I would agree with a lot of this. I suspect he possibly had thought about grabbing her or someone else before. Maybe had seen her running before and knew she was a pretty girl. Then this particular evening just happened to see her, see an opportunity and acted. It would not be unusual to have a knife in a car when you work on a farm. He picked a spot to abduct her where nobody could see. That doesn't take a great deal of planning or smarts. The field location may have been known to him earlier or just stumbled upon, who knows. He got away with it for 5 weeks because he just got lucky that evening that no one saw him (other than the cameras). Could the police have gotten him sooner? Maybe, but it wouldnt have mattered. I'm just glad that they did indeed get him. If not for that camera, he very well might have completely have gotten away with it. And I don't think anyone doubts that if he did this once, he would do it again.