Coronavirus COVID-19 *Global Health Pandemic* #19

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This is a really helpful chart, thanks for posting it, Otto!

It's great, and there are other things that would make it even better to put these outbreaks into perspective. For instance the vast majority of China's cases were in Hubei province, so it would be helpful to see the cases and deaths for that province alone and the cases per million population for that single region.

Same thing for Italy where most of their cases are in a smaller part of the country, and even for South Korea where I believe most cases have been focused around only two cities and it hasn't yet taken off in a big way in the capital.

One hope I have for the US is that instead of looking at the total cases for the US we should really be looking at total cases per state and comparing those to the curves in other regions. It might be that some states with higher population density overall, and those with the higher density metropolitan centres are more likely to have the potential of looking like Wuhan/Hubei, but I think it really helps to see it in the Wuhan/Hubei context rather than overall Chinese cases context when they did such an amazing of of restricting most cases and deaths to Hubei province.

ETA we also need to remember that the death rate of deaths/total current cumulative cases is going to change over time as we don't yet know the outcome for the existing current cases.

I don't know when the appropriate time to make the switch is, but I think at some point it's probably better to do deaths/cumulative recovered as both of these groups have reached their conclusion, whereas not everyone in the cumulative count has reached a conclusion to their infection.
 
US Treasury likely to push back April 15 tax deadline

The move would come as part of an effort to reduce the effects of the coronavirus outbreak on businesses and individuals.

The plan has not been finalized, and officials are still working out how far the filing deadline may be pushed back and who would be eligible.

Live updates: Coronavirus cases pass 115,000 worldwide - CNN

 
Tokyo Disneyland won't reopen until mid-April

... in a bid to curb the spread of the novel coronavirus ... in the wake of the Japanese government's announcement yesterday requesting all large-scale events be postponed.

The park has been closed since February 29.

Live updates: Coronavirus cases pass 115,000 worldwide - CNN
 
Berlin is closing some performance centers until April

State theaters, opera houses and concert halls in Berlin will be closed from this Wednesday until April 19 -- the end of Easter break for schools.

Private large theaters were advised to follow suit.

Live updates: Coronavirus cases pass 115,000 worldwide - CNN
 
He is a virologist.....

#COVID19 My son is self-isolated in San Francisco, because his company sent all at-risk employees home as there is community spread. Friends in Bergamo, Italy, are saying the situation there is grave - hospitals full, ICUs overwhelmed. This is already touching all of us

Ed Rybicki on Twitter
 
Bank of England slashes interest rates in emergency move related to coronavirus pandemic

The Bank of England has cut interest rates by half a percentage point in an emergency move to fight the economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic.

In a statement, the central bank said that while the magnitude of the shock from the coronavirus remains "highly uncertain," economic activity is "likely to weaken materially in the United Kingdom over the coming months."

It said that slashing its main interest rate to 0.25% would "help to keep firms in business and people in jobs and help prevent a temporary disruption from causing longer-lasting economic harm."

Live updates: Coronavirus cases pass 115,000 worldwide - CNN
 
Coronavirus doctor reveals his patients in intensive care are as young as 40 and do NOT have underlying health conditions - contradicting official advice

A California doctor says three men he knows struck down with coronavirus are all in intensive care and are as young as 40 - contradicting claims that the disease only impacts the elderly.

Coronavirus doctor reveals his patients in intensive care are as young as 40 | Daily Mail Online

The stats we have seen show that it doesn't only affect the elderly. If the media have been making it sound like it's only the elderly who are having the more severe cases or at risk of dying, then they've been presenting faulty information to the public!

It's not zero risk for anyone of any age! The risk seems to increase with age, and with underlying conditions, and the risk at 80+ is what I consider high. But even for other age groups it seems to have a fatality rate equal or greater than seasonal flu!
 
Uber may temporarily suspend accounts of riders and drivers with coronavirus ... or have been "exposed" to it.

"We have a team available 24/7 to support public health authorities in their response to the epidemic. Working with them, we may temporarily suspend the accounts of riders or drivers confirmed to have contracted or been exposed to COVID-19," the company said in a statement. "We’re also consulting with an epidemiologist to make sure our efforts as a company are grounded in medical advice."

Here are some of the other steps the company said it would take:

Drivers or delivery persons diagnosed with the virus or asked to self-isolate by a public health authority will receive financial assistance for up to 14 days while their account is on hold. Uber said it has already offered assistance to drivers in some areas and is "working to quickly implement this worldwide; providing drivers with disinfectants; allowing Uber Eats customers to ask delivery people to leave food at the door.

Live updates: Coronavirus cases pass 115,000 worldwide - CNN
 
Inevitable....they are still delusional....

Reuters: TOKYO OLYMPICS ORGANISERS SAY NEITHER TOKYO ORGANISING COMMITTEE, IOC CONSIDERING POSTPONING OR CANCELLING 2020 GAMES
Vincent Lee on Twitter

Reuters: TOKYO 2020 HEAD MORI:OUR BASIC STANCE IS TO PROCEED WITH PREPARATION FOR SAFE AND SECURE OLYMPIC GAMES, NOT AT ALL CONSIDERING CHANGING PLANS AT THE MOMENT
Vincent Lee on Twitter
 
Another thing to point out is that we may see successive waves of the virus, so while this current strain(s) might be a major danger to the elderly and sick the next strain could hit the young and healthy, especially those who got the first strain and 'recovered'.

The biggest danger is the overwhelming of health services. The delays will be costly.
 
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