I have decided as there is not much going on with the case at the moment until the next Efit comes out to look at the
odds of stranger abduction.
I was quite surprised at how rare it really is. As a lot of you are from the states I am using information from there.
FACT 1.
According to the U.S. Dept. of Justice statistics on violent crimes (1973 - 2002), the rate of kidnappings perpetrated by strangers is 0.0017 percent for every 1,000 children. In real-world numbers, this means that out of every 1,000 children who get kidnapped, only 1 or 2 of them are taken by strangers.
FACT 2
According to another study done by the U.S. Dept. of Justice, of the roughly 69,000 kidnappings that occurred in 1999 only 115 of them were abductions by strangers.
FACT 3
According to the National Center for Health Statistics, in the year 2000, the following occurred:
255 children died of the flu or pnuemonia
452 children died from heart disease
1,921 children committed suicide
11,560 children died from accidental injuries
Children are twice as likely to die of the flu than be kidnapped by a stranger
Children are 4 times more likely to die of heart disease than be kidnapped by a stranger
Children are 17 times more likely to commit suicide than be kidnapped by a stranger
Children are 100 times more likely to die because of an accidental death than be kidnapped by a stranger
FACT 4
Of those 69,000 abductions that occurred in 1999, about 82 percent of them were perpetrated by family members and 11.3 percent by friends of the family (or other adults that the child knew well).
FACT 5
According to yet another report from the Dept. of Justice, of the sexual offenses committed against children in 2000, 34.2% of the perpetrators were family members and 58.7% were friends of the family (or other adults the children knew well). In the age range for sex-related crime victims of 6 to 11 year olds, only 4.7% of their molesters were strangers and in the age range of 0 to 5 years of age, only 3.1% of the perpetrators were strangers.
FACT 6
In a report compiled by Child Help USA it was discovered that the leading types of child abuse in the United States for the year 2001 were neglect (which makes up about 59% of child abuse) and physical abuse. The most disgusting thing that can be learned from this report has to be the fact that
81% of abusers were the child's parents! That's EIGHTY-ONE PERCENT!
59% of all child abusers for that year were female.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/ukn...e-Vanessa-George-Ill-be-out-in-two-years.html
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/ukn...e-Vanessa-George-Ill-be-out-in-two-years.html
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Not good odds for kids is it.
These are the young children missing in the South of Portugal nearto where the McCann child went missing...
The list of kidnappings in the South of Portugal includes the following:
-
Rene Hasee, a boy age 6 and citizen of Germany, abducted in June
1996 while on the Amoreiras beach near-by the Atlantic Coast.
Its felt the child could have drowned, been taken by his real father, OR disappeared into a quick sand type hole as he disappeared within seconds OF his mother seeing him.
-
Joanna Cipriano, a girl age 7, abducted in
2004 in Figueira, located 7 miles from Praia da Luz.
Her mother and uncle are doing time for her murder.
-
Carolina Santos, a girl age 3,
attempted abduction in Silves during
2006.
See below.
-
Madeleine McCann, a girl age 3, British citizen, abducted on May 3, 2007 in Praia da Luz.
Carolina Santos.
This has been defunked........
Diário de Notícias of May 25, 2007
A 30 years old man, from Morocco, threatened to kidnap the three year old daughter of a woman who rents a coffee-shop at Fonte de Luzeiros, between Silves and São Bartolomes de Messines." and that the "kidnap threat was made, last Tuesday".
See how there was no actual attempt at kidnapping Carolina Santos, only a threat, and that it all happened after Madeleine was snatched, not
four months beforehand.
The Diário de Notícias goes on to say that the woman "filed a complaint with GNR from Silves the next day, and was contacted yesterday by investigators from Polícia Judiciária, to whom she told what happened." The newspaper then said that after "Talking with local residents" they "
found that the man in question is a street seller and a well known trouble maker."
So far from "never being questioned" the family was questioned by both the GNR and the PJ, and what's more everyone knows who was responsible for causing the trouble in the first place just a drunk Moroccan street vendor who got into argument with a local cafe owner.
..........................................................
So what do we really have, in 11 years upto 2007 x 2
possible cases of abduction...Rene Hasee, and M. McCann....although i have done a lot of reading of the Rene Hasee case, and it does look as though this could have been a tragic accident, the currents in the sea were he was were really fierce and also it is possible for someone to simply be swallowed up its happened before. The fact there were a few footprints and nothing else...
.........................................................
Oh in north of portugal.....
Jorge Sepulveda, a boy age 10, abducted in April 1991 in the Massareles area near Oporto.
No news.
- Claudia Alexandra Silva de Sousa, a girl age 7, abducted in May 1994 in the Vila Verde area around Oporto.
Believed to have been taken by two men and forced to get inside a car.
- Rui Pedro, a boy age 12, abducted in March 1998 in the Lousada area near Oporto.
Afonso Dias is in prison for his kidnapping he knew him, the boy is presumed dead or taken to europe in a pedo ring.
- Rui Pereira, a boy age 12, abducted in February 1999 in Nova Vila da Famalicao, around the Oporto area.
Believed to be seen in Switzerland with 2 Italian men but no other sighting.
There are several teenagers missing presumed run away, altogher I belive there are 13 cases from 1991, most are highlighted above.
