Hurricane Dorian - August/September 2019 #1

Discussion in 'Weather' started by imstilla.grandma, Aug 27, 2019.

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  1. PayrollNerd

    PayrollNerd Well-Known Member

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    I posted this in her specific thread also.

    Oh no. I went to the Facebook page of New Smyrna Beach police and they posted a picture of the announcement. I hate when they do that. The print is so dang small you can't read it. You can barely zoom in to make it legible. I had to clip it, drop it in a Word Document and then enlarge it.

    She was seen on camera West on SR 44 from Glencoe Rd in New Smyrna beach at 1:35pm. She had about a 90 minute drive ahead of her.
    New Smyrna Beach Police Department
    upload_2019-9-3_9-3-2.png
     


  2. JudgeJoe

    JudgeJoe Well-Known Member

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    Dorian is spinning over Bahamas for about 55-60 hrs now- from the time cat 5 winds began to blast Abaco, to the tail winds now on GBI. Now beginning it’s 1 mph crawl north. Is it EVER going to pick up speed?

    And I cannot imagine watching a shipping container float by. Ever.
     
  3. Bravo

    Bravo Well-Known Member

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    We have been renting a condo on the Ocean over the years near Freeport on Grand Bahama Island. We decided last winter would be our last. Flights became insanely priced and none direct. The Island has never rebounded since Matthew. There was a resort/casino that had been built employing many. It was hit hard and it was never rebuilt. Whenever we went to eat/shop in Port Lucaya it was always busy. Many cruise ships stopped there. Now many cruise lines have pulled it as a stop. When we were there last winter there was maybe a handful of people. Many restaurants and business still sit half destroyed as well as houses. So sad to see the decline over the years. Yes there are mansions and money but the poverty is bad. Crime has really gone up. Such a beautiful place. Deeply saddened for all affected.
     
  4. Bravo

    Bravo Well-Known Member

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    I don't have a link as I heard it on our news that Abaco has literally been destroyed.
     
    Last edited: Sep 3, 2019
  5. thesensitivechild

    thesensitivechild Well-Known Member

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    And we have heard literally nothing out of North Abaco. Apparently a lot of Haitian refugees around this area living in dilapidated housing. Some there illegally, which may make them less willing to heed orders to evacuate. Scary.
     
  6. imstilla.grandma

    imstilla.grandma Believer of Miracles

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    Dr. Marshall Shepherd has a great article on why Dorian's path has been so hard to predict. You can read about it here. One commonality among experts is that Dorian intensified so quickly and was so powerful that it modified local atmospheric conditions.

    You can think of it like Neo in The Matrix. He became so powerful that he could change the rules of the Matrix, making it difficult to predict his next moves and boundary limits. This is analogous to what Dorian has done in recent days.
    Hurricane Dorian Path: Where Is Dorian Now?
     
  7. JerseyGirl

    JerseyGirl Forum Coordinator Staff Member Forum Coordinators

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    Officials in southern states are holding briefings today to outline their preparations. Here's a look at some of the events today:
    • 10 a.m. ET — Florida's Broward County Emergency Department will hold a media briefing.
    • 10:15 a.m. ET — North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper will tour New Hanover County emergency operations center.
    • 10:30 a.m. ET — Lenny Curry, the mayor of Jacksonville, Florida, and other emergency officials will hold a briefing.
    • 11 a.m. ET — Florida Power and Light will hold a news conference.
    • 1 p.m. ET — Florida's Martin County emergency operations center holds a news conference.
    • 1:45 p.m. ET — Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis takes reporters' questions.
    • 3 p.m. ET — Federal Emergency Management Agency has a news briefing.
    • 4 p.m. ET — North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper holds a media briefing at the state's emergency operations center in Raleigh.
    • 4 p.m. ET — Florida's Broward County has another press conference.
    Live updates: Hurricane Dorian inches toward Florida - CNN
     
  8. oceanblueeyes

    oceanblueeyes Well-Known Member

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    I saw a great tip while watching Fox all day yesterday keeping up closely with the hurricane since it affects so many of our family, and dear friends.

