Tropical Depression Twenty-Seven

Tropical Depression TWENTY-SEVEN Public Advisory

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...DEPRESSION SLOWLY ORGANIZING OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...

INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND
AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-SEVEN WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE
63.6 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES... 280 KM... WEST OF ST. LUCIA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH... 11
KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST... AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. WINDS COULD STILL
GUST TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5
TO 8 INCHES OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...AND 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS... PUERTO RICO... AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AREAS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
PUERTO RICO... AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...13.8 N... 63.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER KNABB

for those as geographically challenged as I am, where could this one end up??

Pook said:

for those as geographically challenged as I am, where could this one end up??

Click to expand...

I heard something about Royal Oak, Michigan

Pook said:

for those as geographically challenged as I am, where could this one end up??

Click to expand...

Looks like the Northern portion of South America. I'll post the prediction maps later on tonight/

The Depression Is Expected To Produce Total Rain Accumulations Of 5
To 8 Inches Over The Windward Islands...and 3 To 5 Inches Over The
Leeward Islands... Puerto Rico... And The Virgin Islands. Isolated
Maximum Amounts Of 10 To 12 Inches Will Be Possible Over The Higher
Terrain Areas Of The Windward Islands...the Leeward Islands...
Puerto Rico... And The Virgin Islands.

Repeating The 5 Pm Ast Position...14.2 N... 64.5 W. Movement
Toward...west-northwest Near 8 Mph. Maximum Sustained
Winds... 35 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...1006 Mb.

When I read the title of this thread on the front of the forum it only said, "Tropical Depression."

I thought this thread was going to be about people being depressed who live in the tropics.

I need my rest, my medication and my shrink.

Bye bye.

LOLOL If we all keep getting hit with these storms there will be a thread about people in the tropics depressed !!

Most Of The Rainfall Associated With The Depression Is Occurring In
The Eastern Half Of The Circulation. The Depression Is Expected To
Produce Total Rain Accumulations Of 5 To 8 Inches Over The Windward
Islands...and 1 To 3 Inches Over The Leeward Islands... Puerto
Rico... And The Virgin Islands. Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 10 To
12 Inches Will Be Possible Over The Higher Terrain Areas Of The
Windward Islands...the Leeward Islands... Puerto Rico... And The
Virgin Islands.

Repeating The 11 Pm Ast Position...14.5 N... 65.3 W. Movement
Toward...west-northwest Near 9 Mph. Maximum Sustained
Winds... 35 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...1004 Mb.

Tropical Depression 27 Five Day Cone
http://tinyurl.com/cn2xk

Tropical Depression 27 Satellite Image
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

Buzzm1 said:

Most Of The Rainfall Associated With The Depression Is Occurring In
The Eastern Half Of The Circulation. The Depression Is Expected To
Produce Total Rain Accumulations Of 5 To 8 Inches Over The Windward
Islands...and 1 To 3 Inches Over The Leeward Islands... Puerto
Rico... And The Virgin Islands. Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 10 To
12 Inches Will Be Possible Over The Higher Terrain Areas Of The
Windward Islands...the Leeward Islands... Puerto Rico... And The
Virgin Islands.

Repeating The 11 Pm Ast Position...14.5 N... 65.3 W. Movement
Toward...west-northwest Near 9 Mph. Maximum Sustained
Winds... 35 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...1004 Mb.

Click to expand...

yo buzz thanks for the report lol

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH... 19 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS ON ITS WAY TO THE
DEPRESSION AND WILL PROVIDE ADDITIONAL DATA ON THE INTENSITY THIS
AFTERNOON.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS... NORTHERN VENEZUELA... AND POSSIBLY OVER
ARUBA... BONAIRE... AND CURACAO.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...14.2 N... 67.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.


Tropical Depression 27 Five Day Cone
http://tinyurl.com/cn2xk

Tropical Depression 27 Satellite Image
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 265 MILES... 420 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH... 20 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 1006
MB...29.71 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS... NORTHERN VENEZUELA... AND POSSIBLY OVER
ARUBA... BONAIRE... AND CURACAO.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N... 69.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

Tropical Depression 27 Five Day Cone
http://tinyurl.com/cn2xk

Tropical Depression 27 Satellite Image
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy