ChuckMaureen
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- Feb 27, 2005
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The 'eyewitness sighting' at presumably one of the east-side gates places Kayelyn as having walked across at least one of the three bridges over Little Cottonwood Creek located within the confines of the Willows property. Whether Kayelyn exited the Willows property and attempted to reenter the property at one of the gates or remained within the property and attempted to exit the property she would have had to cross a bridge over the creek. If Kayelyn had difficulty opening a gate to reenter the property it is plausible she attempted to reenter by traversing the creek and was knocked over by the then-high-and-forceful-rain-filled stream.
The P.I. or LE might have to execute a test of the stream. Simulating a rain-filled creek is out. They would have to wait until the spring rainy season and remain prepared for a similar-conditions day, where the creek flows @ 200 CFS to 300 CFS for one half-hour and drop a human-simulator mannequin from the bridge on Tonalea Drive ...this is located more or less equidistant between the east-side gates. I do not foresee them performing such a test but, who knows.
An alternative method is to measure depth along the entire creek path (focusing on the wider areas where 300 CFS might not raise the creek to the depth required to carry a person the full distance) on a similar-conditions day, and hope for the debris-filled areas to remain similar in condition as on Sept 27, 2014. Two+ feet minimum depth along the entire route might prove the possibility.
It is also possible Kayelyn (if the creek scenario is accurate) may have helped herself along the flow where necessary and something happened farther down stream that made it impossible for her to further help herself out of the situation.
The more I think about the entire situation, the closer I am to concluding this was only a tragic accident, caused by a mental health issue that led Kayelyn to finding herself in the water and unable to help herself. I do not believe this is a 'foul play' case.
The P.I. or LE might have to execute a test of the stream. Simulating a rain-filled creek is out. They would have to wait until the spring rainy season and remain prepared for a similar-conditions day, where the creek flows @ 200 CFS to 300 CFS for one half-hour and drop a human-simulator mannequin from the bridge on Tonalea Drive ...this is located more or less equidistant between the east-side gates. I do not foresee them performing such a test but, who knows.
An alternative method is to measure depth along the entire creek path (focusing on the wider areas where 300 CFS might not raise the creek to the depth required to carry a person the full distance) on a similar-conditions day, and hope for the debris-filled areas to remain similar in condition as on Sept 27, 2014. Two+ feet minimum depth along the entire route might prove the possibility.
It is also possible Kayelyn (if the creek scenario is accurate) may have helped herself along the flow where necessary and something happened farther down stream that made it impossible for her to further help herself out of the situation.
The more I think about the entire situation, the closer I am to concluding this was only a tragic accident, caused by a mental health issue that led Kayelyn to finding herself in the water and unable to help herself. I do not believe this is a 'foul play' case.