernedperson
09-19-2005, 08:53 PM
This will not be a good outcome.

Dark Knight
09-19-2005, 09:18 PM
Holy crap guys, check this link out - we're being attacked.....

RUN FOR YOUR LIVES!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
There's Poco, always the voice of calm and reason! :p

concernedperson
09-19-2005, 09:25 PM
Actually, I don't think calm and reason applies.I think people should respect there own right to life and give up on the ones we thought were expected to protect us. None of them are doing an exemplary job and a big storm is brewing. So get the hell out of Dodge.

Sassygerl
09-19-2005, 11:17 PM
Ok, this might sound like a really stupid question, but if Rita slams into Texas and is a major storm, how far inland will it be a hurricane/tropical storm???? Thanks.....

deanws
09-19-2005, 11:30 PM
Ok, this might sound like a really stupid question, but if Rita slams into Texas and is a major storm, how far inland will it be a hurricane/tropical storm???? Thanks.....It depends on how large the storm is, how much moisture it contains, how slow the storm moves, ect. There are just so many factors to consider. I don't think anyone can tell you exactly. Also, the movement of warm or cold air around the rest of the areas also effect this.

Sassygerl
09-20-2005, 12:04 AM
It depends on how large the storm is, how much moisture it contains, how slow the storm moves, ect. There are just so many factors to consider. I don't think anyone can tell you exactly. Also, the movement of warm or cold air around the rest of the areas also effect this.

Thanks so much!!! I'm close to the Austin area and was just curious how far these storms (winds mainly) could come inland! While I'm sure we'll ride it out, this storm has caught my eye. We are use to tornados of course, but they typically don't hit in our area. The high winds do concern me though!

BillyGoatGruff
09-20-2005, 01:27 AM
Thanks so much!!! I'm close to the Austin area and was just curious how far these storms (winds mainly) could come inland! While I'm sure we'll ride it out, this storm has caught my eye. We are use to tornados of course, but they typically don't hit in our area. The high winds do concern me though!
Hurricanes throw multiple tornadoes once they move inland. Twisters spawned by Katrina effectively devastated much of Hattiesburg, MS.

FACE-IT
09-20-2005, 04:48 AM
TROPICAL STORM RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

...RITA CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE FLORIDA KEYS...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WARNINGS FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...AND DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE
WARNING FOR ANDROS ISLAND TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS...AND FROM GOLDEN BEACH ON THE FLORIDA SOUTHEAST COAST
SOUTHWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE...THEN NORTHWARD TO CHOKOLOSKEE ON THE
SOUTHWEST COAST.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...AND LA HABANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH FLORIDA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ENGLEWOOD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AS
WELL AS FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...AND PINAR DEL
RIO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR ABOUT 160
MILES... 255 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH
...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RITA WILL BE
PASSING NEAR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS AROUND MIDDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. REPORTS FROM RECONAISSANCE AIRCRAFT CONTINUE TO INDICATE
THAT RITA HAS NOT STRENGTHENED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.
HOWEVER...RITA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES
...195 KM FROM THE CENTER.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 3 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST.

RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER THE WESTERN BAHAMAS AND EASTERN CUBA. STORM TOTALS OF 6
TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN CUBA. STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...23.7 N... 79.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


Hurricane Rita Position
http://tinyurl.com/7ju9l

Hurricane Rita Projected Path
http://tinyurl.com/c4fym

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy


The above links will update automatically, so if someone wants to include them in their future posts, they will be valid for that time.

chicoliving
09-20-2005, 04:52 AM
Thanks for the links buzz! That last one is something else :eek:

FACE-IT
09-20-2005, 04:59 AM
It appears the Keys are going to really catch this one. It isn't looking good for them.

Dark Knight
09-20-2005, 06:26 AM
It appears the Keys are going to really catch this one. It isn't looking good for them.
Not as much as the Gulf coast will when it strengthens over that warm water!!!!

Dark Knight
09-20-2005, 07:02 AM
From Accuweather.com:

Once Rita moves into the Gulf of Mexico it's going to intensify to at least Category 4 strength before making landfall by late Friday or Saturday. AccuWeather's current projected path has landfall somewhere between Corpus Christi, Texas and Lake Charles, La.
http://headlines.accuweather.com/news-story.asp?partner=accuweather&myadc=0&article=0

kato
09-20-2005, 07:48 AM
Concern, I do hope they are wrong. If it hits Galveston, we here in Houston are in for a lot of trouble. With the shelters already full, this is going to be a nightmare. My husband left our farm today and is headed back to Houston to board up our house down there...just in case. I am worried at the moment. :(

This morning on Ch. 13 Don Nelson was showing the evacuation routes from Galveston and Freeport and suggested people drive to Bryan/College Station, Huntsville or Lufkin because Houston hotels/motels are all still virtually full.

kato
09-20-2005, 07:53 AM
Galveston has busses lined up and ready to go but you must call and make a reservation and you are allowd to bring one suitcase.

Shadow205
09-20-2005, 08:48 AM
MaryKate, I hope that you are out of harms way. Do we have any other WS members in the Keys?

Gabby
09-20-2005, 08:54 AM
Rita is now expected to hit the Texas coast this weekend....

poco
09-20-2005, 08:55 AM
This morning on Ch. 13 Don Nelson was showing the evacuation routes from Galveston and Freeport and suggested people drive to Bryan/College Station, Huntsville or Lufkin because Houston hotels/motels are all still virtually full.

OMG, that's right - all those poor people from New Orleans & La might get blasted again on the Texas coast. Unbelievable.

Can this one do as much damage to the Texas Coast as it did to NO - not so much in terms of winds, but in water damage? I know Galveston has sea walls, but are there levees in any of those areas that could possibly break?

I'm on the West Coast of Florida and don't feel out of the woods yet. These things have a tendency to turn if they feel like it. All of the gulf coast should be on guard!!!

Gabby
09-20-2005, 08:56 AM
Thanks so much!!! I'm close to the Austin area and was just curious how far these storms (winds mainly) could come inland! While I'm sure we'll ride it out, this storm has caught my eye. We are use to tornados of course, but they typically don't hit in our area. The high winds do concern me though!



I am concerned about this one also Sassy....In the early 60's we felt the effects of Hurricane Carla as far up as where I am.... lots of rain and higher winds...

kato
09-20-2005, 08:58 AM
Rita is now expected to hit the Texas coast this weekend....

My BF has been preparing for a couple months now. I've just been looking at him and shaking my head. I never worry about storms. But we are way overdue for a doozie. Even though TS Allison did alot of damage we haven't had a major hurriane since Alicia in 82 I think or 83.

Gabby
09-20-2005, 08:58 AM
Hurricanes throw multiple tornadoes once they move inland. Twisters spawned by Katrina effectively devastated much of Hattiesburg, MS.



I have close friends that lived outside of Hattiesburg.... they had a lot of trees down, no power for 10 days, but they said Hattiesburg itself was hit pretty hard

poco
09-20-2005, 09:01 AM
Map of Texas ---

http://www.merriam-webster.com/cgi-bin/nytmaps.pl?texas

Projected path --

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/084912.shtml?5day

kato
09-20-2005, 09:01 AM
OMG, that's right - all those poor people from New Orleans & La might get blasted again on the Texas coast. Unbelievable.

Can this one do as much damage to the Texas Coast as it did to NO - not so much in terms of winds, but in water damage? I know Galveston has sea walls, but are there levees in any of those areas that could possibly break?

I'm on the West Coast of Florida and don't feel out of the woods yet. These things have a tendency to turn if they feel like it. All of the gulf coast should be on guard!!!

I won't say positively but I don't think there would be as much damage just because we are so much more prepared. I'm not trying to minimize how much damage there will or could be.

Shadow205
09-20-2005, 09:19 AM
Rita is a hurricane now. Just upgraded.

Maral
09-20-2005, 09:24 AM
I won't say positively but I don't think there would be as much damage just because we are so much more prepared. I'm not trying to minimize how much damage there will or could be.

Models show 'massive devastation' in Houston

Engineers recently modeled more than 100 Houston-area storms of varying power, speed and landfall. They concluded that a large Category 4 or Category 5 -- a storm only moderately larger than the four that struck Florida last summer -- would cause as much as $40 billion to $50 billion in damage. That's 10 times the cost of Tropical Storm Allison. Full Story (http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/ssistory.mpl/metropolitan/3046592)

poco
09-20-2005, 09:25 AM
If this thing hits where they have it projected to hit, I don't think Bryan College/Station will be all that safe either as far as winds go - it isn't that far inland. I think I'd get it my car and start driving and not stop until I saw the Pacific.

kato
09-20-2005, 09:27 AM
Galveston may issue evacuation orders as early as this afternoon. Busses driving up and down the seawall. Gov. Perry will issue a statement to Texas later today.

kato
09-20-2005, 09:30 AM
If this thing hits where they have it projected to hit, I don't think Bryan College/Station will be all that safe either as far as winds go - it isn't that far inland. I think I'd get it my car and start driving and not stop until I saw the Pacific.

You're right poco, B/CS is not that far away maybe 1 1/2 hours depending which way and which part of Houston you start from.

DEPUTYDAWG
09-20-2005, 11:41 AM
Thanks so much!!! I'm close to the Austin area and was just curious how far these storms (winds mainly) could come inland! While I'm sure we'll ride it out, this storm has caught my eye. We are use to tornados of course, but they typically don't hit in our area. The high winds do concern me though!

I'm very glad you asked, Sassy...as I'm in the Waco area, and it's showing part of the "cone" up as far as us. I figured that's maybe some wind/rain...but it's my understanding that tornadoes are a real concern after a hurricane makes landfall, sooooo......

DPS is already putting Troopers on Rita assignments (schedules already published, on stand-by) ready to rock and roll.

kato
09-20-2005, 12:02 PM
They are moving the remaining evacuees from Reliant Ctr. to a planes that will be taking them to Ft. Chafee, Ark..

kato
09-20-2005, 12:20 PM
Galveston calling for voluntary evacuation to day. Will decide tomorrow whether or not to call for a mandatory evacuation.

kgeaux
09-20-2005, 12:21 PM
Hmm. A friend just called me and said that she thinks she heard the Weather Channel mention Lafayette, LA. as being possibly hit By Rita. I've been cleaning house and not watching TV. Anybody else hear this?

kato
09-20-2005, 12:23 PM
I haven't heard that specifically yet but the radar shows it would probably get rains from the outer bands.

concernedperson
09-20-2005, 12:23 PM
Hmm. A friend just called me and said that she thinks she heard the Weather Channel mention Lafayette, LA. as being possibly hit By Rita. I've been cleaning house and not watching TV. Anybody else hear this?

