Coronavirus COVID-19 - Global Health Pandemic #74

[TootsieFootsie]

There were 18 new cases of COVID-19 detected in NSW in the past 24 hour period, with the vast majority of those contracted through community transmission.

With known outbreaks and the number of cases not linked to other sources continuing to grow, Premier Gladys Berejiklian has warned further measures could be introduced if the community does not increase its use of masks and distancing compliance.


NSW Premier foreshadows stricter measures, as state records 18 new cases

 

[margarita25]

I'm sorry, but drinking cleaning products because social media said so gets you a Darwin Award:

At least 800 people died around the world because of coronavirus-related misinformation in the first three months of this year, researchers say.

A study published in the American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene says about 5,800 people were admitted to hospital as a result of false information on social media.

Many died from drinking methanol or alcohol-based cleaning products. They wrongly believed the products to be a cure for the virus.

'Hundreds dead' because of Covid-19 misinformation

OMG, this is such a sobering article.

“The World Health Organization (WHO) has previously said that the "infodemic" surrounding Covid-19 spread just as quickly as the virus itself, with conspiracy theories, rumours and cultural stigma all contributing to deaths and injuries.”

[...]

“False information costs lives“

—-

Eta: I was talking to someone last night who said they are still constantly trying to clear up misinformation re: Hydroxychloroquine. Believe it or not, people are still touting this.

Eta2:
Why hydroxychloroquine's appeal endures despite evidence it doesn't work for Covid-19 - MedCity News
5 days ago

“So what explains the endurance of hydroxychloroquine’s appeal in Covid-19? The answer, it turns out, may lie in social science rather than medical science.

First, it’s important to note that science and data are not the main driving force behind hydroxychloroquine’s persistent appeal.“

 

[MajorHoople]

Only ONE healthy child has been killed by Covid-19 in Britain, reveals study | Daily Mail Online

Only One Healthy Child Has Been Killed By Covid-19 In Britain, Reveals Study That Says Under-16S Played A 'Limited Role' In The Outbreak

"Only one previously healthy child has died of coronavirus in England and children make up a fraction of cases, an official study reveals.

The comparatively low impact on the young will reassure millions of parents and boost the Government’s determination to reopen schools next month.

Experts found that under-16s made up 1.1 per cent of the 130,000 confirmed Covid-19 cases during the first wave of the virus.

The research, led by Public Health England (PHE), concluded that children play a limited role in the pandemic and have a substantially lower risk of infection and death.

Eight children have died after testing positive for coronavirus in England, the study said, but in half these cases Covid-19 was not the main cause."

"Experts analysed 129,704 positive tests taken between January and May. Fewer than one in 20 children who were swabbed tested positive, compared with around one in four adults. The death rate among the children was 0.5 per cent.

Lead author Dr Shamez Ladhani said: ‘Our results add to the growing body of evidence that children have a substantially lower risk of contracting Covid-19 than adults, and are also much less likely to become seriously unwell with the infection."

 

[margarita25]

How the pandemic might play out in 2021 and beyond

Interesting and just too much info and scenarios to cut and paste. But it leaves me feeling deeply resentful this morning at my poor medical care this year because of the stupid and selfish people overwhelming our local hospitals. I can't see the specialist in person who was helping me at the university hospital. And I can't get labs done in the hospital where they are most accurate for the rare disease I have. I kind of hate these people this morning. Months and months of hard work and it's not ending any time soon because others are incredibly selfish and just don't care how their actions affect others.

"June 2021. The world has been in pandemic mode for a year and a half. The virus continues to spread at a slow burn; intermittent lockdowns are the new normal. An approved vaccine offers six months of protection, but international deal-making has slowed its distribution. An estimated 250 million people have been infected worldwide, and 1.75 million are dead.

Scenarios such as this one imagine how the COVID-19 pandemic might play out1. Around the world, epidemiologists are constructing short- and long-term projections as a way to prepare for, and potentially mitigate, the spread and impact of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. Although their forecasts and timelines vary, modellers agree on two things: COVID-19 is here to stay, and the future depends on a lot of unknowns, including whether people develop lasting immunity to the virus, whether seasonality affects its spread, and — perhaps most importantly — the choices made by governments and individuals. “A lot of places are unlocking, and a lot of places aren’t. We don’t really yet know what’s going to happen,” says Rosalind Eggo, an infectious-disease modeller at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM)."

Yep. Selfish, stupid people have ruined it for EVERYONE. And disrespected health workers and everyone else along the way.

eta:
Getting Covid accidentally is one thing, say at work. But careless partying and purposefully exposing yourself and spreading it around is outright despicable, imo.

 

[Bravo]

Hard to understand why folks still believe Hydroxy is an effective treatment Moot point IMO

 

[LadyL]

Eighteen flights arriving in Canada from international destinations since the start of August have had people on board with COVID-19.

