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Old 06-01-2012, 08:56 PM
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LA - Mickey Shunick, 21, Lafayette; 19 May 2012 - #18

Michaela (Mickey) Shunick
Missing from Lafayette LA -- 19 May 2012


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Mickey Shunick, 21, Lafayette; 19 May 2012 * Timeline & Media Links ONLY *


BayouBecky's videos
of Mickey's possible routes homeward

KATC Twitter feed

• Website: Find Mickey Now

Lafayette Police Department updates

• Facebook link: Find Mickey Shunick Now

• If you find and post new info here on the discussion thread, please also post that link on the Time Line & Media Links *
• When new names - people, locations - enter the picture, please post them on this link's #tags, thanks.
• Please do not sleuth individuals who have not been mentioned in MSM either as persons of interest or as suspects by LE.
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:03 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by StreetcarRider View Post
Beyond white trucks and GIFs, I'd like to speculate about something.

For the sake of narrowing down the field, let's assume that Mickey Shunick left the area immediately surrounding these photos by vehicle. And that her bike traveled with her in the same vehicle.

What are the options for the manner in which she could have left? The way I see it, there aren't that many options...

A) She left willingly, either with someone she knew or someone who offered a ride. (Perhaps she recognized a friendly face, or maybe she willingly went along with a person she thought had accidentally bumped her.)

B) She left by force, which would seem to require either the use of restraints or two assailants- one to contain her and one to load her bike into/onto the vehicle.

C) She left by incapacitation, which would require an injury so severe that the person(s) who injured her would have had to load both Shunick and her bike into/onto the vehicle.

Given the evidence, we know that Shunick likely left the area shortly after she appears in the video still. Each of these options presents varying degrees of visibility, noise, and likelihood.

Using the theory of Occam's razor, which of these options do you think presents the most likely explanation of how Mickey Shunick disappeared?

Occam's razor - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Just because this was at the end of the other thread and I think it's an important question to ponder ...

(a) requires the least amount of assumptions in my head.
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:03 PM
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From Streetcarrider, previous thread

Beyond white trucks and GIFs, I'd like to speculate about something.*

For the sake of narrowing down the field, let's assume that Mickey Shunick left the area immediately surrounding these photos by vehicle. And that her bike traveled with her in the same vehicle.*

What are the options for the manner in which she could have left? The way I see it, there aren't that many options...

A) She left willingly, either with someone she knew or someone who offered a ride. (Perhaps she recognized a friendly face, or maybe she willingly went along with a person she thought had accidentally bumped her.)*

B) She left by force, which would seem to require either the use of restraints or two assailants- one to contain her and one to load her bike into/onto the vehicle.*

C) She left by incapacitation, which would require an injury so severe that the person(s) who injured her would have had to load both Shunick and her bike into/onto the vehicle.*

Given the evidence, we know that Shunick likely left the area shortly after she appears in the video still. Each of these options presents varying degrees of visibility, noise, and likelihood.*

Using the theory of Occam's razor, which of these options do you think presents the most likely explanation of how Mickey Shunick disappeared?

Occam's razor - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Occam's razor - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Last edited by StreetcarRider; Today at 08:58 PM. Reason: Fixing awkward link.
* * **
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:04 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by megsy View Post
just because this was at the end of the other thread and i think it's an important question to ponder ...

(a) requires the least amount of assumptions in my head.
gmta....
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:04 PM
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https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid...5698843c&msa=0 Good google map with all pertinent information.
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:07 PM
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Is there a shot of anything from the funeral home Im not aware of? How do we know theres a working camera there? I didnt see one
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:07 PM
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I wanna put that picture out of my head and can't do it now.
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:07 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by paris_paris View Post
Weird. Just in case LE lied to us and grammie was right, I decided to go a little further down Landry, just past Brashear (where we all thought she must have turned because LE said she was NOT on the next camera).

Look what was there...

Paris, where did you see that? In google earth?
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:08 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by A.C.I View Post
Is there a shot of anything from the funeral home Im not aware of? How do we know theres a working camera there? I didnt see one
grammieof4 says there is. Who knows really.

and yes... quoted post above... I saw the truck on Google earth. Thought is weird was all.
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:09 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by A.C.I View Post
Is there a shot of anything from the funeral home Im not aware of? How do we know theres a working camera there? I didnt see one
It's from this post:
LA LA - Mickey Shunick, 21, Lafayette; 19 May 2012 - #17 - Page 23 - Websleuths Crime Sleuthing Community
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:09 PM
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This may be a very stupid idea....(so don't beat me up!!!).... as far as the truck, something under the truck, the light that may be the bike light, etc... Is it feasible for a few locals together (not ONE person alone) to go there to that location, after dark... try to get a pic (even using lousy resolution to try mimic the originals)? I know the same angle can't be duplicated, but maybe we could see if there is some reflection from writing on pavement, etc??? Maybe even take a pic of a truck there too... see if there's a bump in the pavement, etc?