There was a model yesterday hitting Terrebonne Parish and a northerly route but I haven't heard anything today about it.

kato
09-20-2005, 12:24 PM
Storm has been moved up from hitting early Sat. morning til Fri.. I'm getting all this cuz I'm watching the local news.

kato
09-20-2005, 12:26 PM
Plywood is out for the most part but more is on the way says a Home Depot spokesperson.

poco
09-20-2005, 12:31 PM
Plywood is out for the most part but more is on the way says a Home Depot spokesperson.

I sometimes really wonder what good plywood does, except there is more debris to blow around. I am sure it might save some windows in a few homes when it comes down to it, but all in all, is it really worth it.

kato
09-20-2005, 12:33 PM
I sometimes really wonder what good plywood does, except there is more debris to blow around. I am sure it might save some windows in a few homes when it comes down to it, but all in all, is it really worth it.

It seems quite flimsy to me.

BarnGoddess
09-20-2005, 01:09 PM
Plywood is fine as long as it's anchored properly. My dad made our shutters and they lasted for years. For those of you who want to do it yourself, cut corregated aluminum sheets to fit inside your windows. On the outside of the windows drill holes and fit them with sturdy anchors. Use 2 x 4's bolted to the metal and extended to the holes drilled with anchors. Bolt into the ends of the 2 x 4's with wing nut bolts and washers. You should have at least 2 boards, top and bottom to secure your windows. They worked for us for many years in Florida. Use the plywood with 2 x 4's also if you can't get the aluminum.

deanws
09-20-2005, 01:26 PM
Plywood is out for the most part but more is on the way says a Home Depot spokesperson.Yes, it is. Yesterday my husband got the last three packages of hurricane clips at HD. There was no water left at any of the stores in Baytown. I am glad he shopped early. I do think we are going to be spared the direct hit in Galveston and Houston that was earlier predicted. I am grateful for that. I think this one is going to be a horrible one. The waters are so very hot. As far as flooding....well I don't even need to mention that one do I? Allison was just a TS! :doh: I hope everyone is safely out of the way when this one hits.

Quoted from Baytown Sun..........
We’ve already sold out of water and flashlights,” said a Target Manager Courtney Casey. “We pulled everything from the back today that we thought people would need.

Kroger is also running out of water but expects a half a truck of water to be delivered today.

concernedperson
09-20-2005, 01:27 PM
Rita has just been upgraded to a Cat. 2. Still in the Keys....high tide at 2:30 eastern.....expect a fairly large surge. From CNN.

kato
09-20-2005, 01:29 PM
Yes, it is. Yesterday my husband got the last three packages of hurricane clips at HD. There was no water left at any of the stores in Baytown. I am glad he shopped early. I do think we are going to be spared the direct hit in Galveston and Houston that was earlier predicted. I am grateful for that. I think this one is going to be a horrible one. The waters are so very hot. As far as flooding....well I don't even need to mention that one do I? Allison was just a TS! :doh: I hope everyone is safely out of the way when this one hits.

Quoted from Baytown Sun..........
We’ve already sold out of water and flashlights,” said a Target Manager Courtney Casey. “We pulled everything from the back today that we thought people would need.

Kroger is also running out of water but expects a half a truck of water to be delivered today.

I have cousins in Baytown. They live in Country Club Estates off Decker Rd..

deanws
09-20-2005, 01:36 PM
I sometimes really wonder what good plywood does, except there is more debris to blow around. I am sure it might save some windows in a few homes when it comes down to it, but all in all, is it really worth it.It keeps you safe from flying debris. It also helps with keeping snakes and such out of the house. If you blow out a window...you have no protection from critters looking for a place to get out of the storm themselves. http://www.weather.com/activities/homeandgarden/home/hometips/severeweather/hurricane_shutters.html

deanws
09-20-2005, 01:37 PM
I have cousins in Baytown. They live in Country Club Estates off Decker Rd..We are around the block, in Country Club. Who are your cousins? :p

BarnGoddess
09-20-2005, 01:49 PM
It keeps you safe from flying debris. It also helps with keeping snakes and such out of the house. If you blow out a window...you have no protection from critters looking for a place to get out of the storm themselves. http://www.weather.com/activities/homeandgarden/home/hometips/severeweather/hurricane_shutters.html
See my post on the previous page. If you make shutters and save them you won't have to panic every time there's a threat. Anything to keep the flying debris out is a bonus. If anchored properly, they won't fly off and become debris themselves.

FACE-IT
09-20-2005, 02:47 PM
HURRICANE RITA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

...RITA REACHES 100 MPH WINDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND
FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY ON THE FLORIDA SOUTHEAST COAST SOUTHWARD
TO EAST CAPE SABLE...THEN NORTHWARD TO CHOKOLOSKEE ON THE SOUTHWEST
COAST.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...AND LA HABANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ENGLEWOOD.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM GOLDEN BEACH TO
SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY HAS BEEN DOWGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY TO JUPITER INLET...AS WELL AS FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF PINAR DEL RIO.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 80
KM...SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...
NORTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER
THE FLORIDA STRAITS BETWEEN THE CITY OF HAVANA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS
TODAY. HOWEVER...STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERN EYEWALL
ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS DIRECTLY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE REACHED 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 120 MILES...195 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE
WAS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST.

RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 8 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS..CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN CUBA...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. RAINFALLAMOUNTS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENNISULA. RAINS
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE BAHAMAS.

THERE IS POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...23.9 N... 81.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

Hurricane Rita Position
http://tinyurl.com/7ju9l

Hurricane Rita Projected Path
http://tinyurl.com/c4fym

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

The above links will update automatically, so if someone wants to include them in their future posts, they will be valid for that time.

deanws
09-20-2005, 03:55 PM
See my post on the previous page. If you make shutters and save them you won't have to panic every time there's a threat. Anything to keep the flying debris out is a bonus. If anchored properly, they won't fly off and become debris themselves.Also, they are expensive to make if you have a lot of windows, doors, sunroom, ect...so it makes sense to store them properly so they won't warp. :dance:

kato
09-20-2005, 03:56 PM
We are around the block, in Country Club. Who are your cousins? :p

The Hegmans. They live on Ashland.

deanws
09-20-2005, 04:00 PM
The Hegmans. They live on Ashland.Ok...no, I don't know them. I live on Ironwood. :angel:

kato
09-20-2005, 04:00 PM
Local Homeland Security holding PC here in Houston in a few min. just in case Rita comes here.

Beyond Belief
09-20-2005, 04:02 PM
Four large head bolts in the sills of the window, place measured cut piece of of plywood preferably 3/4 inch, but 5/8 ths will work, in window. If bolts are place right, the board doesn't move an inch. Its easy and the boards pop up in minutes. Just have a fire exit, people have died trapped in the boarded up houses.

deanws
09-20-2005, 04:03 PM
Local Homeland Security holding PC here in Houston in a few min. just in case Rita comes here.Thank you for the heads up! Channel 2?

kato
09-20-2005, 04:04 PM
Thank you for the heads up! Channel 2?

YW 13 & 2.

Glad I have a TV in my office. The guy says they are expecting a catastrophic storm. Hopefully not man!

BarnGoddess
09-20-2005, 04:49 PM
Also, they are expensive to make if you have a lot of windows, doors, sunroom, ect...so it makes sense to store them properly so they won't warp. :dance:
Compared to the cost of shutters that they could buy custom built, they were a pittance. Sheets of corregated aluminum and two by fours wouldn't be that bad. Dad labeled them, kept the bolts in a safe place and they were stored in the carport just under the roof on a shelf he made for them. Lasted for years until they did custom made shutters that slid accross the windows and were decorative on the edge until needed. Something to think about with this cycle of storms the last couple of years. Better to be safe than sorry. If you have to leave, you can be relatively secure that you have protected your home. Masking tape on the window isn't going to stop your thoughtless neighbors' lawn furniture and garbage cans left out to become missles.

deanws
09-20-2005, 04:58 PM
Compared to the cost of shutters that they could buy custom built, they were a pittance. Sheets of corregated aluminum and two by fours wouldn't be that bad. Dad labeled them, kept the bolts in a safe place and they were stored in the carport just under the roof on a shelf he made for them. Lasted for years until they did custom made shutters that slid accross the windows and were decorative on the edge until needed. Something to think about with this cycle of storms the last couple of years. Better to be safe than sorry. If you have to leave, you can be relatively secure that you have protected your home. Masking tape on the window isn't going to stop your thoughtless neighbors' lawn furniture and garbage cans left out to become missles.It sounds like something an engineer would do! LOL...my husband is a civil engineer. You are right I think this is going to be a regular thing for the next couple of season. YULK:eek:

FACE-IT
09-20-2005, 05:02 PM
HURRICANE RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

...RITA PASSING SOUTH OF KEY WEST...MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS...AND FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY ON THE FLORIDA SOUTHEAST COAST
SOUTHWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE...THEN NORTHWARD TO CHOKOLOSKEE ON THE
SOUTHWEST COAST. THE HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
LATER TODAY AS RITA MOVES FARTHER INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...AND LA HABANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ENGLEWOOD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF PINAR DEL RIO.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NORTH OF FLORIDA
CITY AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.2 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 55 MILES...90
KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS TRACK
WILL BRING RITA INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RITA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM. SAND KEY JUST REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60
MPH...97 KM/HR AND A GUST OF 92 MPH...148 KM/HR. VARADERO CUBA
MEASURED GUSTS TO 60 MPH...90 KM/HR.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS
973 MB...28.73 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST....BUT GRADUALLY DECREASING THIS EVENING.

RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 8 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS...CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...EXCEPT UP TO 20 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.

THERE IS POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...24.0 N... 82.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

Hurricane Rita Position
http://tinyurl.com/7ju9l

Hurricane Rita Projected Path
http://tinyurl.com/c4fym

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

The above links will update automatically, so if someone wants to include them in their future posts, they will be valid for that time.

Sassygerl
09-20-2005, 05:10 PM
Breaking News CNN-----Rita expected to be cat 4 by 2 pm ET tomorrow :eek:

Beyond Belief
09-20-2005, 05:15 PM
There is no sheer to effect it over the gulf, so it will strengthen. However it will meet a low off the coast of Texas which might slow it down a a little. This is going to be a very dangerous storm and all precautions should be taken.

The old expression 'DON'T MESS WITH MOTHER NATURE' should be heeded.

deanws
09-20-2005, 05:27 PM
There is no sheer to effect it over the gulf, so it will strengthen. However it will meet a low off the coast of Texas which might slow it down a a little. This is going to be a very dangerous storm and all precautions should be taken.

The old expression 'DON'T MESS WITH MOTHER NATURE' should be heeded.But the slower it travels the more water is picks up....making it all the worse. ;( I am so glad it is going to miss Houston. I feel so bad for who it hits.

