Found Deceased CO - Shanann Watts (34), Celeste"Cece" (3) and Bella (4), Frederick, 13 Aug 2018 *Arrest* #4

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Could she have said she was going to leave him take the kids out of state?

It’s possible but she would have had to get custody to do that... if she took them first and then filed, the court probably would have made her bring them back until the case settled. She can’t unilaterally deny the dad parenting time.
 
In a much earlier post, I erroneously stated that LE was at the home before he was.

But that is incorrect. As I understand it, Nicole called LE from the home and CW was there when she called.

I also concur that he thought he would get out on bail...... likely to disappear. But bail wasn't part of the original plan as he was going to be the grieving father and husband, or one of the missing.

I wonder how they arrange a massive bail when you don't own your house or your cars, and have no appreciable other assets.

I dont think ( he was oriented not psychotic ) that he would believe after three murder charges that he is out in two days or so
 
Maybe this has already been posted but I'm super new to the WS community and it's probable that I missed it. I see many posts commenting that it is so strange that SW went to NC with the girls for 6 weeks and that CW only went for 1. I actually don't find this to be that strange. She had a job that allowed her to work from any location and I'm guessing that his job came with a set number of sick/vacation days. She was 15 weeks pregnant, and let's assume that the girls might be entering some sort of pre-schooling, making the next chance she had to spend any amount of extended time with her family Thanksgiving. Based on the fact that she would be considered a high-risk pregnancy, maybe that wouldn't be a possibility. JMO.
 
Oh he did in first video, start at 3:12 and ONLY AFTER the reporter mentioned his second thought would be that people think he has something to do with it (paraphrasing).
Pages and threads later and seeing what others mention on WS, going back and rewatching these again shows even more!
He also slips re: doors being locked. Child guard was on all interior doors, SW either does or doesn’t usually use the garage exterior and interior door to exit the house. Not, “just in case” around late 4 min mark.
Just before that, is the talk of their doorbell camera and when he mentioned the neighbors camera almost seems defeated. (Good you jack*ss).
Just the fact you could stand there and do lengthy interviews with so much detail, mostly irrelevant info as to a missing person, he’s just sick.
Me? I’ll give you may be a 2 minute interview and then say hey, I’m really busy right now trying to find my family, but if police say it’s okay, you can feel free to come into the LR and use whatever pictures you want to get them into the media in case someone sees them.
Ugh, this guy.

Great point that he didn’t say he wanted his family back until the reporter mentioned that! Ugh. He is so disgusting. He couldn’t even fake being worried!!

I’m sure he had NO idea the neighbors had cameras until after the cops arrived.
 
He looks like he’s flirting. Something about his eyes.

His eyes struck me as overly jovial, and his face was totally relaxed. Just his manner alone convinced me that he had disappeared them.

Classic narcissistic (grand)parenting on the part of the grandmother. The ice cream and comment she made, trying to pit the two grandchildren against each other, very typical of what narcissists do to their own children.

My mother did that, although I'm not certain on where she sat in the personality disorder cluster. I became Switzerland in family matters, helped me keep my sanity.
 
Why do I have a feeling that everyone interested in this case is going to know Everything You Ever Wanted To Know About MLM But Were Afraid To Ask? before this is done?

I may be a recent joiner, but I've been reading here since the Scott Peterson days. So many similarities.
 
Hahaha, yeah, I’m WAY too lazy for that!

I think one difference with Thrive is that there isn’t really much inventory, cateloga, order forms, etc, she would buy. Most of her customers directly ordered through her website. The goal was to get customers to sign up for a recurring auto ship program. So way easier and cheaper than needing to invest heavily in inventory. She only needed to sell $256/worth of stuff on her own (if I remember right) to be eligible for her commissions, which was basically the cost of using the stuff herself.

Not necessarily. To get your full commission on your team members, you also had to reach a team quota, as well as a personal quota. The team quota would include your own personal quota. So, if her team was not making their quota, she could have bought enough inventory to boost the team total up by boosting her personal total up. Believe me, she was not going to make bricks by just spending $256 a month.

All companies have a website for your customers to order directly from, but a lot of customers want to go thru a consultant. It really isn't as simple as it sounds. Also, she more thqn likely paid a monthly fee for her website.....usually ranging from $11.95-$14.95 a month.
 
O/T sort of but not unrelated.

