No, it's not speculative. It is the coroner's conclusion. When I go to medical school and pass coroner's boards, then I can argue with the coroner's medical decision. (Or when another medical examiner issues a different opinion).
Lack of evidence is evidence, by the way. And you have no idea whether there were crazy conversations in emails or phone calls or whatever, or any other evidence to suggest that Elisa went in there voluntarily.
But let's say there is nothing but what was released. There is plenty of evidence in this case:
1. A girl with a history of bi-polar disorder and other mental health-related issues is seen on video, alone, in what pretty much every mental health professional has determined is a clearly psychotic state.
2. The same girl goes missing shortly after the tape was made.
3. By deduction, we can surmise that no other surveillance shows her with another individual in the time before she went missing.
4. Her body is found in a cistern several days later. It appears, according to officials, that the body had been in that cistern, basically the entire time she was missing.
5. The roof and the cistern are accessible by hotel patrons and others as can be seen by videotapes and photos of the roof people made before Elisa went missing, by graffiti and empty beer bottles left on the roof and by people who went to the location after Elisa was discovered.
6. No signs of foul play were found. That means no DNA, no finger prints, no obvious injury, no sign of a struggle on her body, or on or in the cistern or roof, no date rape drugs or other drugs in her system, no ligature marks, no tape or rope or other items tying her, no skin under her finger nails, no one hearing yelling, cries for help, no one seeing a struggle or anything suspicious, no one on videotape caught dragging a body or with Elisa or anything else that would cause suspicion, her clothes were not found in another location unrelated to her or her room or the roof, none of her personal items were found in the rooms or on the person of someone else or in another location unrelated to her or her room or the roof, no one confessing or implicating themselves - nothing.
7. No other cause of death was determined.
8. By the laws of physics, it would be virtually impossible to drag dead weight up a tiny ladder and shove it into the cistern. So if someone killed her, they likely had to get her up on the cistern before she was drugged or killed.
9. The cause of death was found to be drowning.
What I find illogical is that some are demanding what they deem "conclusive evidence" (which is what is found when the cause of death is immediately apparent like when people hear gun shots and then find a dead body with a gun shot wound, outside their home, or what is found in fictional t.v. programs like CSI), that Elisa died accidentally.
Yet these same people have no problems with the fact that no conclusive evidence exists suggesting foul play. In fact, not only is there no conclusive evidence suggesting foul play, there is no evidence at all suggesting foul play.
Also, I see posts stating things like, "How could she have gotten into that cistern without anyone seeing?" Totally illogical. How could she have been dragged up onto the roof and into a tank without anyone seeing?
In the absence of what the coroner knows, this is about deductive reasoning, guys. I think it's pretty clear.
I'm glad the case is closed. I'm glad that Elisa's family do not have to suffer the indignities of having the details of her lie and death splashed all over the news to whet the appetites of the morbidly curious. I'm glad Elisa did not have to suffer at the hands of a murderer.
I hope this sweet girl can rest in peace now.
