Johan van de Beek is a Dutch journalist, reporting on extremism and terrorism. Thread:
https://twitter.com/DjoeGio/status/1449993398065274880
As more details emerge about the terrorist attack on Sir David Amess, patterns from previous attacks are emerging. Immediately after the deed, the suspect is labelled a 'lone wolf'. It is emphasised that he was not part of a group. (1)
Then there appear to be 'friends' who saw his radicalisation from close by but apparently did nothing. There is also a crucial role for a well-known hate preacher (in this case Anjem Choudary) who is free to do his thing online. (2)
The suspect does not fit the 'poor and hopeless' profile either but is a student (wants to be a doctor), is popular at school, plays football and goes to the cinema. Until 'the change'. And he has more 'internet contacts'. (3)
The deeper you zoom in on individual cases, the more often you see that many of the usual explanations (exclusion) do not apply or apply only partially. It would be interesting to see what other signals there were in the quadrangle parents-mosque-school-street. (4)
We also have to take into consideration
the possibility that the murder of Amess is an example of what French terrorism expert Gilles Kepel calls 'le djihadisme d'atmosphère'. This is fourth-generation terrorism (4G). (5)
I can recommend the articles by @kleisjager on this subject. I fear that this is a development that we in Europe will have to face a lot in the coming years (6)
The perpetrators are not anchored in a pyramid structure of Al-Qaeda or IS but enter into the grip of a toxic atmosphere that justifies violence in the eyes of the actual perpetrator. (7)
The perpetrator usually ends up using a knife and stands up 'out of the blue' when he runs into a 'scandal' (teacher Samuel Paty), has a chance to make a symbolic victim (police officer, priest) or gets caught up in euphoria (Taliban takeover). (8)
Experts fear that the Taliban's "inspiration" is a particular reason for "atmospheric terrorists" (i.e. those not on the lists or "on the radar") to take action. (end)
BBM