FACE-IT
09-20-2005, 05:29 PM
Breaking News CNN-----Rita expected to be cat 4 by 2 pm ET tomorrow :eek:Rita is going to be one nasty hurricane. Pity those poor people living along where it makes landfall. They project the eye making landfall on Saturday, or so; so that's four days from now, and if it is a category 4 by tomorrow?? That's scary

Hurricane Rita Projected Path
http://tinyurl.com/c4fym

poco
09-20-2005, 05:34 PM
Breaking News CNN-----Rita expected to be cat 4 by 2 pm ET tomorrow :eek:

HOLY CRAP....

Still don't understand about the plywood - didn't look like it was much help to most of those homes that got hit by Katrina - maybe if its' a 1 or 2 I guess it might help, but above that, forget it, just get the H out.

Beyond Belief
09-20-2005, 05:40 PM
Poco

Plywood works fine on the windows, just hope your house isn't made of it. LOL

FACE-IT
09-20-2005, 05:41 PM
But the slower it travels the more water is picks up....making it all the worse. ;( I am so glad it is going to miss Houston. I feel so bad for who it hits.I am hoping you didn't speak too soon about it missing Houston. Landfall is about 4 days away; anything could happen between now, and then. But wouldn't it be ironic if it did hit Houston?? Those New Orleans evacuees, that are now in Houston, are going to think they are snake-bit.

poco
09-20-2005, 05:43 PM
Not exactly small, either, is it?????

http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlstorm5/gulfofmexicosatellite_large.html

FACE-IT
09-20-2005, 05:44 PM
There is no sheer to effect it over the gulf, so it will strengthen. However it will meet a low off the coast of Texas which might slow it down a a little. This is going to be a very dangerous storm and all precautions should be taken.

The old expression 'DON'T MESS WITH MOTHER NATURE' should be heeded.It's another big'un. This could be another Katrina. It's a fairly massive hurricane already, with days to go.

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

deanws
09-20-2005, 05:51 PM
I am hoping you didn't speak too soon about it missing Houston. Landfall is about 4 days away; anything could happen between now, and then. But wouldn't it be ironic if it did hit Houston?? Those New Orleans evacuees, that are now in Houston, are going to think they are snake-bit.We are trying to ship them out of Houston at the moment. I am hoping I haven't spoken too soon either. I should know better than to open my mouth after the little jolt Hugo took at the last minute. If it wasn't for that..it would have hit us straight on. The fact that they were so SURE it was going to hit us.... others didn't bother to prepare properly and it was deadly. I will :silenced: my lips.

Beyond Belief
09-20-2005, 05:58 PM
It's another big'un. This could be another Katrina. It's a fairly massive hurricane already, with days to go.

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy (http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy)
Good grief that image is beyond belief! thanks for sharing.

FACE-IT
09-20-2005, 07:54 PM
Good grief that image is beyond belief! thanks for sharing.Rita appears to finally be opening her eye (Cyclops) and is carrying an incredible amount of rain, as signified by the large red area, and also the brownish yellow.

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...24.0 N... 82.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 969 MB.

Category Two Hurricane:
Winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt or 154-177 km/hr). Storm surge generally 6-8 feet above normal. Some roofing material, door, and window damage of buildings. Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some trees blown down. Considerable damage to mobile homes, poorly constructed signs, and piers. Coastal and low-lying escape routes flood 2-4 hours before arrival of the hurricane center. Small craft in unprotected anchorages break moorings. Hurricane Frances of 2004 made landfall over the southern end of Hutchinson Island, Florida as a Category Two hurricane. Hurricane Isabel of 2003 made landfall near Drum Inlet on the Outer Banks of North Carolina as a Category 2 hurricane.


Category Three Hurricane:
Winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt or 178-209 km/hr). Storm surge generally 9-12 ft above normal. Some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings with a minor amount of curtainwall failures. Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off trees and large trees blown down. Mobile homes and poorly constructed signs are destroyed. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures with larger structures damaged by battering from floating debris. Terrain continuously lower than 5 ft above mean sea level may be flooded inland 8 miles (13 km) or more. Evacuation of low-lying residences with several blocks of the shoreline may be required. Hurricanes Jeanne and Ivan of 2004 were Category Three hurricanes when they made landfall in Florida and in Alabama, respectively.

TexMex
09-20-2005, 08:18 PM
It's another big'un. This could be another Katrina. It's a fairly massive hurricane already, with days to go.

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy


Yep......once it hits the Gulf and the warm waters it'll be huge.

Said it'll be a Cat 4 by tomorrow afternoon and hit Galveston midnight Fri/Sat

been helping buddies board up beach houses on Galveston and Bolivar Peninsula all afternoon.

Plywood scarce, water selling out, lines at gas stations.....


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL1805W5+gif/151209W_sm.gif

concernedperson
09-20-2005, 08:30 PM
Prayers to all on the Gulf Coast. I will be watching and praying but please leave north of College Station. Go to Colorado at the very least. For good hotel rooms and such. Don't depend on evacuation centers if you can help it, just max out your credit cards.

Gabby
09-20-2005, 08:38 PM
I'm very glad you asked, Sassy...as I'm in the Waco area, and it's showing part of the "cone" up as far as us. I figured that's maybe some wind/rain...but it's my understanding that tornadoes are a real concern after a hurricane makes landfall, sooooo......

DPS is already putting Troopers on Rita assignments (schedules already published, on stand-by) ready to rock and roll.


I am not that far from you DAWG........

Beyond Belief
09-20-2005, 08:43 PM
I would love to see somebody assembling boats on the west coast of Florida with relief supplies to start the journey to texas as soon as the gulf is safe. They could move right in beachside with help and supplies. And maybe keep looters from coming in that way.

deanws
09-20-2005, 08:47 PM
Yep......once it hits the Gulf and the warm waters it'll be huge.

Said it'll be a Cat 4 by tomorrow afternoon and hit Galveston midnight Fri/Sat

been helping buddies board up beach houses on Galveston and Bolivar Peninsula all afternoon.

Plywood scarce, water selling out, lines at gas stations.....


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL1805W5+gif/151209W_sm.gifI just heard it wasn't going to hit Galveston. :confused:

Sassygerl
09-20-2005, 08:51 PM
They are saying tropical storm here where I am....70 mph winds....what the heck goes with those winds??? Fences down...tree branches all over..what??? Someone please tell poor Sassy :) We've had incredible storms, but nothing this big.......we lived here back when the F5 hit Jarrell and were in the tub (tornadoes coming down all around)...that was scary as heck, but blew over quick. This booger is a bigun!!!!!

Dark Knight
09-20-2005, 08:58 PM
Forecasters Fear Hurricane Rita's Strength

By MICHELLE SPITZER, Associated Press Writer


Rapidly strengthening Hurricane Rita lashed the Florida Keys on Tuesday and headed into the Gulf of Mexico, where forecasters feared it could develop into another blockbuster storm targeting Texas or Louisiana.

Thousands of people were evacuated from the Keys and low-lying areas of northern Cuba. On the far side of the Gulf of Mexico in Texas, Galveston started evacuations and officials made plans to move refugees from Hurricane Katrina who had been housed in the Houston area to Arkansas.

Forecasters said Rita could intensify in the Gulf of Mexico into a Category 4 storm with winds of at least 131 mph. The most likely destination by week's end was Texas, although Louisiana and northern Mexico were possibilities, according to the hurricane center.

Acting FEMA Director R. David Paulison told reporters that the agency has aircraft and buses available to evacuate residents of areas the hurricane might hit. Rescue teams and truckloads of ice, water and prepared meals were being sent to Texas and Florida.

"I strongly urge Gulf coast residents to pay attention" to the storm, he said.

Stung by criticism of the government's slow initial response to Hurricane Katrina, President Bush signed an emergency declaration for Florida and spoke with Texas Gov. Rick Perry about planning for the storm's landfall.

"All up and down the coastline people are now preparing for what is anticipated to be another significant storm," Bush said.

Florida Gov. Jeb Bush said more than 2,000 Florida National Guard troops and dozens of law enforcement officers were ready to deal with the storm's aftermath, although it appeared the Keys were spared the storm's full fury.

"I think we did, so far, dodge a bullet," said Key West Mayor Jimmy Weekley.

Rita started the day as a tropical storm with top sustained wind of 70 mph. But as it cruised through the Florida Straits between the Keys and Cuba, it gathered energy from the warm sea, becoming a Category 2 hurricane with top winds of 105 mph, the National Hurricane Center said.

Bush received a briefing about Rita aboard the USS Iwo Jima, which is docked near downtown New Orleans, as the hurricane caused new anxiety among Katrina victims in Mississippi, Louisiana and Alabama.

"There's still plenty of warm water that it needs to move over in the next couple days. The forecast is favorable for further intensification," said Michelle Mainelli, a meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center.

Residents and visitors had been ordered out of the Keys, and voluntary evacuation orders were posted for coastal mainland areas such as Miami Beach. Some 130,000 people were evacuated in Cuba, on the southern side of the Florida Straits.

Many of Key West's shops and bars were boarded up.

"This city was really very well prepared," said Jim Gilleran, owner of the 801 Bar in the Old Town section of Key West. He kept his business open despite the heavy rain and a power outage.

At least one segment of the Keys highway, U.S. 1, was barricaded because of water and debris, the Florida Highway Patrol said. Wind-driven water was flowing across other sections of the two- and three-lane highway that connects the Keys.

At 8 p.m. EDT, Rita's eye was about 65 miles west-southwest of Key West. The storm was moving west at 12 mph on a track that kept the most destructive winds at sea, the hurricane center said.



Nearly 900 miles from Key West, officials of Galveston were already calling for voluntary evacuations, with mandatory evacuations to begin Wednesday. Louisiana Gov. Kathleen Blanco urged everyone in the southwest part of the state to prepare to evacuate.

Even those who had survived major hurricanes were getting ready to leave. Catherine Womack, 71, was busy boarding up the windows on her one-story brick house in Galveston.

"Destination unknown," she said. "I've never left before. I think because of Katrina, there is a lot of anxiety and concern. It's better to be safe than sorry."

New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin suspended his plan Monday to start bringing residents back to the city after warnings that Rita could follow Hurricane Katrina's course and rupture his city's weakened levees.

The Pentagon stationed coordinating officers and staff at Tallahassee, Fla., and Austin, Texas, to assist storm preparations and recovery. The USS Bataan, an amphibious assault ship, was off Florida's Atlantic coast near Jacksonville, preparing to follow behind Rita to support relief efforts.

Crude-oil futures rose above $67 a barrel Monday, in part because of worries about Rita's effect on Gulf of Mexico production, but dropped briefly below $65 on Tuesday.

Oil companies and drilling contractors increased offshore rig and platform evacuations. Katrina destroyed 46 platforms and rigs and significantly damaged 18 platforms and rigs, according to the American Petroleum Institute.

