Hi Scandi,
I think she was taken by someone who was either on holiday there, or lives there. I think she was taken for sexual purposes and then killed.
I think if someone wanted a daughter, it would have been safer and smarter to choose the 2 year old -- easier to transport, can't talk well yet, very likely won't remember the circumstances under which she was taken due to her tender age at abduction.
I think they took only one child because there was only one person involved in the actual kidnapping. I think the kidnapper was a man, so he would have been daunted at the prospect of carrying away three little children in a secretive manner. I also think he only needed one child.
I think it is possible that Madeleine was kidnapped and taken to Africa or the Middle East, by someone who had customer for a child who looked like her. I don't think it is probable, though.
I think there is a 50% chance, based on what I have read, that Mr. Murat is involved. His actions seem fishy, but they do not make the case. The police did not find Madeleine at his house. Much has been made of the secret room, but it was there when he moved in, and it is not easily accessed, and there was no sign of Madeleine there. The forensic test results are unknown. Right now, I think that RM is a questionable figure, but too much is unknown to form a strong opinion about him.
There have been too many cases in which the abducted girl was found right next door, or close by. That's why I think this is the most likely what has occurred -- one person who lives nearby has or had her.
It is very easy to get rid of a body in that area, because the sea is right there. The boat and the man could be anywhere by now.
The Norwegian woman may believe with 99% certainty that she saw Madeleine, but that doesn't mean she did. She did not know about Madeleine's distinctive eye, so she may have seen a girl who looks very similar.
There are very few actual facts known about this case, so it is hard to speculate based on facts. The news media has reported too many contradictory "facts". They are not even sure that the Russian man questioned is the same man as the Russian sex offender they had referred to in an earlier story.
I know LE is working very hard on this case and I hope they are successful. I hope that I am wrong and that Madeleine is found alive.
I am trying not to focus much of my time on this story, as of today. I do check to see whether Madeleine has been found, and I do pray for her. I also dream about her, and that has got to stop. In my dreams, I hear a little girl calling for her Mommy. This is not a psychic thing -- I've just been following the case, is all, and it is showing up in my dreams. I dream that I am awake while this is going on, then when I do drift close to being awake, even though I struggle to wake back up, I'm pulled right back into a Madeleine dream. For the first time, one of my kids woke me up from a nap, and I was grateful.
The worst part is that it really hits home what her parents' dreams must be like. I hope they have sleeping pills that cause them to sleep without dreams, because if there aren't any pills like that, they must be tortured every time they sleep.
* Do you think she was taken by someone that lives locally.
* Do you think she was taken for personal sexual gratification, to be used and then killed to hide his crime?
* Do you think she was taken by someone who wanted a daughter.
* Do you think she was taken and passed on to another to sell, and then was spirited out of the area quickly in a very organized way?
* Why did they take only one child when they could have had 3?
* Do you think this Mr Murat is involved in grabbing her from what you have read?
The info gleaned so far tells me someone was casing for a little girl in that area. Have they located that man who was seen by several people, esp. by one father up close?
With the 2 scenarios I think LE has zoned in on the sale idea and quick spiriting of her out of the area. That makes the search much more difficult.
Scandi