All young women here who are not yet attached and have a s/o. My biggest thing is warning young women about abusers. I have seen it happen too many times to relatives and friends as well as myself that you fall for some jerk who ends up being a real abuser. This topic is one of the main ones discussed around women in my circle, how to see the warning signs in a guy so you can run before wasting time, energy and your mental sanity on the person. There are MANY signs and they are usually different for each person but there is one that it seems many share.

WATCH intently how the man interacts with and speaks about his mother. To give you the best insight on how he will eventually treat YOU long term is to see how he treats his own mother. It sounds simple and perhaps irrelevent but it really is not. The closest crystal ball available to you is observing the mother / son relationship he has. One can pretend for awhile and play nice, nice with mom but soon enough their true colors come out or hers will. Either way the relationship reveals itself very quickly. If they don't WANT to bring you to meet mom, keep walking. He isn't serious about you or he has something to hide.

OT but I wish that I had your advice eighteen years ago. I 'met' his parents after being with him for two years. My mom told me to be careful..that he was keeping things from me. He was! His marital status,
his type of work, his age, and on and on. I finally found out he was cheating on me two years into the relationship. You know how it goes..I forgave him and seven years later AFTER he got his name on my property and cars he left for another woman. I learned a hard lesson..my life has been so hard these past ten years. :-( NEVER EVER SIGN ANYTHING until you have YOUR OWN lawyer thoroughly read it. JMO.
 
I believe that C.W. 's behavior and actions are parallel to Jeffrey MacDonald's.

They both demonstrated narcissistic rage at a psychopathic level when killing their wives and children.

I happen to think that the girls woke up to the sounds of fighting and that they were killed after 2:00 a.m., same as S.W.



You may find this article (below) fascinating. A forensic psychologist has placed murderers in specific categories, according to psychopathy.

On The Scale Of Evil, Where Do Murderers Rate?
Hard to believe that family members were not aware that at least "something" was going wrong in that household. Did they share their issues with finances with anyone?

The smiling faces in the photos just don't add up.



A few observations about CW and SW:
SW seems to be constantly pumping up her husband, you are my rock, the daughter singing dad you are my hero, etc. on SM. He must have been pretty insecure about himself.

Also, her friend Amanda mentioned in the interview that SW had said to her just last week that he could be having an affair. But SW said, “he has no game.” That almost sounds like in her opinion he has nothing to offer a woman.

In CW interview on the front porch, he has a scratch on the left side of his neck and seems to be hiding his right forearm or hand. I can’t believe that some people thought he was a good liar. I thought the opposite. He almost seemed like he could not fathom what he had done to his family and really wanted them to come back, or to be able to take it back. But I never thought he was a good actor and liar.
 
She might have told her family / friends that, but I would bet the actual figure was a LOT less.

Having done taxes for people in the upper levels of MLM’s, I wholly believe she was bringing in at least that much. I watched a video last night showing how that one calculated all the commission and it was substantial. The video only showed through level 3 and she could get commission 8 levels deep on her downline, so I believe she was doing quite well. It’s not typical for people in MLM’s to do well, but someone is at the top of the pyramid.
 
This case has drawn me in too and I have been reading all of your insights and thoughts with interest. I thought I would add a few of my own.

I see a lot posting about her MSM business, Thrive, and wanted to give some input of my observations of MSM businesses as I have been in several (never Thrive, but the premise is all the same), even making it to the top leadership level in one of them. So, I thought I could give you some first hand knowledge/opinion of them. They appeal to people with the idea of owning your own business, work for yourself, set your own hours. They make it sound easy to get rich! They parade out the few that have "made it" and make all those who join believe they can too! While there are older people (mostly women) that join, it is mostly younger women. A big draw is to tell women they can quit their jobs and be with their children because the MSM company will allow you to work as little or as much as you want and any hours you want. This appeals to young women with small children. Then they dangle these carrots of free trips to earn, free product to earn, and sometimes other kinds of prizes. I once unexpectedly won an xBox by being in a drawing because of an order I had submitted. It wasn't even on my mind to win it, as I only submitted one order, which gave me one chance. Each order gave you a chance in the drawing. I didn't care about it, so was really surprised when my name was drawn. My husband appreciated it, lol! By the way, you get a 1099 that includes any of these prizes or rewards, including trips earned. So, those trips she earned had to be claimed on their taxes. And, depending on what she actually earned, the trips may not have been totally free. She may have still had airfare expenses, along with spending money. The trips probably included lodging and some meals......but it doesn't mean it didn't cost her any money to go on them.