Rita is the 17th named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, making this the fourth-busiest season since record-keeping started in 1851. The record is 21 tropical storms in 1933. Six hurricanes have hit Florida in the last 13 months.

The hurricane season isn't over until Nov. 30.

___

Associated Press writers Jill Barton in Marathon and Vanessa Arrington in Varadero, Cuba, contributed to this report.

___

On the Net: National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Shadow205
09-20-2005, 09:36 PM
Holy crap, they are now saying that there is a good possibility that Rita will become a Cat. 5 before making landfall. Could be a Cat. 4 or possibly even a Cat. 5 when it makes landfall. This is one scary storm. I hope that everyone gets out of the way.

Sassygerl
09-20-2005, 09:49 PM
Holy crap, they are now saying that there is a good possibility that Rita will become a Cat. 5 before making landfall. Could be a Cat. 4 or possibly even a Cat. 5 when it makes landfall. This is one scary storm. I hope that everyone gets out of the way.

And while I'm so worried about everyone...I have family in Houston and also near Houston...I am still wondering what the heck a tropical storm means??? Guess I should Google eh??? LOL Like I said, I love storms and TX has some great ones, but this one worries me.

Beyond Belief
09-20-2005, 09:54 PM
Texas needs to treat this like a cat 5. It has 4 days to turn into one of the biggest monsters ever seen.

Shadow205
09-20-2005, 09:56 PM
Are you struck by the parallels or the differences between Katrina and Galveston? In what happened to New Orleans, I see few parallels other than the obvious—that Galveston and New Orleans both were disasters waiting to happen, Galveston because the entire city was at sea level, New Orleans, because much of the city is below sea level.

snip snip

Indeed, the great unsung engineering miracle of the early 20th century occurred when Galveston raised the grade of the entire city well above sea level, in part to convince the world that Galveston would be safe from future storms.
Galveston isn’t safe, by the way. Those same top hurricane experts all included Galveston in their top five nightmare scenarios. I can only wonder what Galvestonians were thinking as Katrina bore down on Biloxi and Gulfport.

Oh My....

concernedperson
09-20-2005, 10:16 PM
Holy crap, they are now saying that there is a good possibility that Rita will become a Cat. 5 before making landfall. Could be a Cat. 4 or possibly even a Cat. 5 when it makes landfall. This is one scary storm. I hope that everyone gets out of the way.

I am not comfortable, we are looking at Cat 4 the rest is mother nature, and she hasn't been particurlarly benevolent lately.

FACE-IT
09-20-2005, 10:58 PM
HURRICANE RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

...RITA RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING AS IT PASSES SOUTH OF DRY TORTUGAS...
...CHANGES MADE TO FLORIDA WARNINGS...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO
KEY WEST AND DRY TORTUGAS.

AT 11 PM EDT...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
FLORIDA KEYS HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EAST AND NORTH TO OCEAN REEF...INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY.

AT 11 PM EDT...ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...AND LA HABANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF PINAR DEL RIO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...70
KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DRY TORTUGAS...ABOUT 95 MILES... 150 KM...
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 80 MILES... 130 KM...
NORTHWEST OF HAVANA CUBA.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHICH WILL
TAKE RITA AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS AND WESTERN CUBA AND INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

DATA FROM THE KEY WEST NOAA DOPPLER RADAR AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
NOW INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA
IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
RITA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE WEDNESDAY
MORNING... AND REACH CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM. DURING THE PAST HOUR...A GUST TO 61 MPH WAS
REPORTED AT THE KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...AND A SUSTAINED
WIND OF 51 MPH WITH A GUST TO 64 MPH WAS REPORTED AT DRY TORTUGAS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST. STORM SURGE VALUES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE LATER
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY IN ALL AREAS.

RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN CUBA
AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...24.1 N... 83.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART

Hurricane Rita Position
http://tinyurl.com/7ju9l

Hurricane Rita Projected Path
http://tinyurl.com/c4fym

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

The above links will update automatically, so if someone wants to include them in their future posts, they will be valid for that time.

Category Two Hurricane:
Winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt or 154-177 km/hr). Storm surge generally 6-8 feet above normal. Some roofing material, door, and window damage of buildings. Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some trees blown down. Considerable damage to mobile homes, poorly constructed signs, and piers. Coastal and low-lying escape routes flood 2-4 hours before arrival of the hurricane center. Small craft in unprotected anchorages break moorings. Hurricane Frances of 2004 made landfall over the southern end of Hutchinson Island, Florida as a Category Two hurricane. Hurricane Isabel of 2003 made landfall near Drum Inlet on the Outer Banks of North Carolina as a Category 2 hurricane.

Category Three Hurricane:
Winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt or 178-209 km/hr). Storm surge generally 9-12 ft above normal. Some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings with a minor amount of curtainwall failures. Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off trees and large trees blown down. Mobile homes and poorly constructed signs are destroyed. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures with larger structures damaged by battering from floating debris. Terrain continuously lower than 5 ft above mean sea level may be flooded inland 8 miles (13 km) or more. Evacuation of low-lying residences with several blocks of the shoreline may be required. Hurricanes Jeanne and Ivan of 2004 were Category Three hurricanes when they made landfall in Florida and in Alabama, respectively.

Rita will be a Category 3 Hurricane in less than an hour.

Dark Knight
09-20-2005, 11:00 PM
Holy crap, they are now saying that there is a good possibility that Rita will become a Cat. 5 before making landfall. Could be a Cat. 4 or possibly even a Cat. 5 when it makes landfall. This is one scary storm. I hope that everyone gets out of the way.
Yes, Cat 5 is a possibility:

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/regions.asp?partner=accuweather&myadc=0&area=atlantic

Maybe we should start a new Hurricana Rita thread, as this one will get awfully long before it's done with?. Just a thought.

lilpony
09-20-2005, 11:34 PM
My young son is stationed in Houston. I am getting very very worried. He called me today, and was telling me about it. I am getting afraid for his safety.

Sassygerl
09-20-2005, 11:37 PM
My young son is stationed in Houston. I am getting very very worried. He called me today, and was telling me about it. I am getting afraid for his safety.

I have a lot of family in Houston, and they are very nervous. I'm hoping they hit the road!!!! Have family too in Bryan who aren't sure whether they should leave or not.....I said YES...go to Dallas...they of course are welcome here......Austin area. I think Dallas will be safer.

lilpony
09-20-2005, 11:40 PM
I have a lot of family in Houston, and they are very nervous. I'm hoping they hit the road!!!! Have family too in Bryan who aren't sure whether they should leave or not.....I said YES...go to Dallas...they of course are welcome here......Austin area. I think Dallas will be safer.
I am very nervous, he is in the Coast Guard, and just cannot pick up and leave. I never even thought about something like this happening to him.

Sassygerl
09-21-2005, 12:07 AM
I am very nervous, he is in the Coast Guard, and just cannot pick up and leave. I never even thought about something like this happening to him.

I'm sorry :( I can understand your concern, but thankfully he's not right on the Gulf Coast and things will be fine (I know, it's too close for you!). Tell him to keep his cell phone on......I'm sure you'll hear from him!

deanws
09-21-2005, 12:17 AM
I'm sorry :( I can understand your concern, but thankfully he's not right on the Gulf Coast and things will be fine (I know, it's too close for you!). Tell him to keep his cell phone on......I'm sure you'll hear from him!If it hits any where near Galveston, Houston is in serious danger also. Houston floods big time.

Beyond Belief
09-21-2005, 12:23 AM
For anyone in the danger areas, don't wait, leave as soon as possible, traffic crawls when you wait too long. Sitting in traffic, doing 20 miles an hour, for 12 hours is extremely stressful. Gas Stations close, theres not bathrooms open, and you among thousands of strangers. Leave early.

dani
09-21-2005, 12:32 AM
I have a lot of family in Houston, and they are very nervous. I'm hoping they hit the road!!!! Have family too in Bryan who aren't sure whether they should leave or not.....I said YES...go to Dallas...they of course are welcome here......Austin area. I think Dallas will be safer.

Sassy

My youngest son lives in Austin. Do you think it will be dangerous there?

What worries me is he loves storms and has never been in a hurricane. He's adventurous enough to want to hang around and watch the *fireworks*. :doh: I was in Nova Scotia when Hortense hit. (I think it was 1996 or 1997.) Never again!

dani

Sassygerl
09-21-2005, 12:44 AM
Sassy

My youngest son lives in Austin. Do you think it will be dangerous there?

What worries me is he loves storms and has never been in a hurricane. He's adventurous enough to want to hang around and watch the *fireworks*. :doh: I was in Nova Scotia when Hortense hit. (I think it was 1996 or 1997.) Never again!

dani

Hey Dani......ours news is just saying to prepare for tropical storm conditions, and of course tornadoes. I think he'll be fine..heck I'm stayin and I wouldn't if it was scary :D We might lose power and have some tree debris flying around, but I feel pretty safe. I am going to clear out my closet under the stairs should this thing stay on path, but I feel ok here. Keep in mind they are saying for evacuees from Houston, etc. to come to Austin.....he'll be ok :)

ETA: all of Texans are use to the tornado warnings...to be honest I hardly pay attention because the chances of you being hit are so slim! I will this time though only because there will probably be many, but with tornadoes you always hear those crazy stories with the house being wiped out but the tub or closet still intact......with Earthquakes you have no where safe to go but UP!!!!! That's why I've never gone to CA!!!! That to me is SCARY! It's all what you're use to!

FACE-IT
09-21-2005, 01:21 AM
Rita is beginning to "shape" up. A distinct definite eye, and a tightening circle.

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

FACE-IT
09-21-2005, 01:58 AM
HURRICANE RITA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2005

...RITA BECOMES FIFTH MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE 2005 SEASON AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS...

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PORTION OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO THE DRY TORTUGAS HAS
BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

AT 2 AM EDT..ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

AT 2 AM EDT...ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR CUBA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130
KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DRY TORTUGAS...ABOUT 145 MILES... 235 KM...
WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 130 MILES... 210 KM...NORTHWEST
OF HAVANA CUBA.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHICH WILL
TAKE THE CENTER OF RITA INTO THE OPEN SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DATA FROM THE KEY WEST NOAA DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE NOW INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND RITA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE SOMETIME LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM. THE AUTOMATED STATION AT THE DRY TORTUGAS
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH AND A GUST TO 87 MPH BEFORE
CONTACT WITH THE STATION WAS LOST.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST. STORM SURGE VALUES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY IN
ALL AREAS.

RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN CUBA
AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...24.2 N... 84.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

Hurricane Rita Position
http://tinyurl.com/7ju9l

Hurricane Rita Projected Path
http://tinyurl.com/c4fym

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

The above links will update automatically, so if someone wants to include them in their future posts, they will be valid for that time.

