In the spirit of 'covering all the bases' while trying to ensure I don't have the blinders on, here's a couple of "theory categories" to float (along with some associated points that come to mind for each)
Acknowledgment: Some get a bit 'far fetched' as they go, but just trying to think 'outside the box'. In any case, can any of these be categorically eliminated, based on known facts?
(A) BC is the culprit (directly, or indirectly via "contract").
- LE is searching his workplace
- Conditions of custody seem one-sided (imply plaintiff's have a favorable "position")
- Lots of CE/insinuation from various sources (including NC family)
- Motive/opportunity was there
Wrinkle: oldest daughter reportedly saw NC leave to go jogging Saturday AM (If true, this one seems a big wrinkle)
(B) Culprit is someone besides BC, yet who knew and targeted NC.
- Implies NC perhaps went to meet someone else (relations) instead of jogging. Culprit could be that someone else (or jealous wife/spouse of that someone)
- NC would need to keep any outside relationship particularly secret to protect the custody proceedings, settlement, etc.
- If culprit is (scorned) female, may explain why the body was found not far from the road (strength to move)
- CE: Rumor seems to keep surfacing through various local word of mouth channels
Wrinkles: Presumably, one of her friends would have known about the potential for a meeting with someone else and reported this. NC would have had arrangements to be picked up by the "someone else" pretty close to home (so as to have not been seen by anyone that morning)
(C) Random crime.
- Culprit is believed someone else other than BC (perhaps BC is helping/working with the authorities to "appearing" to be the one they are after (so as to throw off the real cuplrit))
- Explains various behaviors from BC
Wrinkles: Would be inconsistent with information in the NC's friends affidavits. Not what LE has stated (thus far). Search warrant for workplace would seem a stretch. No one came forward during the search to indicate they saw NC running that morning.
(D): She's still alive and now hidden under "Witness Protection" or some such. 
- Thanks to the family connections with LE and social services, it's all a master ploy, involving local & state LE, ME, friends, and others to get her safely back to Canada somehow with the kids, and leaving behind the fear of having to look over her shoulder for a raged husband killer
Wrinkles: Would mean leaving the proceeds from that pending divorce settlement on the table
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Sure, some of the above may be viewed as "more likely than others" (based on current knowns), but I'm not sure any can be
categorically eliminated (based on current knowns), since so much solid remains unknown.
(A) seems to be the frontrunner, and (D) the longest shot, with the other 2 perhaps somewhere in between.
If you had to guess, what percentage chance to you think each of these might have (based on current knowns and assumptions)?
Can any of the above be categorically eliminated at this point (ie 0% chance)?
Are there other major categories or points missing?
