*First post after a great many years as occasional lurker*
I have done some limited work among criminologists and with legal professionals in the system, and tend to follow these sorts of cases, less of morbid curiosity than of a desire to will (get behind in spirit) the detectives and other investigating members involved to get to the bottom quickly and to get sight of developments as they emerge - and for that thanks to fellow committed members here. I am though, a pure amateur for the purpose of this post.
Some observations on the language and presentation from this
sky article and this
Yahoo news video with article. This article from
the Independent the latest I could find (timestamped 1 minute @ time of writing).
The approach I will take to this is to observe the statement, and consider between the lines of what is being said. While this might seem speculative, as an experienced researcher, I believe this method have some limited scientific basis as well. However, I am also just offering a stream of unqualified consciousness. This is not an easy exercise, because ethically, I would like to be very careful, while expressing myself on a public forum, not to compromise or prejudice any issue so as to offer any kind of advantage or help to the actual perpetrator of the heinous act, or to offer misleading information. Therefore, anything below should be considered only as naïve fiction.
Experienced members will probably find that in some ways I am stating the obvious and for that I apologise. For example, as members of the public we actually have quite little to go on.
Lines that stood out for me from the two public statements given by assistant chief constable Tom Richards, in [] my own words:
THEME / METAPHOR 1: Cards are on the table around the possible assailant and killer - but that does not mean that there isn't a full deck of cards - if anything it is that there IS a full deck of cards, no-one knows for sure yet which jack is the rogue
...There are no
identified suspects [and the tasked group] is
trying to understand exactly what happened.
= No identified suspect is not the same as no suspects or nobody reported in by members of the public, or by professionals who know the community and wider community.
= No identified suspect does not mean no identified suspicious vehicle or driver. From the pool of potential suspects and evidence, I would say that the police are
rapidly closing in and will have a breakthrough very shortly.
= It is not so much that blanks are being drawn, as much as there blocks of missing information in the narrative due to the relatively remote location. The
value of the submitted information base already should not be discounted and should be rigorously analysed. I would not be surprised if potential alibis for people, if not people themselves are being approached right now under no caution as part of voluntary information gathering.
= That this seems to have been a somewhat frenzied and impulsive attack (a) does not mean it was not planned; (b) is suggestive to me that there was probably a significant element of under-the-influence. The killing in my view was an opportunistic revenge attack.
= I am of the view that there were significant anger issues, prior contact with the police for petty or low level crime, possible domestic violence, and that the suspect recognised the victim, not necessarily knew her from direct contact, but could have been on her radar. I believe that the suspect probably felt a very significant sense of rejection by society, injustice concerning institutions, and had developed a profound hatred for women, and the police.
=
"yet" pre-supposes, in my view, imminent understanding and hypotheses in spite of the "not". The options have been mapped out as far as possible, and "prioritised" in terms of probability or likelihood.
= ...Incredibly useful and important information ... [from] ...
members of the community and the wider community ... that is helping us piece together what happened on Tuesday. The emphasis is highly suggestive of both a
volume of information, and a
usability - the information gained does allow narratives to be constructed, and
there are potential suspects in there.
= Significance of
Wednesday is suggestive that there was suspicious behaviour that has already been identified from the Wednesday. This to me suggests that the suspect knows the area well and may have revisited the area, or left the area on the Wednesday, and has been seen by one or more potential witnesses.
Other notes
...do not yet understand the motive for this
attack - I think this highlights how the attacker probably had less of a motive than he or she probably thought they did, that this is somewhat of a step change from internalised rage, to externalised rage - therefore earlier violence I do not expect to have been serious. I would suggest that they might have felt victimised by the police and other such services.
= My view is this is someone with alcohol and drug issues, who probably is not engaged by services around their issues, and has either experienced or is the perpretator of violence, and petty crime, but is not a ringleader or gangleader type. More likely abandoned by relationships, poor relationship with parents, espeically the mother, and
...We are
very very anxious... - aside from genuine stress of the situation and the need for speed - I believe this supports the notion that the police are
closing in now and looking for a closer.
...Suspicious or strange... - somebody not from the area, or who behaves in a suspicious manner.
...we do not yet understand the motive - keeping options open regarding motivation
...no indication of possessions - the suspect fled immediately.
...Tuesday or Wednesday
What is not being said then:
...whether there are any suspects whatever - to what extent the
incredibly useful and important information has already led to identifiable information on suspects and/or vehicles.
...whether we genuinely have have a senior officer and team that is bewildered - overwhelmed by information / data yes - incapable or incompetent - absolutely not.
I would go as far as to say that my speculative (must be) thought and hope on this is that there are a maximum of 2 or 3 individuals here of which 2 will be eliminated from enquiries and another taken into police custody before the weekend is up. The rest is going to be almost academic. Evidence-gathering, call to CPS, detailed interrogative interviews. One obvious suspect taken in.
That's all I have.