    I'm sure many of our posters already know of this, but I didn't.

    Anyway, the expert said when you are in the path of a hurricane or tornadoes make sure you tightly close all of your interior doors.

    That way the high winds will meet obstructions when all doors are tightly closed inside.

    If the wind is allowed to freely enter all of the inside areas with access to all rooms this is the time many people loses their roofs, and walls because its fully inside the home then, and then will find ways to escape causing an explosion of high winds that will shear the rooftops off, and will breech both interior, and outside walls of the dwellings or businesses.

    Their animated graphics of what happens were amazing to watch. Imo.

    If anyone is interested I'm sure FNN has put them online under their amazing storm coverage of this monster hurricane.

    Stay safe, and alert everyone. We have a long way to go before this is over.

    Jmhoo
     
  9. Momof4RN

    Momof4RN Well-Known Member

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    This is just devastating. I can’t bring myself to “like” many of these posts. I really wish there was a dislike or crying emoji option. But thank you for the update.
     
  10. JerseyGirl

    JerseyGirl Forum Coordinator Staff Member Forum Coordinators

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    Dorian's Forecast Timing

    Tuesday: Dorian will still be hammering the northwestern Bahamas, but conditions should slowly improve by Tuesday evening as Dorian finally begins to move north. Bands of rain and strong winds will affect parts of Florida. Hurricane-force winds (74-plus mph) are expected in the hurricane warning area of eastern Florida by evening. Coastal flooding will spread northward along the Florida, Georgia and South Carolina coasts.

    Wednesday: Dorian is expected to move north, then northeastward near the coasts of northeastern Florida, Georgia and southern South Carolina. Storm-surge flooding, beach erosion and damaging winds are all possible in these areas, particularly in areas covered by storm surge and hurricane warnings. Rainfall flooding is also a threat.

    Thursday: Dorian is expected to pass near the coasts of northeastern South Carolina and North Carolina. A landfall is possible anywhere in this zone, which would bring the most damaging winds and storm-surge flooding. However, these impacts will also occur even if Dorian's center does not make a landfall. Heavy rain will also lead to flooding in this area. Some impacts from wind, coastal flooding and rainfall flooding could spread as far north as the Virginia Tidewater and the southern Delmarva Peninsula late Thursday.

    Friday-Saturday: Dorian is then expected to race off the Northeast Seaboard but could track close enough to bring rain and some wind to the Virginia Tidewater, Delmarva Peninsula, Jersey Shore, Long Island, Nantucket, Martha's Vineyard and Cape Cod before it heads toward the Canadian Maritimes by this weekend.

    Hurricane Dorian Finally Moving Again; Hurricane Watch Extended into North Carolina | The Weather Channel

    bbm
     
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  11. oceanblueeyes

    oceanblueeyes Well-Known Member

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    Me too.

    I only hit like on many posts that has devastating information is to show I have read the posts given.

    Imo
     
  12. Bravo

    Bravo Well-Known Member

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    I know. It is devastating. It was stated on the news Abaco took a direct hit. Sick about it. I will likely get photos emailed from one of the permanent residents in the complex where we rented near Freeport. I really hope not. It was bad enough after Matthew. I want to remember it for the beautiful, tranquil place it was.
     
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  13. ?mysterian?

    ?mysterian? Well-Known Member

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    Hurricane Dorian Public Advisory

    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...27.1N 78.6W
    ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM N OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
    ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM E OF FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES
     
  14. oceanblueeyes

    oceanblueeyes Well-Known Member

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    Thank you so much JG, and all you do for all of us so we can remain informed on the latest information.

    You, of all people...knows what devastation these hurricanes can do.

    It breaks my heart with all you have had to endure from Sandy, and are still having to deal with the nightmares you have had since then. At this point, I know you must feel your nightmares will never end. :(

    Everyone needs to remember that Sandy was a CAT 1 when it hit your area.

    I hope people dont relax, and becomes complacent if Dorian drops in category.

    It still can be a dangerous killer storm, and able to cause billions of dollars in damages.

