An area of low pressure near the coast of Belize is sparking showers and thunderstorms in the northwestern Caribbean. The system is currently disorganized, but slow development is possible over the next couple of days, and we could have an organized tropical system later this weekend or by early next week in the northwestern Caribbean or southwestern Gulf of Mexico. analysis on this feature and on the Atlantic Basin, please click on to the Atlantic Basin Map. http://wwwa.accuweather.com/news-weather-headlines.asp update saturday a.m. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCMAT1+shtml/101247.shtml TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1300Z SAT JUN 10 2006 TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE RECOMMENDED FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 85.3W AT 10/1300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.