I never thought an arrest was imminent after the April 2019 press conference. The reason was that the second sketch released looked nothing like the man on the bridge from Liberty German's phone video. I could not understand the approach that was being taken by LE. Did they now believe the man in Liberty German's phone video was not the killer? Or did they decide that the video was so blurry and useless that the eyewitness information held way more weight than anything they had from the video on Liberty German's phone? If we look at the video in just the right way once the man in the second sketch was found we would see it was him all along.
A sketch is not a photograph. It is kind of like saying a suspect has brownish blondish reddish dark hair. Then when you find the suspect and they end up having light dark hair you can say you were right all along.
The irony in this case for LE is that Liberty German's phone video, while helpful, could also come back to haunt them later on, even when the case is solved. Without the phone video, I think the approach taken would be more acceptable. But just think if this man on the bridge is 50 or 60 years old, completely different face, and had a vehicle that could not have been parked anywhere near the Monon High Bridge trail without being seen.
Another irony in this case is that as long as the case remains unsolved it will appear LE is correct. There is nothing to suggest they are not correct as long as it remains unsolved and people follow the information that has been put out. The feeling I have always had is that this case could end up being used as a case study in profiling at the FBI academy at Quantico where the lecturer begins:
"Sometimes even with 50,000 tips, numerous investigators, and theories surrounding the case, the profile can be wrong. And in this particular case in Delphi, IN, it was wayyy wrong."
This is not to say that profiles are not correct. I think in many cases they are correct, but not in this case. This is what I think. But until the case is solved, we just don't know.