Category Three Hurricane:
Winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt or 178-209 km/hr). Storm surge generally 9-12 ft above normal. Some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings with a minor amount of curtainwall failures. Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off trees and large trees blown down. Mobile homes and poorly constructed signs are destroyed. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures with larger structures damaged by battering from floating debris. Terrain continuously lower than 5 ft above mean sea level may be flooded inland 8 miles (13 km) or more. Evacuation of low-lying residences with several blocks of the shoreline may be required. Hurricanes Jeanne and Ivan of 2004 were Category Three hurricanes when they made landfall in Florida and in Alabama, respectively.

Dark Knight
09-21-2005, 01:59 AM
Rita is beginning to "shape" up. A distinct definite eye, and a tightening circle.

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy (http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy)
Yeah, the eye is looking almost as clearly defined as Katrina's was, with radar imaging showing some strong storms surrounding it. And it still has a couple days to go. :eek:

FACE-IT
09-21-2005, 02:52 AM
U.S. Hurricane Strikes Per Decade

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastdec.shtml

scandi
09-21-2005, 02:54 AM
Amazing, isn't it! This Ms Rita looks most intimidating to me as it is so huge already. I remember when I saw Katrina heading up towards La, when the eye was about half way up there from the Florida Keys, it filled up almost the whole gulf water area. I had never seen a storm so big. This one could be devestating! Someone should do something like we talked about last year where they seed the hurricane with something to make it fall apart.

You know Dark Knight, I don't usually post about religion, but I gotta tell you when I heard that 3 casino's looked were like they were lifted up and thrown, landing right side up and a distance away from where they were, I thought of Sodom and Gomora. Could this be God's way of cleaning up a major place of sin in our world today? I said no, that's a far stretch of my imagination, but now I wonder what's up Texas way with the creation of this new storm!


Scandi

PS: Now I'll worry you're gonna think I'm :crazy: LOL

Dark Knight
09-21-2005, 03:02 AM
ABC Radio News is reporting Rita is now a Category 3, already, as of 2am.

Dark Knight
09-21-2005, 03:03 AM
Amazing, isn't it! This Ms Rita looks most intimidating to me as it is so huge already. I remember when I saw Katrina heading up towards La, when the eye was about half way up there from the Florida Keys, it filled up almost the whole gulf water area. I had never seen a storm so big. This one could be devestating! Someone should do something like we talked about last year where they seed the hurricane with something to make it fall apart.

You know Dark Knight, I don't usually post about religion, but I gotta tell you when I heard that 3 casino's looked were like they were lifted up and thrown, landing right side up and a distance away from where they were, I thought of Sodom and Gomora. Could this be God's way of cleaning up a major place of sin in our world today? I said no, that's a far stretch of my imagination, but now I wonder what's up Texas way with the creation of this new storm!


Scandi

PS: Now I'll worry you're gonna think I'm :crazy: LOL
I've heard several people theorize the same thing, Scandi.

GonzoReiter
09-21-2005, 04:22 AM
You know Dark Knight, I don't usually post about religion, but I gotta tell you when I heard that 3 casino's looked were like they were lifted up and thrown, landing right side up and a distance away from where they were, I thought of Sodom and Gomora. Could this be God's way of cleaning up a major place of sin in our world today? I said no, that's a far stretch of my imagination, but now I wonder what's up Texas way with the creation of this new storm!


Scandi

PS: Now I'll worry you're gonna think I'm :crazy: LOL
I wouldn't get my hopes up for that wish. I've been watching the radar and packing for a quick evac if necessary sometime Wednesday or Thursday...my guess is that Crawford, TX will be spared by Hurricane Rita when it turns back to the East.

dani
09-21-2005, 05:09 AM
Hey Dani......ours news is just saying to prepare for tropical storm conditions, and of course tornadoes. I think he'll be fine..heck I'm stayin and I wouldn't if it was scary :D We might lose power and have some tree debris flying around, but I feel pretty safe. I am going to clear out my closet under the stairs should this thing stay on path, but I feel ok here. Keep in mind they are saying for evacuees from Houston, etc. to come to Austin.....he'll be ok :)

ETA: all of Texans are use to the tornado warnings...to be honest I hardly pay attention because the chances of you being hit are so slim! I will this time though only because there will probably be many, but with tornadoes you always hear those crazy stories with the house being wiped out but the tub or closet still intact......with Earthquakes you have no where safe to go but UP!!!!! That's why I've never gone to CA!!!! That to me is SCARY! It's all what you're use to!

Thank you Sassy! :blowkiss: Now I'll sleep tonight. But, I heard that Joe Bastardi (I think he's from N.O.A.A) say that Rita will be bigger than Hurricane Carla, and Carla did damage all the way to Dallas! :eek:

As for earthquakes…I grew up in California, and all my kids were born there, and have been thru tons on them. The son that now lives in Austin was still there in college when the Northridge quake hit. He knew I would worry, so he drove all the way to Santa Barbara until he found a payphone that worked so he could call me. We were living in Arizona at the time and felt the quake. (I knew it had to be a doozie if we felt it in AZ.) My husband had always said that California will never fall into the ocean because *Arizona sucks*. My son said, "I hope Arizona keeps on sucking!" They were getting up to 1000 aftershocks per day for a while.

Thanks again, Sassy! May God protect you all.

dani

Gabby
09-21-2005, 06:05 AM
We are expecting high winds and tons of rain... I live 250 miles from the Beautmont/Port Arthur Area.... about the same distance (190 miles) from Houston.... I am thinking Michigan looks pretty good right now :eek:

Dark Knight
09-21-2005, 06:23 AM
From Accuweather.com: After Rita makes landfall it will head northwest between Austin and Houston, then track between Dallas and Tyler during Sunday.

Also, Joe Bastardi is from Accuweather, not NOAA.

sariebell
09-21-2005, 07:33 AM
Texas Websleuthers be careful!!! Think smart! Don't be stubborn! If it looks like you could be in for it, please head out or take cover. You guys have been through this before, just be careful!!

kato
09-21-2005, 07:42 AM
But the slower it travels the more water is picks up....making it all the worse. ;( I am so glad it is going to miss Houston. I feel so bad for who it hits.

If it keeps up in the direction it is going I don't think it will quite miss Houston. We will get some major wind and rain probably.

Sassygerl
09-21-2005, 07:57 AM
Aaahhh...just got up and she's already a Cat 4 :eek: :eek:

kato
09-21-2005, 07:58 AM
We live in SW Houston about 55 miles from Galveston. Anyways, they said that the west end of Galveston has no seawall to prevent storm surges. Traffic coming out of Galveston on I-45 is very heavy right now and it's only 6:30 a.m.. Also, they talked to some people who had boarded up their houses and leaving and they are all scared they will come back to nothing.

kato
09-21-2005, 08:04 AM
Busses are lined up and ready to ferry people out. You are allowed to bring your pet but it must be in a cage/carrier.

Norma
09-21-2005, 08:23 AM
Living my whole life in Michigan, I can't begin to imagine the horror of what this is like.

Please everyone, stay safe!

Gabby
09-21-2005, 08:25 AM
Living my whole life in Michigan, I can't begin to imagine the horror of what this is like.

Please everyone, stay safe!



Please send address and phone number..,Michigan sounds great now...... :cool:

kgeaux
09-21-2005, 08:34 AM
Busses are lined up and ready to ferry people out. You are allowed to bring your pet but it must be in a cage/carrier.

Thank God! I just don't think I could watch more video showing the plight of abandoned animals. I was just watching an interview on Fox & Friends with Kay Richardson (is that right? it sounds funny all of a sudden.) They were showing the evacuation routes. So many more roads than out of NO!! It looks like such an excellent plan, Texas looks so prepared.

I truly hope none of you in the projected areas decide to ride this out. This looks like one heck of a storm. And if you have to go, GO EARLY!! Read over BirdieBoo's thread and make sure you take everything you will need!

God bless you Texans. I am praying this storm will just somehow lose power, maybe we will get a miracle!

Shadow205
09-21-2005, 08:35 AM
Hey Dani......ours news is just saying to prepare for tropical storm conditions, and of course tornadoes. I think he'll be fine..heck I'm stayin and I wouldn't if it was scary :D We might lose power and have some tree debris flying around, but I feel pretty safe. I am going to clear out my closet under the stairs should this thing stay on path, but I feel ok here. Keep in mind they are saying for evacuees from Houston, etc. to come to Austin.....he'll be ok :)

ETA: all of Texans are use to the tornado warnings...to be honest I hardly pay attention because the chances of you being hit are so slim! I will this time though only because there will probably be many, but with tornadoes you always hear those crazy stories with the house being wiped out but the tub or closet still intact......with Earthquakes you have no where safe to go but UP!!!!! That's why I've never gone to CA!!!! That to me is SCARY! It's all what you're use to!
Sassygirl, I was just getting ready to ask you what they were predicting for your area. I have friends who live near Austin. One is the past Sheriff of Travis county. Actually I think they live south of Austin(guess thats not good). Going to try and check on them. One moved there from Florida and has been thru some hurricanes before so I'm sure she will make the right decisssion. Stay safe.

kato
09-21-2005, 08:40 AM
Thank God! I just don't think I could watch more video showing the plight of abandoned animals. I was just watching an interview on Fox & Friends with Kay Richardson (is that right? it sounds funny all of a sudden.) They were showing the evacuation routes. So many more roads than out of NO!! It looks like such an excellent plan, Texas looks so prepared.

I truly hope none of you in the projected areas decide to ride this out. This looks like one heck of a storm. And if you have to go, GO EARLY!! Read over BirdieBoo's thread and make sure you take everything you will need!

God bless you Texans. I am praying this storm will just somehow lose power, maybe we will get a miracle!

Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchinson.

My BF has been preparing us 4/ever. I always make fun of him. He was around for Carla. (I wasn't even born yet. He's 20 yrs. older than me.) He was growing up in El Campo at the time. He said the wind was so strong that it took all the feathers off the chickens and that cows were hanging off power lines when it was all said and done. I guess that's why he gets all worked up over this stuff.

Shadow205
09-21-2005, 08:58 AM
http://i.flhurricane.com/images/2005/rita10.jpg

There doesn't seem to be anything in her way now. The conditions are perfect for strengthening. I think this would be a good time to start praying for all of the people along the Texas coast.

Shadow205
09-21-2005, 09:00 AM
Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchinson.

My BF has been preparing us 4/ever. I always make fun of him. He was around for Carla. (I wasn't even born yet. He's 20 yrs. older than me.) He was growing up in El Campo at the time. He said the wind was so strong that it took all the feathers off the chickens and that cows were hanging off power lines when it was all said and done. I guess that's why he gets all worked up over this stuff.
Kato, I don't mean to make light of what was a tragedy but the mental picture that you just gave me made me laugh.

kato
09-21-2005, 09:04 AM
No one allowed in or out of Galveston after 6 p.m. tonight. The seawall is not expected to hold back the storm sturge. Per GMA.

