Atlantic 2013 Tropical Weather and Maps

raine1212

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Could this our first storm of the season


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN JUN 2 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EXTENDING FROM THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
NORTHEASTWARD TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA IS NOT SHOWING ANY SIGNS
OF ORGANIZATION. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY
TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT DRIFTS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.







http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
 
8 am update 06/03/2013

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON JUN 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWESTERN YUCATAN
PENINSULA TO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA
OF CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS GENERALLY NORTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
at201391_model.gif
 
Recon for today so they are going out to take a look

NOUS42 KNHC 031421
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1020 AM EDT MON 03 JUNE 2013
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z JUNE 2013
TCPOD NUMBER.....13-003

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA---GULF OF MEXICO
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 04/1900Z
B. AFXXX 01XXA INVEST
C. 04/1730Z
D. 24.0N 88.5W
E. 04/1845Z TO 04/2300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT.

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE FIX MISSION
NEAR 24.5N 88.5W AT 05/1800Z.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
 
Recon plan for tomorrow, this could change

NOUS42 KNHC 031421
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1020 AM EDT MON 03 JUNE 2013
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z JUNE 2013
TCPOD NUMBER.....13-003

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA---GULF OF MEXICO
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 04/1900Z
B. AFXXX 01XXA INVEST
C. 04/1730Z
D. 24.0N 88.5W
E. 04/1845Z TO 04/2300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT.

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE FIX MISSION
NEAR 24.5N 88.5W AT 05/1800Z.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
 
ShowMe. Depends, We will start will Breaking News and move to regions so people can get updates without weeding through the breaking weather.

If 91L is named, I will start a separate thread at that time. I will use this thread for the start of the storms, Like I have done with 91L, she may fizzle there is a lot of dry air that could wrap around or invade the storm.
 
ShowMe. Depends, We will start will Breaking News and move to regions so people can get updates without weeding through the breaking weather.

If 91L is named, I will start a separate thread at that time. I will use this thread for the start of the storms, Like I have done with 91L, she may fizzle there is a lot of dry air that could wrap around or invade the storm.
 
Tropical weather outlook
nws national hurricane center miami fl
200 pm edt mon jun 3 2013

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

1. A weak low pressure area is located over the south-central gulf of
mexico. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with
this system are located well east of the center due to unfavorable
upper-level winds. Any development of this system is likely to be
slow to occur due to the marginally favorable environmental
conditions. This system has a low chance...20 percent...of
becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it drifts
generally northward.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
 
Tropical waves...
Tropical wave is along 12n32w 5n37w moving west near 10 kt. The
wave lies on the west side of a surge of deep layer moisture
evident in total precipitable water imagery. There is also a
clearing in the area of african dust that is north and west of
the wave. The wave also coincides with a 700 mb trough
axis...which also has a ne to sw tilt. Isolated moderate
convection is from 8n-12n between 30w-36w.

Tropical wave is along 18n60w 9n61w moving west near 15 kt. The
wave lies within a surge of deep layer moisture present in total
precipitable water imagery. It also is just west of a large area
of dust that extends around the easternmost wave and continues
to about 58w. Scattered moderate convection is from 14n-19n
between 59w-62w...and from 9n-12n between 58w-63w.
 

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