People can make money in these companies, but in reality the only ones that really make any substantial money are the ones who get in early and are able to build a team to make money off. I was able to get into one of them at the ground floor level and because of that I quickly added people to my team and very quickly rose to a top level. It is a real ego booster and to be honest, it is quite a confidence booster. I know it was for me and I have seen others "come out of their shell". It was the first time I was ever in the spotlight and felt special and able to even get in front of people and give a speech. This is very appealing to women to be looked up to as "leaders", esp. when you have never lived that life before. You feel like SOMEBODY! While husbands come on board on the free trips and some even get drug to conventions, it is more of a separate life and you form many friendships all over the country.

Conventions are your "girl time" and while I see a lot of people mention that SW was away "at work" in Arizona, I can tell you it isn't "like work". Conventions are fun cheerleader events! You pay to attend them....usually $200-$300, plus hotel expense and food and spending money. There is usually a company store where I saw women load up carts with hundreds of pricey items! It is easy to get caught up in it all! It can easily cost $1000 to attend and then more if you are a "heavy shopper"! These conventions are the culmination of the end of the sales season and the beginning of another. It is a time to meet up with your friends from all over the country....sometimes it might be the only time you see some of them. While there are "classes", the main sessions are full of thousands of women whooping it up, dancing, loud music, even beach ball hitting. There are guest speakers (some can be boring....but, for the most part they are fun and inspiring). You always have your phone to play with if they are boring, lol! Thru out the general session, the upcoming new season products are introduced in a fun, exciting manner and everyone screams and loves, loves, loves it all and can't wait to get their hands on them! And the company GIVES some of it to each one there! Of course we actually paid for them with our convention registration....nothing is really free! The excitement level is indescribable. There is such energy in the room with thousands of cheering women and all the loud rock music and cheerleading on stage. Believe me, it is not like "work". It is the reward for your work! And the purpose is also to get you pumped up to go back home and be ready to promote the new catalog. These conventions are usually held in July or August to get you pumped up for the upcoming holiday season....the biggest selling months of the whole year!

Also, at these conventions they will spotlight and reward top leaders.....special rewards for Top Seller of the year, Top Recruiter, etc. Some can be very nice rewards. And of course you are told that ANYONE can do what these leaders have done....YOU can do it! Those carrots are dangled in front of you and some work really hard trying to get them, but in reality very few really end up making the big bucks. My first MSM company was 25 years old and I was clueless. It was a very popular company and I was having fun, but really had no clue about how they really work. My first Convention I was rewarded with all kinds of stuff for making Sales Achiever, which was $20,000 in sales. I was clueless that I had even accomplished something worthy of recognition and rewards. So, it was a nice surprise. I made 25% commission, so that was $5000 commission in my first year. Figuring that monthly, I made $416.67 a month. And believe me, that was a lot of selling/parties/submitting parties, etc. But, wait! Out of that $416.67 a month, I had to purchase catalogs, order forms, hostess gifts, and other business materials.....including product to show potential customers, at my 25% discount, of course. So, as you can see.....I wasn't getting rich. Even with $20,000 in sales, it was a hobby. And I quickly realized that their top leaders were already in place after 25 years and the company was so saturated that there was really no chance to reach that level any more. And when that company's sales plummeted, many of those leaders who had based their lifestyles on those top commissions found themselves in a position that they could not continue in that same lifestyle.

So, I learned from my first MSM company that the only way to have the success of the leaders they marched across the stage was to get in a business at the ground floor level. I finally did it and reached the lower level of the top tier within two years! I had 300 people under me.....what SW would have referred to as "her people". Not all husbands are supportive, even if you are making money. Mine wasn't.....neither were my grown kids.....they just saw it as a hobby. I think that contributed to my desire to prove them wrong! My husband wasn't fond of me going to these conventions but I didn't let him stop me. He never really acknowledged my success, even tho he still enjoys that XBox I won! So, my MSM business gave me something I needed.....something that made me feel important. I didn't feel very important at home. Not saying that was SW's case, but I can tell you it would definitely be an ego booster and any woman needs that.

