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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jan 2004
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    Tropical Storm Karen in Gulf of Mexico

    Thanks, Peliman. I'll ask a mod about having it both places. This morning Karen seems to have moved a little more to the west.





    I can't save this graphic at CNN that shows it even more to the west landing around Mobile:

    http://www.cnn.com/2013/10/04/world/...html?hpt=hp_t2

    The National Hurricane Center issued a hurricane watch for the area from Grand Isle, Louisiana, to west of Destin, Florida. The center of the storm is forecast to be near the coast within that area Saturday........

    The storm, centered about 275 miles south-southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River about 8 a.m. ET Friday, prompted the Federal Emergency Management Agency to recall some of its workers furloughed during the government shutdown. The agency also reactivated its Hurricane Liaison Team at the National Hurricane Center in Miami. FEMA officials in the Atlanta and Denton, Texas, offices are monitoring Karen........

    "Karen is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches over portions of the central and eastern Gulf Coast through Sunday night," the hurricane center said. "Isolated storm total amounts of 12 inches are possible.".......


    "The further we (as the human race) grow away from the natural world, the quieter the natural world becomes and the more pathological we become as a culture."........Bernie Krause

    The citizens of the United States of America have a right to applaud themselves for having given to mankind examples of an enlarged and liberal policy—a policy worthy of imitation......which gives to bigotry no sanction, to persecution no assistance.......George Washington

  2. #2
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    Jan 2004
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    Karen's strength wavers; focus remains on central Gulf coast

    http://www.wtxl.com/news/local/karen...9bb30f31a.html

    Highest sustained winds around Karen's center were 50 mph as of late Friday morning. The storm was moving north-northwest at 10 mph, and the slower rate of forward motion is expected for the rest of the day.

    Karen's central low is roughly 500 miles southwest of the Big Bend coast. The current forecast track show potential landfall between the Louisiana delta region and the eastern Florida panhandle as a slightly stronger tropical storm on Sunday morning. As Karen is pushed northeastward by an approaching cold front, the remnants will combine with the front, spreading moisture and rain over Alabama, Georgia, and the Carolinas early next week.


    "The further we (as the human race) grow away from the natural world, the quieter the natural world becomes and the more pathological we become as a culture."........Bernie Krause

    The citizens of the United States of America have a right to applaud themselves for having given to mankind examples of an enlarged and liberal policy—a policy worthy of imitation......which gives to bigotry no sanction, to persecution no assistance.......George Washington

  3. #3
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    Jan 2004
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    7,020
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../051432.shtml?

    Tropical storm karen discussion number 10
    nws national hurricane center miami fl al122013
    1000 am cdt sat oct 05 2013

    the low-level center of karen remains exposed about 100 n mi to the
    west-northwest of the deep convection. Based on several sfmr
    winds around 35 kt from the earlier aircraft missions in karen
    early this morning...the initial intensity remains 35 kt. The next
    aircraft missions into karen this afternoon will help determine if
    the cyclone has weakened to a depression. The environment remains
    unfavorable for intensification and most of the guidance shows
    gradual weakening. The new nhc forecast shows the system weakening
    to a depression in 24 hours. There is little difference in impacts
    between a 30-kt depression and a 35-kt tropical storm...and
    tropical storm force gusts could easily occur in convective bands.
    Karen should dissipate or be absorbed by a cold front shortly after
    48 hours.

    Karen has been moved quickly north-northwestward over the past few
    hours...and the initial position is to the left and ahead of the
    previous forecast track. The initial motion estimate is now
    355/07...as karen has now turned northward. A sharp northeastward
    turn is shown by all of the guidance in the next 24 hours ahead of
    a mid/upper-level trough...with an east-northeastward motion and an
    increase in forward speed expected through dissipation......more......





    "The further we (as the human race) grow away from the natural world, the quieter the natural world becomes and the more pathological we become as a culture."........Bernie Krause

    The citizens of the United States of America have a right to applaud themselves for having given to mankind examples of an enlarged and liberal policy—a policy worthy of imitation......which gives to bigotry no sanction, to persecution no assistance.......George Washington



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