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  1. #1
    Join Date
    May 2005
    Location
    Florida's Treasure Coast
    Posts
    14,495

    Invest 94, or (Gustav)

    Round 2. This will be Gustav should it turn into a hurricane. LOL

    Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
    -------------------------------------------------------------
    12 GMT 08/18/08 12.7N 34.4W 25 1009 Invest
    18 GMT 08/18/08 12.9N 35.2W 25 1009 Invest
    00 GMT 08/19/08 13.1N 36.2W 25 1009 Invest
    06 GMT 08/19/08 13.1N 37.0W 25 1009 Invest
    12 GMT 08/19/08 12.5N 37.2W 25 1009 Invest
    18 GMT 08/19/08 13.0N 37.9W 25 1007 Invest http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...894_model.html
    00 GMT 08/20/08 12.7N 38.4W 25 1007 Invest

  2. #2
    Join Date
    May 2005
    Location
    Florida's Treasure Coast
    Posts
    14,495
    Elsewhere in the tropics
    A tropical wave about 100 0miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has changed little today. This system (94L) shows signs of rotation on visible satellite imagery. Wind shear is a modest 10 knots over this disturbance, and is expected to remain about 10 knots through Wednesday. The storm is over warm 28°C waters. Given these moderately favorable conditions, NHC is giving this system a medium (20%-50% chance) of developing into a tropical depression by Thursday afternoon. The storm is expected to track west-northwest and be near the northern Lesser Antilles Islands by Friday night. The wind shear forecast has been flip-flopping from low to high and back to low again over the past two days, so I will cautiously forecast some slow development over the next few days, assuming that the current forecast of 10-15 knots will hold over the next 3-5 days. There is a large area of dry air and Saharan dust to the northwest of the storm, as seen on water vapor satellite imagery. This dry air is already interfering with development, and likely will continue to do so over the next three days. The GFDL and HWRF develop 94L into a weak tropical storm.
    http://www.wunderground.com/blog/Jef...&tstamp=200808

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Sep 2003
    Location
    SWFL
    Posts
    2,909

    Cool

    BB - hope that all is well over on your side of the "Sunshine" State! Soggy and Groggy over here after dealing with Fay who won't go Away!

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jan 2007
    Location
    MD 'burbs of Washington DC
    Posts
    5,900
    I saw this the other day... it was tagged at being at the orange level with a 20% to 50% chance of taking shape as a viable tropical entity... now it is back down to the yellow level of 20% to less chance. Hope it keeps diminishing...



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