While I did start making some money, even with 300 people on my team, the most I ever made was $2000-$2500 a month in the 3 months preceding Christmas. The rest of the year is much harder. And most of that money I made was commissions from my down line. But, to get that commission from my downline, I had required sales to meet personally and team wise. If we didn't hit our sales, I would not get commission from my team. So, there were months that I bought inventory myself to meet those quotas. But, I was smart about it. I would literally sit and figure up what my commission would be and see if it made sense to spend the money. For example, if I had to spend $500 out of my own pocket but it would result in me making $1000 more in commissions, then I would do it. I would make $500 plus have the inventory to sell. Eventually the business/sales started going down to the point I decided it was no longer worth it to me to spend that money and as a result I lost my team and title.....basically gave them up. I knew I was in it to make money and had told myself that once I was no longer making money, I was done. I would not keep pumping money into it to hang onto a title to feed my ego. But I am older...actually retired. I had more life experience to tell me it was time to give it up. I also think the younger you are there is more of a tendency to "succeed" even if it was actually costing you. Some of it is about appearances. There are quotas to meet to keep your title and team and I can tell you that many will buy inventory each month to meet those quotas. Like I said, it is as much about your ego as the money....maybe even more at times. I had to mentally get to the point that it was ok with me to give it all up.....that is a hard thing to do. Because of my previous MSM experiences, I knew how the game was played and was smart enough to know when it was time to give up on the "dream". But, unfortunately, many first timers don't see all the pitfalls before it is too late. I am actually still with the company but have no desires left to be in leadership ever again.

Do I think the MSM company could have contributed to stress in CW/SW's lives? From my experiences, I do. One of my friends that I met thru my first MSM company ended up going to prison for a couple of years for embezzling a half a million $$$$ from her employer while she was with the MSM company. I was in shock! Never saw that coming! She lived in another state and we met thru the MSM company and became friends and roomed together at Conventions until she started going up the ladder and was hanging with the leaders more. The Conventions were the only times we saw each other in person. And eventually we weren't really hanging with each other or communicating much once she went into leadership. Do I think her time with that MSM company contributed to her crime? I do! At the conventions I saw her spend money like water in the company store.....price tags didn't seem to matter, while I was whipping out my calculator to add up my purchases to make sure I didn't overspend. If she saw something she liked/wanted, it went into her cart! I remember thinking to myself that her husband must have a very good job! Her home was FILLED with our products, which were a home decorating product....and not cheap! It could cost $100 easily for one of our products.....even more if you decked it out! And I would see pictures of her home and it was filled with them! I had plenty myself....but not like her! I just thought they must have a lot of money! But, I did take notice of that and the clothing, jewelry, etc. that seems to go along with "looking the part". I was knocked over when a mutual friend called and told me the news of her crime! We were both in shock and I followed it online, so I know it was true. We are still friends/acquaintances today, but she never told me why. But me and the other friend always felt like the MSM business contributed to it. I theorize that she got in over her head with credit cards trying to keep her place in the company and keeping up with all of the other leaders and it lead to her taking the money to pay credit card debt.....maybe at first it wasn't much and she thought she would pay it back, but it snowballed and she realized it wasn't getting caught and it got easier. But it eventually caught up with her during an audit. Even tho she committed a crime, I did find myself feeling sad for her, as I think she just got caught up in something that feeds our egos. So, from that experience, I do think the MSM company could have contributed to whatever was going on in this household. I have some other thoughts, too, that are not about the MSM company and will share those thoughts in a separate thread. I just wanted to give you an inside look at the MSM business, since it is being discussed. I honestly could see it becoming part of the defense. This is such a horrible crime! Did he snap? Or was this the person he always was? I just don't know! It could be a lot of things compiling.....or maybe he was just an evil person, but I didn't see that in the videos I watched of him with the kids. It just breaks my heart.

Amazing post. Thankyou. I hope you bump this post up again so others can share your personal insights- the thread is moving so fast, it's easy to miss stuff.
 
Having done taxes for people in the upper levels of MLM’s, I wholly believe she was bringing in at least that much. I watched a video last night showing how that one calculated all the commission and it was substantial. The video only showed through level 3 and she could get commission 8 levels deep on her downline, so I believe she was doing quite well. It’s not typical for people in MLM’s to do well, but someone is at the top of the pyramid.

There are a few....but very few....yes, those at the top.
Does anyone know when she joined Thrive?
I need to research their commission plan and look for the hidden things.
My team went 11 deep, but I could not earn on all 11 levels unless we met our team quota.
 
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