1265 users online (214 members and 1051 guests)  


Websleuths News


Page 2 of 74 FirstFirst 1 2 3 4 12 52 ... LastLast
Results 16 to 30 of 1101
  1. #16
    Join Date
    Jul 2012
    Location
    Piney Woods
    Posts
    8,196
    Subscribing! Praying Irma weakens!

  2. #17
    Join Date
    Jun 2012
    Location
    where the big sharks come to play
    Posts
    5,571
    ......watching intently

    "Spaghetti" all over my area SE fl
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
    "Look, if any of us wanted to mind our own business, we wouldn't be here" (carbuff 8/11/13)

    This post reflects my constitutionally-protected opinion. Please do not copy it anywhere else outside of the WebSleuth forum

  3. #18
    Join Date
    May 2017
    Location
    South Carolina
    Posts
    3,130
    Cariis- looking like an East coast event...although hurricanes have a mind of their own and change it regularly.

    http://spaghettimodels.com

    Sent from my VK815 using Tapatalk
    "The truth is rarely pure and never simple" - Oscar Wilde


    In my opinion....speculation

  4. #19
    Join Date
    May 2017
    Location
    South Carolina
    Posts
    3,130
    Quote Originally Posted by ATasteOfHoney View Post
    ......watching intently

    "Spaghetti" all over my area SE fl
    Yep...feeling a little sick. Hoping it doesn't move West.

    Sent from my VK815 using Tapatalk
    "The truth is rarely pure and never simple" - Oscar Wilde


    In my opinion....speculation

  5. #20
    Join Date
    May 2013
    Posts
    20,020

    GEFS spaghetti plots are becoming more confident in Irma impacting the U.S. East Coast.


    The overnight European model run brings a dangerously strong Irma onshore over the Southeast U.S. next week.


    European spaghetti plots are showing high confidence in a track that takes Irma in between the Caribbean and Bermuda.


    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...=.637bd769ae73

  6. #21
    Join Date
    Jul 2008
    Posts
    16,255
    It's my opinion if no link provided.


    Misspellings due to fat fingers

    Words matter.

    You don't know what you don't know.

  7. #22
    Join Date
    May 2017
    Location
    South Carolina
    Posts
    3,130
    What a difference 12 hours can make. GFS moved the landing further north from the midnight model to the noon model. I'm guessing this back and forth will continue until Tuesday/Wednesday.



    Sent from my VK815 using Tapatalk
    "The truth is rarely pure and never simple" - Oscar Wilde


    In my opinion....speculation

  8. #23
    Join Date
    Jul 2012
    Location
    Piney Woods
    Posts
    8,196

  9. #24
    Join Date
    Jun 2012
    Location
    where the big sharks come to play
    Posts
    5,571
    There's a storm forming behind & south of Irma......keep eyes open folks
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
    "Look, if any of us wanted to mind our own business, we wouldn't be here" (carbuff 8/11/13)

    This post reflects my constitutionally-protected opinion. Please do not copy it anywhere else outside of the WebSleuth forum

  10. #25
    Join Date
    Jul 2012
    Location
    Piney Woods
    Posts
    8,196
    Thinking of Florida! Watching with you!


  11. #26
    Join Date
    May 2017
    Location
    South Carolina
    Posts
    3,130
    American and Canadian models..... Aligned very well on location. Not so much on intensity. These models have not performed well on intensity in the past.

    Noting charts so in a couple of days we can see how well they predict.

    http://trackthetropics.com

    Sent from my VK815 using Tapatalk
    "The truth is rarely pure and never simple" - Oscar Wilde


    In my opinion....speculation

  12. #27
    Join Date
    Aug 2014
    Posts
    1,855
    Henry, what does "Initialzed at 12z" mean? Is that the time of day the chart was run? I've seen multiple charts with differing z's, and was thinking if it was time, that I might be able to figure out more on these charts.

    all for posting the visuals! And yep, will be interesting if Euro/US/Canada pan out to be more correct as iirc the Euro model was right on target for Harvey.

  13. #28
    Join Date
    Aug 2010
    Location
    Scotland
    Posts
    5,188
    Quote Originally Posted by Bently View Post
    Henry, what does "Initialzed at 12z" mean? Is that the time of day the chart was run? I've seen multiple charts with differing z's, and was thinking if it was time, that I might be able to figure out more on these charts.

    all for posting the visuals! And yep, will be interesting if Euro/US/Canada pan out to be more correct as iirc the Euro model was right on target for Harvey.
    12z, 0z, etc.- These are timing signals for models, essentially done in military time with 24 hours. The main model times are 0z, 6z, 12z, and 18z, though most models come out at 0z and 12z. New data is taken officially every 12 hours, as 0z and 12z, which is why those are the two model runs with fresh data. The timing is actually that in London, where the first weather balloons were launched and timing needed to be standard across the globe for weather. Thus, 0z is midnight in England and 7 PM during winter in SW CT. 12z is noon in England, 7 AM here in SW CT. Models come out anywhere between 2 and 6 hours later than the timing in z shows they will, but the time stamp just shows what data was input.

    https://swctweather.com/weather-glossary/
    The man in my avatar may have killed two innocent teenagers Abigail Williams and Liberty German. If you know who he is Please call the tip line. There is a reward of $250,000 - Tel- 844.459.5786 or email: abbyandlibbytip@cacoshrf.com

    Merry Christmas to all Websleuths staff, members and guests.

  14. #29
    Join Date
    May 2017
    Location
    South Carolina
    Posts
    3,130
    Quote Originally Posted by gregjrichards View Post
    12z, 0z, etc.- These are timing signals for models, essentially done in military time with 24 hours. The main model times are 0z, 6z, 12z, and 18z, though most models come out at 0z and 12z. New data is taken officially every 12 hours, as 0z and 12z, which is why those are the two model runs with fresh data. /[/url]
    Yep....midnight and noon. 6:00 is not widely published until the big storms come along.

    Sent from my VK815 using Tapatalk
    "The truth is rarely pure and never simple" - Oscar Wilde


    In my opinion....speculation

  15. #30
    Join Date
    Jun 2012
    Location
    America
    Posts
    22,125
    I have been hiding from Irma!!

    when they go N of Cuba not good at all

Page 2 of 74 FirstFirst 1 2 3 4 12 52 ... LastLast


Similar Threads

  1. LA LA - Irma Byler, 67, Shreveport, 9 May 2017
    By JerseyGirl in forum Missing Persons Discussion
    Replies: 7
    Last Post: 06-25-2017, 04:35 PM
  2. Replies: 1
    Last Post: 08-23-2016, 12:42 AM
  3. Found Deceased IL - Irma Sabanovic, 25, Chicago, 12 May 2011
    By thesaint in forum Located Persons Discussion
    Replies: 5
    Last Post: 12-17-2012, 11:26 PM
  4. NY NY - Irma Luna, 12, Medina, 21 Oct 1993
    By Kymistry35 in forum 1990's Missing
    Replies: 2
    Last Post: 06-06-2011, 08:22 AM