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  1. #1
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    Exclamation Historic Weather Setup for Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio

    ALERT! TORNADO OUTBREAK LIKELY TODAY!


    Hopefully you have heard by now that there will be a dangerous severe weather outbreak today. This event should not be taken lightly, and not taking action once warnings are issued is irresponsible and could result in injury or death.

    Today's severe weather setup is something we see once every 5 to 10 years.

    The tornadic threat is high

    The damaging wind threat is very high

    For the sake of damage and injury potential from today's system, we hope we are wrong, but unfortunately it does not look like we are. This has the potential to be a historic event in weather history..






    PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0249 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE MID-MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS INTO MICHIGAN TODAY THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT... The NWS Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma is forecasting the development of a few strong, long-track tornadoes over parts of the Mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys into Michigan today through early tonight. The areas most likely to experience this activity include: Illinois Indiana Northern and Western Kentucky Lower Michigan Ohio Southeast Wisconsin Surrounding this greatest risk region, severe thunderstorms will also be possible from parts of Wisconsin, Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, and Tennessee northeastward across much of the Appalachians to the lower Great Lakes. A potent jet stream disturbance with wind speeds in excess of 120 knots will sweep east across the central Plains today and across the Ohio Valley and northern half of the Appalachians tonight. As this occurs, a surface low now over the mid-Mississippi Valley will rapidly intensify and accelerate northeastward, reaching northern Michigan early tonight and western Quebec Monday morning. East of the low, increasingly warm and humid air at the surface will spread north across the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys, contributing to very unstable conditions over a large part of the east central United States. Coupled with daytime heating and ascent provided the jet stream impulse, the environment will become very favorable for severe thunderstorms --- especially along and ahead of fast-moving cold front trailing southward from the low into the mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Given the degree of thermodynamic instability, and the strength and character of the winds through the depth of the atmosphere, many of the storms will become supercells. Some of these will be capable of producing strong tornadoes --- in addition to large hail and swaths of damaging surface winds. The storms are expected to consolidate into one or two extensive lines later today into tonight --- extending the threat for damaging winds and isolated tornadoes eastward into the Appalachians by early Monday. State and local emergency managers are monitoring this potentially very dangerous situation. Those in the threatened area are urged to review severe weather safety rules and to listen to radio, television, and NOAA Weather Radio for possible watches, warnings, and statements later today.


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    10 There shall not be found among you anyone who makes his son or his daughter pass through the fire, or one who practices witchcraft, or a soothsayer, or one who interprets omens, or a sorcerer, 11 or one who conjures spells, or a medium, or a spiritist, or one who calls up the dead. 12 For all who do these things are an abomination to the Lord. (KJV)

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  2. #2
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    Thanks for the heads up! My county is in the alert area

  3. #3
    BetteDavisEyes's Avatar
    BetteDavisEyes is offline "Fasten your seatbelts. It's going to be a bumpy night."
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    I received two email alerts overnight regarding high wind warnings for southeastern lower Michigan. http://detroit.justweather.com/severe/

    DH did a lot of yard work yesterday in anticipation of today's rain and wind. We'll spend the day watching the SVU Cause of Death marathon on USA

    Be safe!

  4. #4
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    it is 65 here right now and really, really still... I don't like it.

    High winds are supposed to hit here around five.

  5. #5
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    http://www.wxyz.com/dpp/weather/fore...latestforecast

    for those in the metro D area here is a link to breaking weather alerts, etc

  6. #6
    BetteDavisEyes's Avatar
    BetteDavisEyes is offline "Fasten your seatbelts. It's going to be a bumpy night."
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    New email alert from WDIV, Channel 4 (www.clickondetroit.com):

    Weather Alert for Oakland County, MI

    ! Tornado Watch !

    Issued at: 11:20 am EST on November 17, 2013, expires at: 8:00 PM EST on
    November 17, 2013

    Tornado Watch 562 is in effect until 800 PM EST for the
    following locations

    . Michigan counties included are
    Allegan Barry Bay
    Berrien branch Calhoun
    Cass Clare Clinton
    Eaton Genesee Gratiot
    Hillsdale Huron Ingham
    Ionia Isabella Jackson
    Kalamazoo Kent Lake
    Lapeer Lenawee Livingston
    Macomb Mason Mecosta
    Midland Monroe Montcalm
    Muskegon Newaygo Oakland
    Oceana Osceola Ottawa
    Saginaw Sanilac Shiawassee
    St. Clair St. Joseph Tuscola
    Van Buren Washtenaw Wayne

    ! High Wind Warning !
    Issued at: 10:29 am EST on November 17, 2013, expires at: 5:00 AM EST on
    November 18, 2013

    ...High Wind Warning in effect from 5 PM this afternoon to 5 am
    EST Monday...
    The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a High
    Wind Warning...which is in effect from 5 PM this afternoon to
    5 am EST Monday. The high wind watch is no longer in effect.
    Hazardous weather...
    * southwest winds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts over 55 mph will
    develop this evening. Winds will turn westerly early tomorrow
    morning and decrease to 25 to 35 mph. However...wind gusts
    around 45 mph are likely into Monday.
    Impacts...
    * tree damage is expected leading to downed power lines and numerous
    power outages.
    * Weak structures like old barns and sheds will be susceptible
    to being blown down.
    * Travel on north-south roads will become hazardous in the
    strong winds especially for high profile vehicles.
    * Precautionary/preparedness actions...
    * a High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is
    expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph
    or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

  7. #7
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    I know that very still feeling; in CA we always called it earthquake weather; hot dry and extremely still. Then :chit: hits the fan!
    Dont Be A Sheep

  8. #8
    BetteDavisEyes's Avatar
    BetteDavisEyes is offline "Fasten your seatbelts. It's going to be a bumpy night."
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    Quote Originally Posted by nursebeeme View Post
    it is 65 here right now and really, really still... I don't like it.

    High winds are supposed to hit here around five.
    When DH went out to get breakfast @10:00, it was bright and sunny. In the last 20 minutes, it has gotten very dark and creepy.

  9. #9
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    Stay safe everybody!

  10. #10
    BetteDavisEyes's Avatar
    BetteDavisEyes is offline "Fasten your seatbelts. It's going to be a bumpy night."
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    It just started pouring!

    Stay safe.


  11. #11
    BetteDavisEyes's Avatar
    BetteDavisEyes is offline "Fasten your seatbelts. It's going to be a bumpy night."
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    Midwest under high storm threat

    DON BABWIN, AP
    43 minutes ago

    CHICAGO (AP) — A number of Midwestern states woke up Sunday to the threat of intense thunderstorms and even tornados, with officials raising concerns that people — including fans heading to some NFL games — might be caught off guard by such severe weather at this time of year.

    "People can fall into complacency because they don't see severe weather and tornados, but we do stress that they should keep a vigilant eye on the weather and have a means to hear a tornado warning because things can change very quickly," said Matt Friedlein, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service...

    http://xfinity.comcast.net/articles/...evere.Weather/

  12. #12
    BetteDavisEyes's Avatar
    BetteDavisEyes is offline "Fasten your seatbelts. It's going to be a bumpy night."
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    Tornado watch posted for much of Michigan as wild weather socks the Midwest

    Highs well in the 60s


    Author: Andrew Humphrey, Local 4 Meteorologist
    Paul Gross

    Published On: Nov 17 2013 04:06:06 AM EST Updated On: Nov 17 2013 12:50:47 PM EST

    DETROIT -
    A tornado watch has been posted for more than half of Michigan's 83 counties, from Lake Michigan in the west to the state's most populous counties in the east.

    The tornado watch expires at8 p.m. EST Sunday.

    Awatch means conditions arefavorable for a tornado. Atornado can appear with littleor no warning.

    Parts of Illinois, Indiana, southern Michigan and western Ohio are at the greatest risk of seeing tornadoes, large hail and damaging winds...

    http://www.clickondetroit.com/weathe...z/-/index.html

  13. #13
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    blew through StL metro area in the passed hour . . . was awesome!
    ~ krimekat ~
    Live in Peace & Peace will live in you

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  14. #14
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    Jul 2004
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    Southwest Ohio here, Ohio River Valley. It has been raining since early AM. Not pouring, but steady with no let ups. Water is now accumulating in the yards. No thunder or lightning, not much wind so far.
    Just when I think that I have seen the most depraved things a human can do to another human, somebody posts a new story...........

    Why is it that when a custodial parent fails to provide for a child it is called neglect and is a criminal matter. But when a non custodial parent fails to provide it is called failure to support and is a civil matter?


    "Just when the caterpillar thought its world was over, it became a butterfly" ~ Michelle Knight

  15. #15
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    LIVE UPDATES: Tornado Outbreak, Widespread Damaging Winds Sunday

    http://www.wunderground.com/news/liv...unday-20131117

    1:32
    @WxNick
    #Tornado damage near Peoria late this morning RT @ChrisKhoury182: #WashingtonIL pic.twitter.com/7Bysh9r8Lm

    Horrible picture. Hope everyone stays safe!


    "The further we (as the human race) grow away from the natural world, the quieter the natural world becomes and the more pathological we become as a culture."........Bernie Krause

    The citizens of the United States of America have a right to applaud themselves for having given to mankind examples of an enlarged and liberal policy—a policy worthy of imitation......which gives to bigotry no sanction, to persecution no assistance.......George Washington

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