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Your analytical observations and assumptions are accurate within the context of events as we know them. I am humbled by the clarity and simplicity of your assessment and of your writing.

Good synoptic statement. I was open to other things -- crime-related scenarios. Somehow, I couldn't get my mind around either of the other options, the self-harm or tragic accident. However, your comment is true in the end. It appears unknowable at this point. It helps to know when to say...

I think he surveyed the river above the weir, and the body was found below the weir, down river in the tidal section of the river. The police were reported to have searched below the weir, where the body was found.

Good post. Yes, no one wants to be a "conspiracy theorist." However, in percentages, even if it is one, two, or three percent chance of a crime, acknowledging those percentages help shape a more accurate assessment model. I believe, like you, the simplest answer might be the answer here, but...

In the last thread (#16), someone asked what did we make of the body being found where it was. 1. It, the body, was found below the weir in the tidal section of the river. The body was found ten-to-fifteen minutes walk down river from where Mrs. Bulley normally walked her dog and from where...

Related reporting within the larger topic: https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2023/01/shin-bet-hamas-attempting-to-recruit-palestinians-in-the-west-bank.php This article has some details about the security picture, and some of responses from the Israeli security structure. This is a very...

This has legs -- it is going somewhere. The governing authority for the West Bank, the Palestinian Authority (PA), has suspended its security relationship with Israel. Palestinian Authority suspends security coordination with Israel after Jenin raid - I24NEWS The combination of events is part...

That is a good and relevant question. A "leak" is different than a release. Leaks are generally held to be unauthorized publishing from some official or semi-official source (government, lawyer, business). A disgruntled employee leaks a the insider correspondence of a corporation, for...

I really appreciate how much thought goes into the assessments people make.

The thing about body language is there has to be a baseline, an understanding of what the person being observed normally acts like. The foundational personality, life trauma, or conditioned responses, all of these can shape how a person will respond, so there may be a range of responses to a...

Thank you for this careful and sensitive interpretation of human emotions as a factor in behavior. It makes perfect sense.

If someone is given to fantastical thinking, where they think they have special stealth skills, or they have other psychic abilities, it might be easier to slip away from reason if there are other triggers. Ninja by itself isn't a problem. Disciplined students of any traditional military skill...

I cannot help but think there is more going on here than the tragic murder of four young people. Yes, that horrible event is the catalyst for the police and other law enforcement response, but -- 60 FBI agents, the FBI Behavioral Analysis Unit, the analytical staff behind them, and the State...

Yes, you captured the concept. Task organization. It is common with military operations.

I suspect that the policeman's two years on the job may not qualify him directly to run a complex murder investigation like this, but we don't know what other training and experience he actually has. Being prior military service says something, but not all experience is universally qualifying...

I wonder if each warrant is about the victims only, or if other warrants are for suspects personal data? And, maybe other warrants were issued for some businesses to turn over transaction data related to the larger investigation?

There is a technique of "sweating" someone one, where pressure is applied to a suspect. This can be direct pressure from an overt authority (i.e., police in a uniform), or from general public pressure (i.e., the press showing up at the door asking for an interview). And in our generation...

Since this is the trend, where people get harassed and sleuthed for just being publicly identified as touching this case, would any sane person volunteer themselves for this abuse if they had knowledge of use to the investigation?

https://www.mathworks.com/discovery/image-enhancement.html There is an example of deblurring an image in the article. The article includes definitions and examples of several different image enhancement methods.

About the white Hyundai, in the very high profile Washington, D.C., sniper case in October, 2002, the wanted vehicle was a white van driven by two mid-30s white men. This was developed by interviewing multiple witnesses. In the end, it was a dark sedan that was the vehicle used in the series...