Tropical storm Felix forms in Caribbean

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Dark Knight

Dark Knight

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ACAPULCO, Mexico - Tropical Storm Henriette dumped heavy rains in this Pacific resort city, flooding streets and prompting officials to close more than 1,000 schools, while Tropical Storm Felix formed Saturday in the Caribbean.

Tropical Storm Felix became the sixth named storm of the 2007 Atlantic season early Saturday, forming over the Windward Islands in the eastern Caribbean. The storm was expected to strengthen over the next 24 hours, forecasters said.

At 5 a.m. EDT, the storm was centered about 30 miles northwest of Grenada, according to the National Hurricane Center. It had top sustained winds of 40 mph, just above the threshold to be a named storm, and was moving westward at about 18 mph.

Felix was expected to move away from the southern Windward Islands later Saturday morning and pass near Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao by evening or early Sunday, forecasters said. Tropical storm warnings were issued for the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070901...cal_weather;_ylt=AuHeLIyvjE3tDk2OZAfgoCKs0NUE
 
Felix becomes a hurricane much sooner than expected and also much stronger than they forecasted---Already 105 mph,and is affecting Aruba now--Belize and the Yucatan are in its future path
 
Thats going to be a big one. We should all be paying attention to Invest 98l and then in a blog they were talking abt 99. So stay turned....
 
repeating The 200 Pm Ast Position...13.4 N...71.2 W. \
Movement Toward...west-northwest Near 18 Mph.
Maximum Sustained Winds...125 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...964 Mb.

Category Three Hurricane:
Winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt or 178-209 km/hr). Storm surge generally 9-12 ft above normal. Some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings with a minor amount of curtainwall failures. Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off trees and large trees blown down. Mobile homes and poorly constructed signs are destroyed. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures with larger structures damaged by battering from floating debris. Terrain continuously lower than 5 ft above mean sea level may be flooded inland 8 miles (13 km) or more. Evacuation of low-lying residences with several blocks of the shoreline may be required. Hurricanes Jeanne and Ivan of 2004 were Category Three hurricanes when they made landfall in Florida and in Alabama, respectively.

 
Peter Hamilton said:
Felix becomes a hurricane much sooner than expected and also much stronger than they forecasted---Already 105 mph,and is affecting Aruba now--Belize and the Yucatan are in its future path
Click to expand...

Poor Yucatan, first a Cat 5 and now this.
 
Here we go again. Looks like Lousiana could be safe again but who knows.
 
FELIX IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.

ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...13.6 N...72.0 W.
MOVEMENTTOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB.

Category Four Hurricane:
Winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt or 210-249 km/hr). Storm surge generally 13-18 ft above normal. More extensive curtainwall failures with some complete roof structure failures on small residences. Shrubs, trees, and all signs are blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Extensive damage to doors and windows. Low-lying escape routes may be cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Major damage to lower floors of structures near the shore. Terrain lower than 10 ft above sea level may be flooded requiring massive evacuation of residential areas as far inland as 6 miles (10 km). Hurricane Charley of 2004 was a Category Four hurricane made landfall in Charlotte County, Florida with winds of 150 mph. Hurricane Dennis (pdf) of 2005 struck the island of Cuba as a Category Four
 
reports from a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that Felix
has intensified and is now a category five hurricane. The aircraft
reported peak flight-level winds of 152 kt...with peak SFMR winds
of 142 kt in the southwest quadrant. Higher SFMR winds were found
in the northeast quadrant...up to 163 kt...but these may have been
contaminated by groupel. A dropsonde released in the southwest
quadrant landed in the northeast quadrant...and this drop yielded a
surface estimate of 139 kt based on the lowest 150 M layer average.
Based on these data...the peak surface winds are estimated to be at
least 145 kt. An eye sonde measured a surface pressure of 936 mb
with surface winds of 24 kt. Because of the extreme turbulence and
groupel that the aircraft experienced...the mission is being
aborted and the aircraft is returning to St. Croix.


This special advisory is being issued to update the initial andforecast intensities. No other changes to the forecast are beingmade. This special advisory is being issued in lieu of thescheduled intermediate advisory.
 
Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on September 02, 2007

...Felix now a category five hurricane...
Reports from a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that Felixcontinues to rapidly strengthen.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Jamaica and for GrandCayman. A tropical storm watch means that tropical stormconditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36hours.
Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean Sea shouldclosely monitor the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area...including possibleinland watches and warnings...please monitor products issuedby your local weather office.
At 800 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Felix was locatednear latitude 13.8 north...longitude 72.9 west or about 390 miles...625 km...southeast of Kingston Jamaica.
Felix is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph...30 km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 165 mph...270 km/hr...with highergusts. Felix is a category five hurricane on the Saffir-Simpsonscale. Some fluctuations in intensity are to be expected over the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles...35 km...fromthe center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115miles...185 km.
The latest minimum central pressure estimated from reconnaissancedata is 934 mb...27.58 inches.
Felix is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inchesover the Guajira Peninsula of northern Colombia.
Repeating the 800 PM EDT position...13.8 N...72.9 W. Movementtoward...west-northwest near 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds...165mph. Minimum central pressure...934 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National HurricaneCenter at 1100 PM EDT.http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200706.public.html#a_topad
 
Beyond Belief said:
Felix now at 165 mph.
Click to expand...
Category Five Hurricane:
Winds greater than 155 mph (135 kt or 249 km/hr). Storm surge generally greater than 18 ft above normal. Complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings. Some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away. All shrubs, trees, and signs blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Severe and extensive window and door damage. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Major damage to lower floors of all structures located less than 15 ft above sea level and within 500 yards of the shoreline. Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 5-10 miles (8-16 km) of the shoreline may be required. Only 3 Category Five Hurricanes have made landfall in the United States since records began: The Labor Day Hurricane of 1935, Hurricane Camille (1969), and Hurricane Andrew in August, 1992. The 1935 Labor Day Hurricane struck the Florida Keys with a minimum pressure of 892 mb--the lowest pressure ever observed in the United States. Hurricane Camille struck the Mississippi Gulf Coast causing a 25-foot storm surge, which inundated Pass Christian. Hurricane Katrina (pdf), a category 5 storm over the Gulf of Mexico, was still responsible for at least 81 billion dollars of property damage when it struck the U.S. Gulf Coast as a category 3. It is by far the costliest hurricane to ever strike the United States. In addition, Hurricane Wilma (pdf) of 2005 was a Category Five hurricane at peak intensity and is the strongest Atlantic tropical cyclone on record with a minimum pressure of 882 mb.

3-Day Cone
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/000023.shtml?3day?large#contents
 
Is this why the price of gas jumped a dime today? :eek:
 
OMG! How horrible for those people getting hit again with a cat 5!!! Uh Oh...headed right for Belize! Hope my friend fairs OK through this one.
 
Felix is still relatively small as compared to its predecessor:

Felix - HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

Dean - HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.
 
Beyond Belief said:
Felix now at 165 mph.
Click to expand...
--Holy Crap!!Unbelievable--the hurricane "experts" said it would never get past 90 mph--Global Warming's gotta be a factor--7 of the top ten strongest storms ever recorded have happened in the last 19 years
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...13.9 N...73.9 W.
MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB.
 
My grandson just left for his last Coast Guard patrol in Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao areas and other points, he will return end of October then be out for good in November.

There is no amount of money that could get me to live in the part of the world where the hurricanes are a threat. Scary business, Mother Nature and the weather.

.
 
Camper said:
My grandson just left for his last Coast Guard patrol in Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao areas and other points, he will return end of October then be out for good in November.

There is no amount of money that could get me to live in the part of the world where the hurricanes are a threat. Scary business, Mother Nature and the weather.

.
Click to expand...
Camper, your grandson could make a pretty good career in the Coast Guard these days. They will play a very large role in our Homeland Security. Seems the Coast Guard would be attempting to keep their people. If it was the Army they would be offering him $$$$$ to stay.

Hoping Hurricane Felix stirred up the ocean around Aruba; maybe washing a piece of Natalee's clothing in.
 
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