08-07-2006, 08:13 AM #1
African disturbance a threat to become the next tropical storm
Conditions are much more favorable for development than we saw for Chris, and I expect we will see a tropical depression form by Tuesday night.
The computer models take the wave towards the west or west-northwest, bringing it to the Lesser Antilles Islands by Friday or Saturday. The GFDL models intensifies it to a Category 1 hurricane by Friday. Some of the other models are less impressed with the wave; the NOGAPS model doesn't develop it at all.