TexMex
09-21-2005, 09:05 AM
I just heard it wasn't going to hit Galveston. :confused:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200518_model.html

Latest computer models.

Most say eye will go in between Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay, putting Galveston on the dirty side---140mph winds and storm surge. Stores were all out of battaries and water.

kato
09-21-2005, 09:08 AM
Kato, I don't mean to make light of what was a tragedy but the mental picture that you just gave me made me laugh.

I know it is a funny image.

TexMex
09-21-2005, 09:18 AM
We live in SW Houston about 55 miles from Galveston. Anyways, they said that the west end of Galveston has no seawall to prevent storm surges. Traffic coming out of Galveston on I-45 is very heavy right now and it's only 6:30 a.m.. Also, they talked to some people who had boarded up their houses and leaving and they are all scared they will come back to nothing.


I grew up in SW Houston! Now in Brazoria County.....

Yes, Carla did lots of damage in Hou/Gal and it came ashore btwn Port O'Conner and Port Lavaca....remember that #5 tornado close to Austin (Jarrell) that had 220mph winds? It picked up corn from the fields that went thorouh cows like spears!

Shadow205
09-21-2005, 09:23 AM
I just read this on another message board. A woman was asking what will the cruise ships do that are already out of the port. She said her sister is on a cruise, left from Galveston and is due back in on Saturday morning. Well, that isn't going to happen. Where will they go? How will the passengers get back to their vehicles which are at the Port of Galveston? By Saturday morning I would say their vehicles will be gone. I don't know how many ships are out from Galveston right now but I would say it is quite a few, that is a lot of displaced people. Looking for a link on what the plan is now.

kato
09-21-2005, 09:27 AM
I grew up in SW Houston! Now in Brazoria County.....

Yes, Carla did lots of damage in Hou/Gal and it came ashore btwn Port O'Conner and Port Lavaca....remember that #5 tornado close to Austin (Jarrell) that had 220mph winds? It picked up corn from the fields that went thorouh cows like spears!

I grew up in Bellaire. Now live in same area. Kinda Bellaire/Sharpstown. Near Braeburn Country Club. I think those storms were before my time. I was born in '65.

kato
09-21-2005, 09:30 AM
Mayor White holding PC at 9:30. May talk about evacuating some parts of Houston/Harris County. Local weather continues to say the storm is strengthing and is very dangerous. I get kind of leary when they dramatize.

poco
09-21-2005, 09:43 AM
Busses are lined up and ready to ferry people out. You are allowed to bring your pet but it must be in a cage/carrier.

Well, looks like they have learned something from this last one ---

Busses, pets, and I heard they have bottled water all ready to go, etc etc etc.

Lived in Bryan/College Station for years - glad I'm not there now, although I was there when one hit the Texas coast, way back when, but I can't remember which one it was....

kato
09-21-2005, 09:50 AM
Well my BF's daughter just called and they are closing their building in a couple hrs. Lucky her. I'm not worried because what will happen will happen. Our building mgmt. just sent out a hurricane memo. But you can bet your *ss if I'm at work when the 1st rains start I'll be outta there whether my boss says ok are not. Last year during TS Alison it took me % hrs. to get home and that was only 7 miles.

NewMom2003
09-21-2005, 09:56 AM
Well my BF's daughter just called and they are closing their building in a couple hrs. Lucky her. I'm not worried because what will happen will happen. Our building mgmt. just sent out a hurricane memo. But you can bet your *ss if I'm at work when the 1st rains start I'll be outta there whether my boss says ok are not. Last year during TS Alison it took me % hrs. to get home and that was only 7 miles.

Kato and all my fellow Websleuthers that are in the path of Rita, BE SAFE!!! I've been through hurricane preparations my whole life, but this one is really scaring me. I remember going through Alicia, but I was only 13 or 14 at the time and didn't realize how dangerous it was. This is my first hurricane since becoming a mom and that has me a little freaked out too. Her pre-school is closed tomorrow and I'm keeping my fingers crossed that our offices will close as well.

I heard a little on the news this morning that they will call for mandatory evacuations of Galveston at 6:00 PM tonight. Haven't heard anything else since and haven't read through this thread yet.

BTW - I'm in Sugar Land, south of Houston and there is not a battery to be found anywhere!

Be safe guys!!! :blowkiss:

poco
09-21-2005, 09:57 AM
Well my BF's daughter just called and they are closing their building in a couple hrs. Lucky her. I'm not worried because what will happen will happen. Our building mgmt. just sent out a hurricane memo. But you can bet your *ss if I'm at work when the 1st rains start I'll be outta there whether my boss says ok are not. Last year during TS Alison it took me % hrs. to get home and that was only 7 miles.

96??? Wow, didn't you get hungry???? (Well, it looked like 96 in your post, now it looks like a % sign - oops, there is that 96 again.... .hmmmm)

NewMom2003
09-21-2005, 10:02 AM
Mayor White holding PC at 9:30. May talk about evacuating some parts of Houston/Harris County. Local weather continues to say the storm is strengthing and is very dangerous. I get kind of leary when they dramatize.
Thanks for the heads up Kato. I'm heading to our cafeteria to watch. The dramatizing has me a little leary also.


I grew up in SW Houston! Now in Brazoria County.....
TexMex, I have family in Brazoria County. In Wild Peach outside of West Columbia. Be safe!!


Busses are lined up and ready to ferry people out. You are allowed to bring your pet but it must be in a cage/carrier.
I'm glad to hear this.

kato
09-21-2005, 10:02 AM
Kato and all my fellow Websleuthers that are in the path of Rita, BE SAFE!!! I've been through hurricane preparations my whole life, but this one is really scaring me. I remember going through Alicia, but I was only 13 or 14 at the time and didn't realize how dangerous it was. This is my first hurricane since becoming a mom and that has me a little freaked out too. Her pre-school is closed tomorrow and I'm keeping my fingers crossed that our offices will close as well.

I heard a little on the news this morning that they will call for mandatory evacuations of Galveston at 6:00 PM tonight. Haven't heard anything else since and haven't read through this thread yet.

BTW - I'm in Sugar Land, south of Houston and there is not a battery to be found anywhere!

Be safe guys!!! :blowkiss:

NewMom:

I went through Alicia too. I was about 18 or 19. I'm not far from you so I'll be thinking about you. Even if we don't lose power my BF will probalby not let me on the PC. At it is now he unplugs it during thunderstorms. If you have a TV at work the mayor is having a PC in 30 min. at 9:30.

kato
09-21-2005, 10:04 AM
96??? Wow, didn't you get hungry???? (Well, it looked like 96 in your post, now it looks like a % sign - oops, there is that 96 again.... .hmmmm)

OOPS I meant to say 5 hrs..LOL poco. No, I didn't get hungry. I hardly eat as it is. I didn't find the nearest Starbucks though.

NewMom2003
09-21-2005, 10:07 AM
NewMom:

I went through Alicia too. I was about 18 or 19. I'm not far from you so I'll be thinking about you. Even if we don't lose power my BF will probalby not let me on the PC. At it is now he unplugs it during thunderstorms. If you have a TV at work the mayor is having a PC in 30 min. at 9:30.

Thanks Kato, I'll be thinking of you also. :blowkiss: We have friends coming in from Needville (way out in the boonies) to stay with us through this.

Where is Jules? She's in Houston also and I think she has people staying with her from Louisiana.

I'm heading to our cafeteria now to see White's pc.

kato
09-21-2005, 10:11 AM
Thanks Kato, I'll be thinking of you also. :blowkiss: We have friends coming in from Needville (way out in the boonies) to stay with us through this.

Where is Jules? She's in Houston also and I think she has people staying with her from Louisiana.

I'm heading to our cafeteria now to see White's pc.

Jules lives north like Spring or The Woodlands. Haven't seen her this morning. She must be busy preparing maybe?

deanws
09-21-2005, 10:40 AM
No guys, it is not looking good for us. My husband is down in Baytown boarding up the house and getting the pictures of the kids off the walls. The traffic is unbelieveable! I really did love that house. I just found out that damage to our swimming pool is not covered. All this really sucks.

DEPUTYDAWG
09-21-2005, 10:49 AM
I wouldn't get my hopes up for that wish. I've been watching the radar and packing for a quick evac if necessary sometime Wednesday or Thursday...my guess is that Crawford, TX will be spared by Hurricane Rita when it turns back to the East.


Considering I live, literally, in Crawford, I personally hope you are right. I know that you're hoping for something else, however.

They're telling us on our news to be prepared for up to 80mph winds and 5-10 inches of rain. I'm thinking the most problem we may have is loss of power for awhile (they say to expect power could be out for a few days, since it will probably be out for our area and all areas in between, down to the coast line, so repairs might not be as quick as usual.)

GABBY -

Wanna carpool to Michigan?! :waitasec:

kato
09-21-2005, 10:50 AM
LOL My mom just called and said I could come to Montana. I said no thank you.

kato
09-21-2005, 10:53 AM
I just read this on another message board. A woman was asking what will the cruise ships do that are already out of the port. She said her sister is on a cruise, left from Galveston and is due back in on Saturday morning. Well, that isn't going to happen. Where will they go? How will the passengers get back to their vehicles which are at the Port of Galveston? By Saturday morning I would say their vehicles will be gone. I don't know how many ships are out from Galveston right now but I would say it is quite a few, that is a lot of displaced people. Looking for a link on what the plan is now.

During hurricanes ships usually just stay out to sea. Normally they probably would have been diverted to N.O. but not this time.

DEPUTYDAWG
09-21-2005, 10:54 AM
No guys, it is not looking good for us. My husband is down in Baytown boarding up the house and getting the pictures of the kids off the walls. The traffic is unbelieveable! I really did love that house. I just found out that damage to our swimming pool is not covered. All this really sucks.


Best wishes to you, and Kato, etc...I'll offer up a spare room to anyone needing a place to stay! We can have a "storm party," LOL. All hotel rooms as far north as Waco are now supposedly all full, no vacancies. Wow.

kato
09-21-2005, 10:54 AM
Considering I live, literally, in Crawford, I personally hope you are right. I know that you're hoping for something else, however.

They're telling us on our news to be prepared for up to 80mph winds and 5-10 inches of rain. I'm thinking the most problem we may have is loss of power for awhile (they say to expect power could be out for a few days, since it will probably be out for our area and all areas in between, down to the coast line, so repairs might not be as quick as usual.)

GABBY -

Wanna carpool to Michigan?! :waitasec:

My grandparents power was out for 3 weeks after Alicia.

kato
09-21-2005, 10:55 AM
Best wishes to you, and Kato, etc...I'll offer up a spare room to anyone needing a place to stay! We can have a "storm party," LOL. All hotel rooms as far north as Waco are now supposedly all full, no vacancies. Wow.

