Please bear in mind that Susan Constantine also analyzed Wayne Cheney in the Mollie Tibbetts case:
If you listen to him when he’s talking, he’s talking about how it’s affecting himself,” Constantine said. “He’s not at all concerned about what happened to the victim.”
Constantine also touched on Cheney’s body language during the interview, which to her, seemed to be movements of deception.
“He has this increased anxiety, which is causing all these physiological responses of itching the ears to adjusting his glasses, to stroking his hair, to, you know, crossing his arms and uncrossing them. So what happens is that, when you’re under anxiety, it increases blood flow and causes irritation to his capillaries. Those are all deceptive indicators.”
Cheney had nothing to do with Mollie's killing. Rivera confessed to her kidnapping and killing (but ultimately pled Not Guilty and trial process is ongoing).
I don’t go for body language analysis as a specific science that can be quantified. However, that dude was weird and had ha history. He probably did feel like he had something to hide. He did act anxious. I don’t think she was reading him wrong. She was just guessing he was acting a certain way, for the wrong reasons.
You're correct about norms of human behavior, and making judgments based on norms of behavior is perfectly reasonable. For example, if I know that a money manager is cheating on his wife, I'm not going to invest with him: he's already shown dishonesty in one area of his life, so trusting him with my money would be foolish.
However, in this situation, we have two competing norms:
1. How do innocent people who desperately want their loved one back act?
2. How do innocent people who believe that they are suspected by investigators for their loved one's disappearance act?
The second norm exists because it's become a rule of thumb that when a person goes missing, his/her spouse/GF/BF is immediately placed under the microscope due to statistical probabilities. After all, how can the innocent spouse/BF/GF
ensure that the loved one is found if s/he is in jail based on an erroneous focus by investigators?
Now, I'm not saying that I know that Barry Morphew is innocent or not. I am saying that conclusions should notnecessarily be drawn based on the exercise of one's 5th and 6th Amendment rights.
Well, I don’t necessarily draw conclusions from behavior. These are all factors that influence my
suspicions. All of these different things we talk about in these cases can
combine to cause me to lean in one direction.
I see this in case after case - one factor, among several, that is causing people to look in a certain direction, is explained away, justified, etc. However, when that begins to have to be done in a case with multiple different things, at a certain point, we just have to look at the whole picture.
Yes, every element of a case can be explained in a way favorable to a suspect or possible defendant. Defense attorneys love to do this. But when there are so many of them, it’s how the individual elements/factors combine, to form a picture.
I don’t think there’s enough for me with this case at this moment, but I am putting pieces together to see if they fit.
But as to the issue at hand, for me, timing is crucial when it comes to the actions of a loved one in a missing person’s case.
When I talk about norms of human behavior with regard to how innocent loved ones act, this is usually in those first, desperate weeks and months.
Because there are cases in which a lot of time is passed and it is now clear LE is going to wrong way and won’t change their mind (Elizabeth Smart case re Richard Ricci, for example), and/or when there’s an arrest, which then forces a loved one to oppose LE and/or stop cooperating and talking.
In the case of Elizabeth Smart, the police were certain Richard Ricci- a criminal offender- had taken and killed Elizabeth Smart. He was arrested on a parole violation, nine days after she went missing and died in prison a couple months later.
He remained the only suspect in the case for nine months.
Then, about four months after she was taken, in October, Elizabeth’s sister finally recalled who the person who broke into the bedroom and took Elizabeth, looked like. The parents wanted to release a composite of this person but the police said no.
The parents waited. It wasn’t until the next February that the parents FINALLY defied LE, held a press conference on their own and released a composite. About a month later, Elizabeth was rescued.
In another case where LE was very wrong, little Riley Fox went missing from her home in the middle of the night and was found dead and sexually assaulted, not too long after, in water not far from the home.
Her father Kevin was honed in on by police. He became their suspect. They interrogated him for hours and he ultimately confessed. He was arrested and charged. But he didn’t harm his child.
Both cases illustrate the lengths people who love their missing person will go to, even in the face of serious accusations, or clear ineptitude, etc., to comply with police and what it takes (months of inaction in the face of a real possibility, or their own arrest), before they stop complying.
ETA: Sorry for all the typos! Hopefully all have been fixed.