I'd go... but I'm 1,000 miles away....

ok... tell me if this is ridiculous.....
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:09 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by megsy
(A) requires the least amount of assumptions in my head.
Least assumptions is A, but I think she was tazered then taken as Jaycee dugard was. So I not using razor theory, I'm going with the unwillingly option
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:09 PM
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there were a couple carnival vechiles in the parking lot on the 19th. Close to the Bertrand/Congress intersection. It was only a couple though.
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:10 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JurysOut View Post
From Streetcarrider, previous thread

Beyond white trucks and GIFs, I'd like to speculate about something.*

For the sake of narrowing down the field, let's assume that Mickey Shunick left the area immediately surrounding these photos by vehicle. And that her bike traveled with her in the same vehicle.*

What are the options for the manner in which she could have left? The way I see it, there aren't that many options...

A) She left willingly, either with someone she knew or someone who offered a ride. (Perhaps she recognized a friendly face, or maybe she willingly went along with a person she thought had accidentally bumped her.)*

B) She left by force, which would seem to require either the use of restraints or two assailants- one to contain her and one to load her bike into/onto the vehicle.*

C) She left by incapacitation, which would require an injury so severe that the person(s) who injured her would have had to load both Shunick and her bike into/onto the vehicle.*

Given the evidence, we know that Shunick likely left the area shortly after she appears in the video still. Each of these options presents varying degrees of visibility, noise, and likelihood.*

Using the theory of Occam's razor, which of these options do you think presents the most likely explanation of how Mickey Shunick disappeared?

Occam's razor - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Occam's razor - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Last edited by StreetcarRider; Today at 08:58 PM. Reason: Fixing awkward link.
* * **
A- are you assuming she came to no harm?

B- Mickey is a very slight person. I could probably subdue her, especially with a blunt object

C- A couple of drunken asshats could pull that off.

I'm not choosing one. Occam's so 14th century.
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:11 PM
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wodalo, great idea to do a .gif. Genius actually. And I will tell you that if I had had that idea and seen that, I would been just as shocked as you, and as upset. That was a good piece of work. Thanks for all the effort!
  #16  
Old 06-01-2012, 09:11 PM
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Those that live in Lafayette and drive the path say there are several cameras on the funeral home And that they are video not still shots
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:11 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by megsy View Post
Paris, where did you see that? In google earth?
Google street view

I cruised up and down that street on google at least 100 times this week
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:12 PM
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A possibility is that she fell off the bike before the truck got there - so her and the bike could have been laying in the road before the truck got there. That would explain why she and the bike were not projected forward on impact.
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:12 PM
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Hello!! newbie here! been reading for a week or so, but had an idea on my way home from work today that I thought I'd throw out there. Sorry, but it includes me discussing the WT again!! I am a local and this is heart-breaking and scary as hell at the same time! While driving home from work ( airport area to broussard area) I noticed there are multiple used car lots that have white Z71s on their lots! So that got me thinking, if I did something and was afraid there might be some kind of minute evidence, why not trade in and get a new vehicle??? any thoughts? Plus, seems like a way to eliminate some of the hay from the stack by checking dmv records for trade in's in the area that match in the time period and talk to those people????
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:12 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by A.C.I View Post
Is there a shot of anything from the funeral home Im not aware of? How do we know theres a working camera there? I didnt see one
Much earlier in the day someone posted an inventory of the cameras at Martin/Castille and yesterday, I think it was, someone else here stated that they'd verified the were in working order. I personally have seen several mounted on the building at Martin/Castille.
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:14 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JurysOut View Post
A- are you assuming she came to no harm?

B- Mickey is a very slight person. I could probably subdue her, especially with a blunt object

C- A couple of drunken asshats could pull that off.

I'm not choosing one. Occam's so 14th century.
Both B&C assume that people wouldn't have seen this occur. So does A a little - but B&C would be out of the ordinary. A would not.
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:14 PM
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Originally Posted by Deedeegirl View Post
there were a couple carnival vechiles in the parking lot on the 19th. Close to the Bertrand/Congress intersection. It was only a couple though.
Hopefully they question them then
  #23  
Old 06-01-2012, 09:14 PM
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I thought we'd been working all along on the assumption that there was a camera at the funeral home, but LE said she was NOT seen on it.
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:14 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by carterkatt View Post
This may be a very stupid idea....(so don't beat me up!!!).... as far as the truck, something under the truck, the light that may be the bike light, etc... Is it feasible for a few locals together (not ONE person alone) to go there to that location, after dark... try to get a pic (even using lousy resolution to try mimic the originals)? I know the same angle can't be duplicated, but maybe we could see if there is some reflection from writing on pavement, etc??? Maybe even take a pic of a truck there too... see if there's a bump in the pavement, etc?

I'd go... but I'm 1,000 miles away....

ok... tell me if this is ridiculous.....
- no beatings

- not ridiculous
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Old 06-01-2012, 09:16 PM
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Ok I just could not possibly do it so I skimmed like 800 pages. Looks like we have solved the case now?

No wayyyyyyy!
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