Thanks, DD. I just don't believe it's gonna be that bad. But better safe than sorry. Maybe I'm in denial? Oh well, you can't do anything about Mother Nature.

kato
09-21-2005, 11:00 AM
Oh, shoot. They said 50 miles inland will be pretty bad. We are 55 miles in. All Houston schools closed tomorrow.

kato
09-21-2005, 11:03 AM
So far 1,000 people have called to be on the evacuating busses. Also, on another note just like most of Katrina's victims these people are poor and most don't have cars.

kato
09-21-2005, 11:08 AM
The mayor thinks there are possibly 500,000 to 1 mil that are in outlaying areas that probably may be needed to evacuate.

KT Can
09-21-2005, 11:09 AM
Good luck to all my fellow Houstonians!!! I live in Spring which is just north of Houston and kind of close to Jules, I think she lives in Cypress. I am very concerned about Rita. A couple of the projections I have seen have said that winds could reach up to 75-100 mph where I am at. I was just a kid, born in '71, when Alicia hit but I remember it well. Same with Allison. We were having a pre-planned party (not a Tropical Storm party!) the night Allison came in and I ended up with drunken houseguests for six days. Fun, but unexpected.

Just to show you what the mentality of people who have survived bad hurricanes can be like, EVEN AFTER KATRINA..... My mother and stepfather live in Galveston at 15th Street and the Seawall, half a block from the water, in an OLD house that partially survived the 1900 storm and they are being very blase' about the whole Hurricane Rita thing, at least my mom is anyway. I've been wondering what those people who stayed behind in New Orleans were thinking and now I know, they were just like my knucklehead mother! They are going to come to my house, but my mom wants to wait until the last minute on Friday. My husband and I offered to go down there yesterday and this morning to board up some of their windows and to help them pack and she has refused our help. The whole "if it's gonna go it's gonna go" attitude. My stepfather works with the city council and is busy helping with the bus evactuations for the people who don't have cars as well as evacuting the nursing homes, so I can understand that he is busy helping out and will leave when he is finished with his duties, but my mom on the other hand is completely frustrating me with her attitude. She works from home on her computer and I asked her if she was going to pack up all of her computer stuff and she said that she would just back everything up and take just her laptop. Now what heck is that all about? Computer equipment is easy enough to disassemble and why would you not take the means to your livelihood with you if you could? They also own a shuttle bus that they use for a tours of the island as well as for contracts with nursing homes to take residents to grocery stores and such. Well, my mom actually just said that they were going to leave the bus there and just take one car to my house. I went off on her with that one. She could practically pack her whole damn house in that bus and there is no reason to leave a livelihood producing vehicle behind! Good lord, it's better to be safe than sorry, especially when you have ample warning. My siblings, who live in other states, are furious with her right now. I may have to get ugly with her today, I am glued to the news to see how this thing is progressing. Just a comparison of how ridiculous my mother is being, we have some other friends who are also coming to stay with us tomorrow morning. They live inland but close to the bay and the ship channel and even they are taking this thing seriously! Well, I've got to go out to the stores right now for a few more things. The shelves were picked clean last night, let's hope that they have restocked some items!

deanws
09-21-2005, 11:12 AM
Thanks, DD. I just don't believe it's gonna be that bad. But better safe than sorry. Maybe I'm in denial? Oh well, you can't do anything about Mother Nature.Kato...it is going to be bad. You remember how much flooding we had with just the tropical storm! It will definitely flood and ruin Baytown. Please make plans to protect your home, pets, and loved ones. They just said on the weather channel it might even be a cat. 5. It is huge...so anywhere it makes landfall in Texas, we in the Houston areas are going to have major damage.

kato
09-21-2005, 11:15 AM
The mayor has asked residents that are evacuating that have cars to give others a lift.

poco
09-21-2005, 11:21 AM
K-toe - or anyone, give me some idea where some of these cities are located per the link below, i.e., Galveston, Houston, etc. Can't tell from this map. Also, maybe San Antonio would be a good place to head - wouldn't hurt to call and make a reservation somewhere. San Antonio is a great town to visit too, if you haven't been there lately.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/145605.shtml?5day

deanws
09-21-2005, 11:22 AM
The mayor has asked residents that are evacuating that have cars to give others a lift.My 3 dogs, kitty, 2 rabbits, 3 parakeets and cocktiel, along with the two tanks of fish say NO...there isn't enough room. My husband also said something to that affect...but it was kinda muffled. I have a hard time hearing him from the trunk when the car is running. :p

kato
09-21-2005, 11:22 AM
Man! Everybody is calling me at work and I can't pay attention to the news. My aunt is stressing.

poco
09-21-2005, 11:29 AM
My 3 dogs, kitty, 2 rabbits, 3 parakeets and cocktiel, along with the two tanks of fish say NO...there isn't enough room. My husband also said something to that affect...but it was kinda muffled. I have a hard time hearing him from the trunk when the car is running. :p

I know, don't you just hate that. Mine does that, too. Bahahaha! (good one!)

kato
09-21-2005, 11:30 AM
K-toe - or anyone, give me some idea where some of these cities are located per the link below, i.e., Galveston, Houston, etc. Can't tell from this map. Also, maybe San Antonio would be a good place to head - wouldn't hurt to call and make a reservation somewhere. San Antonio is a great town to visit too, if you haven't been there lately.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/145605.shtml?5day

poco, it's hard to tell by that map. San Antonio is probably still full of Katrina evacuees also.

kato
09-21-2005, 11:31 AM
My 3 dogs, kitty, 2 rabbits, 3 parakeets and cocktiel, along with the two tanks of fish say NO...there isn't enough room. My husband also said something to that affect...but it was kinda muffled. I have a hard time hearing him from the trunk when the car is running. :p

LOL re: the trunk. The mayor has asked employers to let their employees stay home Thurs. and Fri.. I hope our bosses heard that.

poco
09-21-2005, 11:35 AM
poco, it's hard to tell by that map. San Antonio is probably still full of Katrina evacuees also.

Well, I'd invite ya here (West Coast Florida), but you will have to probably evacuate here, too, the way things are going this season!

Map of Texas -
http://www.merriam-webster.com/cgi-bin/nytmaps.pl?texas

Shortcake21
09-21-2005, 11:36 AM
K-toe - or anyone, give me some idea where some of these cities are located per the link below, i.e., Galveston, Houston, etc. Can't tell from this map. Also, maybe San Antonio would be a good place to head - wouldn't hurt to call and make a reservation somewhere. San Antonio is a great town to visit too, if you haven't been there lately.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/145605.shtml?5day





Here is a map of Texas. http://travel.yahoo.com/p-travelguide-577952-map_of_texas-i

kato
09-21-2005, 11:36 AM
News saying we should start feeling some effects by tomorrow (Thurs.) night. Winds have shifted a little more south. Center expected to be Port O'Conner and Matagorda.

deanws
09-21-2005, 11:37 AM
K-toe - or anyone, give me some idea where some of these cities are located per the link below, i.e., Galveston, Houston, etc. Can't tell from this map. Also, maybe San Antonio would be a good place to head - wouldn't hurt to call and make a reservation somewhere. San Antonio is a great town to visit too, if you haven't been there lately.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/145605.shtml?5day
http://www.ih2000.net/ira/bmt-wth.htm
Scroll down to the bottom of the page....and it lists each city for you. This is a good site...just takes a while to load everything. The fact that Rita is soooo big, will cause disaster even if it isn't a direct hit.

kato
09-21-2005, 11:38 AM
Well, I'd invite ya here (West Coast Florida), but you will have to probably evacuate here, too, the way things are going this season!

Map of Texas -
http://www.merriam-webster.com/cgi-bin/nytmaps.pl?texas

poco look at the map shortcake just posted. It's a good one.

poco
09-21-2005, 11:49 AM
The link that Deandaniels gave is great, too. Takes a little to load, but shows ya just about everything there is to know!!!!

FACE-IT
09-21-2005, 12:05 PM
HURRICANE RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

...RITA REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE...WINDS NOW
ESTIMATED 140 MPH WINDS...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE MARQUESAS KEYS WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER TODAY OR THIS EVENING.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE RITA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES...
WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 755 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RITA IS A EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND COULD REACH CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY IN
THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES. THE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH RITA IS FORECAST TO
EXPAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 944 MB...27.88 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...24.3 N... 85.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 944 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

Hurricane Rita Position
http://tinyurl.com/7ju9l

Hurricane Rita Projected Path
http://tinyurl.com/c4fym

Hurricane Rita Strike Probabilities (Scroll Down)
http://tinyurl.com/8hqt6

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

The above links will update automatically, so if someone wants to include them in their future posts, they will be valid for that time.

Category Four Hurricane:
Winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt or 210-249 km/hr). Storm surge generally 13-18 ft above normal. More extensive curtainwall failures with some complete roof structure failures on small residences. Shrubs, trees, and all signs are blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Extensive damage to doors and windows. Low-lying escape routes may be cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Major damage to lower floors of structures near the shore. Terrain lower than 10 ft above sea level may be flooded requiring massive evacuation of residential areas as far inland as 6 miles (10 km). Hurricane Charley of 2004 was a Category Four hurricane made landfall in Charlotte County, Florida with winds of 150 mph. Hurricane Dennis of 2005 struck the island of Cuba as a Category Four hurricane.

Category Five Hurricane:
Winds greater than 155 mph (135 kt or 249 km/hr). Storm surge generally greater than 18 ft above normal. Complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings. Some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away. All shrubs, trees, and signs blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Severe and extensive window and door damage. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Major damage to lower floors of all structures located less than 15 ft above sea level and within 500 yards of the shoreline. Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 5-10 miles (8-16 km) of the shoreline may be required. Only 3 Category Five Hurricanes have made landfall in the United States since records began: The Labor Day Hurricane of 1935, Hurricane Camille (1969), and Hurricane Andrew in August, 1992. The 1935 Labor Day Hurricane struck the Florida Keys with a minimum pressure of 892 mb--the lowest pressure ever observed in the United States. Hurricane Camille struck the Mississippi Gulf Coast causing a 25-foot storm surge, which inundated Pass Christian. Hurricane Andrew of 1992 made landfall over southern Miami-Dade County, Florida causing 26.5 billion dollars in losses--the costliest hurricane on record. In addition, Hurricane Gilbert of 1988 was a Category Five hurricane at peak intensity and is the strongest Atlantic tropical cyclone on record with a minimum pressure of 888 mb.

kato
09-21-2005, 12:09 PM
Awww people in Galveston are already crying because they are scared they are going to lose their homes.

Just got back from a smoke break. The building maintenance guys are already bringing the patio furniture in and I saw stacks of plywood.