Passengers with COVID-19 keep arriving in Canada on international flights

 

[margarita25]

Passengers with COVID-19 keep arriving in Canada on international flights

Oh oh....

eta:
“The international flights since Aug. 1 with COVID-19 cases include:

• Air Transat flight TS831 from Punta Cana to Toronto on Aug. 1
• United Airlines flight UA375 from San Francisco to Vancouver on Aug. 1
• Air Transat flight TS893 from Cancun to Montreal on Aug. 1
• Air France flight AF034 from Paris to Montreal on Aug. 1
• Air Canada flight AC1297 from Punta Cana to Montreal on Aug. 1
• Air Canada flight AC1241 from Cancun to Montreal on Aug. 1
• Pakistan International Airlines flight PK797 from Lahore to Toronto on Aug. 2
• Etihad Airways flight EY141 from Abu Dhabi to Toronto on Aug. 2
• Air Canada flight AC992 from Mexico City to Toronto on Aug. 2
• United Airlines flight UA3488 from Newark to Toronto on Aug. 3
• Qatar Airlines flight QR763 from Doha to Montreal on Aug. 3
• Air Canada flight AC7682 from Chicago to Toronto on Aug. 4
• Air Canada flight AC849 from London to Toronto on Aug. 4
• Air Canada flight AC879 from Switzerland to Toronto on Aug. 4
• Tap Air Portugal flight TP253 from Lisbon to Montreal on Aug 4.
• Delta Airlines flight DL7203 from Atlanta to Calgary on Aug 4.
• Air Canada flight AC870 from Montreal to Paris on Aug 4.
• AeroMexico flight AM680 from Mexico City to Montreal on Aug 4. “

 

[LadyL]

Oh oh....

eta:
“The international flights since Aug. 1 with COVID-19 cases include:

• Air Transat flight TS831 from Punta Cana to Toronto on Aug. 1
• United Airlines flight UA375 from San Francisco to Vancouver on Aug. 1
• Air Transat flight TS893 from Cancun to Montreal on Aug. 1
• Air France flight AF034 from Paris to Montreal on Aug. 1
• Air Canada flight AC1297 from Punta Cana to Montreal on Aug. 1
• Air Canada flight AC1241 from Cancun to Montreal on Aug. 1
• Pakistan International Airlines flight PK797 from Lahore to Toronto on Aug. 2
• Etihad Airways flight EY141 from Abu Dhabi to Toronto on Aug. 2
• Air Canada flight AC992 from Mexico City to Toronto on Aug. 2
• United Airlines flight UA3488 from Newark to Toronto on Aug. 3
• Qatar Airlines flight QR763 from Doha to Montreal on Aug. 3
• Air Canada flight AC7682 from Chicago to Toronto on Aug. 4
• Air Canada flight AC849 from London to Toronto on Aug. 4
• Air Canada flight AC879 from Switzerland to Toronto on Aug. 4
• Tap Air Portugal flight TP253 from Lisbon to Montreal on Aug 4.
• Delta Airlines flight DL7203 from Atlanta to Calgary on Aug 4.
• Air Canada flight AC870 from Montreal to Paris on Aug 4.
• AeroMexico flight AM680 from Mexico City to Montreal on Aug 4. “

we need to shut it down IMO
everyone needs to shut it down except for essential travel IMO

 

[margarita25]

we need to shut it down IMO
everyone needs to shut it down except for essential travel IMO

Passengers with COVID-19 keep arriving in Canada on international flights

The above article also says that inflight transmission is low:

"However, it is important to understand the incidence of individuals contracting a communicable disease inflight is very low. As evidence, consider what are called 'cluster outbreaks,' where a group of people contract a disease at the same time and location. These are rarely if ever tied to modes of travel, whereas you often see reports of outbreaks arising from funerals, bars or other gatherings," Fitzpatrick said.

An Air Canada fact sheet says, "the reasons for the apparently low rate of in-flight transmission are not fully determined but are thought to include a combination of the lack of face-to-face contact, and the physical barriers provided by seat backs, along with the characteristics of cabin air flow."

I am not sure how much I agree with this, JMO.

Whatever the case, obviously importing the virus isn’t good.

It must be noted that border and travel restrictions are only one part of suppressing transmission, as explained by Dr. Mike. I wish I could explain it how he explained it. Making a note to find and pull quote.

Nonetheless, borders are an important facet, and the above article is of great concern to Canada, imo.

Eta: the more I look at that flight list, the more concerned I am. I would HATE to see you Canadian guys go down after trying so hard and doing so well.

I agree @LadyL , it should be essential travel only, imo.

Eta2: It must also be noted FTR that Dr. Mike has also talked about the double edged sword that can occur with some restrictions, as the transport of essential supplies can sometimes be affected. Again, I can’t phrase it like he did, but when he says it, it makes sense.

Still, I’m worried about Canada now. Montreal, Toronto...

I remember Toronto had SARS...
Eta3:
SARS: LESSONS FROM TORONTO - Learning from SARS - NCBI Bookshelf

 

[JerseyGirl]

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Coronavirus COVID-19 - Global Health Pandemic #75