DEPUTYDAWG
09-21-2005, 12:26 PM
Update from conference call at work:

1,100 buses coming from out of state to Texas to assist with evacuations.

Utility crews from North and Central Texas are being diverted to South, so YES, those of us in Central Texas will be at the "bottom of the service list," per the Captain, LOL. He said we should be seeing convoys of the trucks on I-35 within an hour, heading south.

Shelter details being worked out, availability lists will be finalized by this evening.

400 troopers called to Austin HQ by noon on Friday, waiting for further instruction...100 more within 1 hour of response time to Austin, so 500 troopers assigned to "wherever" needed for Rita activities.

kato
09-21-2005, 12:35 PM
Gov. on news asking that all along the coast from Corpus to Beaumont/Port Arthur to leave NOW. It takes 33 hrs. to fully evacuate. Do not panic we have been preparing for years for this type of catastrophic event. Do not forget ID's.

kato
09-21-2005, 12:42 PM
A grocery store in north Houston was running so low on water they have started rationing it out.

kato
09-21-2005, 12:51 PM
Inbound lane of I-45, the causeway, into Galveston will be closed at 6 pm tonight.

Becba
09-21-2005, 12:59 PM
Hubby just got his boat into Fourchoun (sp) in LA. He said they had to wait hours so many boats could be moved out to make space for them. He runs a 250plus foot boat and they move smaller ones further inland. Said they are stacked 5 abreast where he is. Glad to see they are getting everyone back to shore and making room.

Luckily he may come home in a couple of weeks because he has been so stressed having to run from 2 bad hurricanes he needs a break. Said he had 35 knot winds in the gulf.

Just hoping this one drops down to a lower catagory before it hits.

FACE-IT
09-21-2005, 12:59 PM
Hopefully the time of the high tide won't coincide with the storm surge. I haven't see any estimates yet of how high it could be. As the probable track is determined, before landfall, we should begin hearing about that.

Galveston Bay entrance, south jetty
23 September 2005 - 24 September 2005
29.3333° N, 94.7000° W

2005-09-23 07:07 CDT Sunrise
2005-09-23 12:58 CDT Moonset
2005-09-23 13:56 CDT 0.24 feet Low Tide
2005-09-23 19:13 CDT Sunset
2005-09-23 23:06 CDT Moonrise
2005-09-24 00:16 CDT 2.70 feet High Tide
2005-09-24 07:08 CDT Sunrise
2005-09-24 13:57 CDT Moonset
2005-09-24 14:59 CDT 0.32 feet Low Tide
2005-09-24 19:12 CDT Sunset
2005-09-24 23:57 CDT Moonrise

Gabby
09-21-2005, 01:00 PM
K-toe - or anyone, give me some idea where some of these cities are located per the link below, i.e., Galveston, Houston, etc. Can't tell from this map. Also, maybe San Antonio would be a good place to head - wouldn't hurt to call and make a reservation somewhere. San Antonio is a great town to visit too, if you haven't been there lately.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/145605.shtml?5day



Poco... Houston is on the coastline...as is Galveston... if you can find dallas on your map... you can go south and you will see Houston right on the coast, also Galveston is an Island -- the causeway is the only route in/out of Galveston Island... Beaumont/Nederland/Port Arthur is only a little ways up towards Louisiana from Houston... I have family in that area----

poco
09-21-2005, 01:35 PM
Poco... Houston is on the coastline...as is Galveston... if you can find dallas on your map... you can go south and you will see Houston right on the coast, also Galveston is an Island -- the causeway is the only route in/out of Galveston Island... Beaumont/Nederland/Port Arthur is only a little ways up towards Louisiana from Houston... I have family in that area----

Thanks, I kinda knew all that - I was just trying to figure out where these cities were in reference to this line.........
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/145605.shtml?5day

FACE-IT
09-21-2005, 01:38 PM
From the earlier report:

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RITA IS A EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND COULD REACH CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY IN
THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES. THE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH RITA IS FORECAST TO
EXPAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

Everyone has their eyes on Rita, waiting for it to begin to make its turn towards the North. Then the prediction of where it will make landfall will start to be a little more accurate.

kato
09-21-2005, 02:01 PM
They are showing local radar and the part of town we live in it shows we could have +74 mph winds.

Details
09-21-2005, 02:04 PM
From what I remember seeing last night, and what I saw this morning, looks like it's possible tracks are starting to veer closer to New Orleans - last night it wasn't close, today, NO is just about within the possible track balloon (CNN).

FACE-IT
09-21-2005, 02:04 PM
Rita may end up being LARGER THAN KATRINA. It's getting BIGGER.

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

Shadow205
09-21-2005, 02:05 PM
Latest update has it at 923mbs which is where Katrina was when it made landfall. Not a good sign at all.

kato
09-21-2005, 02:06 PM
Rita may end up being LARGER THAN KATRINA. It's getting BIGGER.

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

Buzz:

Just want to thank you for all your frequent updates.

TexMex
09-21-2005, 02:07 PM
poco, it's hard to tell by that map. San Antonio is probably still full of Katrina evacuees also.


I talked with a woman this morning who said the closest hotel room she could find was in SAN ANGELO!! That's almost to Abilene---7 hours from my house...

kato
09-21-2005, 02:08 PM
I talked with a woman this morning who said the closest hotel room she could find was in SAN ANGELO!! That's almost to Abilene---7 hours from my house...

Man! That's way up in the panhandle. People might have to start going into OK.

TexMex
09-21-2005, 02:09 PM
From what I remember seeing last night, and what I saw this morning, looks like it's possible tracks are starting to veer closer to New Orleans - last night it wasn't close, today, NO is just about within the possible track balloon (CNN).

Here are the latest models....looks like NO will be OK---will probably get some rains......


http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200518_model.html


coming in between Corpus and Galveston

Shadow205
09-21-2005, 02:12 PM
Is there someone on here who is actually looking/needing a hotel room? If so I will try and help you find one. Just checked Austin, there are NO rooms there. Let me know and I'll tell you what I find.

Shadow205
09-21-2005, 02:17 PM
No Vacancies in SanAntonio!

kato
09-21-2005, 02:19 PM
No Vacancies in SanAntonio!

Probably because alot of Katrina evacuees went there.

FACE-IT
09-21-2005, 02:19 PM
Comparisons:

KATRINA REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES.

RITA---HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES. THE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH RITA IS FORECAST TO
EXPAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. (Note: The next National Hurrrican Center update at 4:00PM CDT should show a fairly large increase in size).

TexMex
09-21-2005, 02:22 PM
Probably because alot of Katrina evacuees went there.


I'm sure some of the NO evacs are still there, plus people from Galveston, Brazoria county area then all the folks from Houston---what's the population of the greater Houston area now? Probab;y 4 MILLION? Lot's more than the 500,000 approx in New Orleans......

Details
09-21-2005, 02:23 PM
Sounds like Texas is much better organized than Louisiana was. The mayors and governor need to call for people to share hotel rooms, as well as cars out of the city.

kato
09-21-2005, 02:23 PM
I'm sure some of the NO evacs are still there, plus people from Galveston, Brazoria county area then all the folks from Houston---what's the population of the greater Houston area now? Probab;y 4 MILLION? Lot's more than the 500,000 approx in New Orleans......

Yup, about 4.5 mil..

NewMom2003
09-21-2005, 02:28 PM
Is there someone on here who is actually looking/needing a hotel room? If so I will try and help you find one. Just checked Austin, there are NO rooms there. Let me know and I'll tell you what I find.

That is so sweet of you. I'm told by a co-worker that there are no rooms in the Dallas/Fort Worth area either.

I just got back from my local Wal-Mart and Kroger and they are both a mad house. Wal-Mart was totally out of water and Kroger is rationing out what little they have. I was able to get pretty much everything on my list except for bread and peanut butter. Both stores were totally out. Surprisingly, I found canned milk. I really thought I would have a hard time getting that.

Prayers for all my fellow Texans. I don't know about y'all, but I'm really getting scared.

scandi
09-21-2005, 02:28 PM
Last night I heard them mention evacuating to Huntsville.

I'm way over here in Oregon, but have everyone in my thoughts and prayers, and hope that people heed the call to leave and that they will all check with their neighbors to make sure they also have a way to leave.

Again Buzz, thanks for your constant attention to detail with all of this pertinant storm information. I sent the moving map of Katrina to everyone in my family!


Scandi

poco
09-21-2005, 02:28 PM
Yup, about 4.5 mil..

K-Toe - I can't believe you are still there - GET OUT OF TOWN!!!!

Shadow205
09-21-2005, 02:32 PM
Last night I heard them mention evacuating to Huntsville.

I'm way over here in Oregon, but have everyone in my thoughts and prayers, and hope that people heed the call to leave and that they will all check with their neighbors to make sure they also have a way to leave.

Again Buzz, thanks for your constant attention to detail with all of this pertinant storm information. I sent the moving map of Katrina to everyone in my family!


Scandi
No rooms in Huntsville,TX Scandi. Any other ideas?

FACE-IT
09-21-2005, 02:32 PM
Latest update has it at 923mbs which is where Katrina was when it made landfall. Not a good sign at all.Shadow, where did you see 923mbs?? The last I saw was 944mbs from the National Hurricane Center report.

kato
09-21-2005, 02:33 PM
That is so sweet of you. I'm told by a co-worker that there are no rooms in the Dallas/Fort Worth area either.

I just got back from my local Wal-Mart and Kroger and they are both a mad house. Wal-Mart was totally out of water and Kroger is rationing out what little they have. I was able to get pretty much everything on my list except for bread and peanut butter. Both stores were totally out. Surprisingly, I found canned milk. I really thought I would have a hard time getting that.

Prayers for all my fellow Texans. I don't know about y'all, but I'm really getting scared.

It's ok NewMom. Just pray. I don't know why I'm not scared. Are you off work? I keep p-nut butter in my desk all the time and at home. Thank goodness my BF is obssesed with bad weather. He's been preparing since Feb.. LOL Brought alot of stuff home from where he goes hunting.

Dark Knight
09-21-2005, 02:34 PM
RECON FINDS 175 MPH FLIGHT LEVEL WIND
RITA NEARING CAT 5 HURRICANE!


The NOAA airplane investigating Rita found a peak wind of 175 mph. The pressure has fallen to 923 mb, which is just shy of the 920 mb Cat 5 pressure. Rita continues to strengthen and will become a Cat 5 hurricane.

kato
09-21-2005, 02:35 PM
K-Toe - I can't believe you are still there - GET OUT OF TOWN!!!!

poco. I'll be ok.. Besides there's no room at the inn. LOL
K-Toe reminds of the good ole days.

Shadow205
09-21-2005, 02:36 PM
Shadow, where did you see 923mbs?? The last I saw was 944mbs from the National Hurricane Center report.
Buzz, I saw that on the Weather CHannel at the 2:00pm update.