    People also need to remember that 90 percent who lose their lives from hurricanes it's from flood waters long after the hurricane has passed.

    Jmhoo
     
  15. dixiegirl1035

    dixiegirl1035 Well-Known Member

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    I am following another thread of somebody that was trying to contact 911 because her car was Swept Away during flooding. Tragic situation because she died after 24 minutes with 911.

    As we know, many people have died because of the water in a hurricane.

    And many died after and due to the rising Waters

    Does anyone here have knowledge, other than Google, of the correct way to escape a car that is taken away in a flood? Any LE SOP's on how to deal with somebody who was in a car that calls nine-one-one as to what to do? And how to evaluate and prioritize?

    I have no knowledge of how to do stuff, but that would be a very big fear of the after effects of a hurricane would be dying in the water driving to escape.

    This is the other link here with someone who passed away during a storm event and flooding.

    AR - 8/29/2019 Debra Stevens dies in flash flood, 911 operator Donna Reneau
     
  16. JerseyGirl

    JerseyGirl Forum Coordinator Staff Member Forum Coordinators

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    Sandy wasn't even a hurricane when it hit us in New Jersey. After she incredibly made a left hook towards New Jersey, Sandy made landfall with "only" about 90 mph wind gusts about 40 miles south of us. That left hook was totally unexpected, the eye was supposed to stay offshore (as in Dorian now). Because we were on the right side of the storm, we got pounded. We lost a few roof tiles and siding, but the main problem was the storm surge, which we never expected.

    We also had mandatory evacuations on the night before but since Sandy had downgraded to Cat 1 at that time and all hotels rooms within 200 miles were either booked or charging $200-$300 a night. We had pets and couldn't bring all of them to the shelter. We had a second floor, a boat, and a kayak to escape to/with and boarded up the windows.

    We thought the storm was over about 7:00pm, winds died down. I let the cats outside, then about a 1/2 hour to an hour later all hell broke loose. We left our door open because the cats were outside and I saw water coming down the street from the bay, water was coming up too from the lagoon in the backyard. We ran outside and the cats came running, except one. We tried to bring as much as we could inside and I stuffed bath towels in the vents. About an hour or so after that, we heard one of the cats outside screaming from my husband's boat, luckily he was able to swim and get atop the boat as it surrounded with water. My husband swam out there and got him safely back inside.

    We thought we were safe and dry when all of a sudden we heard the water coming into our crawl space, then, like The Blob, the water just came up from the floorboards all at once. We all retreated upstairs and hoped and prayed the water wouldn't rise any higher (it didn't, but I was prepared to blow out the 2nd floor window with the kayak).
     
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  17. SandyQLS

    SandyQLS Well-Known Member

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    Thank you for the updates. I just read that whole 11:00AM bulletin and there have been numerous changes to the watch and warning areas, some cancellations and some additions.
     
  18. Inthedetails

    Inthedetails Well-Known Member

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    Oh, no! That's terrible!

    I took a walk with my son who is visiting this morning and I blurted out of nowhere in our conversation, "I think Abaco is gone."

    I never heard of Abaco until the hurricane coverage over the weekend, but now I'm attached to the place and am on pins and needles until we hear more from there.

    jmo
     
  19. imstilla.grandma

    imstilla.grandma Believer of Miracles

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    Dorian -- a Category 5 storm when it hit the Abacos on Sunday, becoming the strongest hurricane ever to make landfall in the Bahamas -- moved only 30 miles in 30 hours from Monday into Tuesday, mercilessly raking the same areas with destructive storm surge and winds.

    That pace meant Dorian traveled the 2nd shortest distance in 24 hours by a major hurricane (Category 3 and above) since modern record-keeping began in 1850, according to Colorado State University researcher Philip Klotzbach.
    By 11 a.m. ET Tuesday, the storm finally was heading slowly to the northwest after remaining basically stationary for hours just off Grand Bahama Island, whipping it with its eyewall. By the time the storm moves away, parts of the Bahamas will have received more than 30 inches of rain, forecasters said.
    Hurricane Dorian grows in size as it finally inches away from heavily damaged Bahamas - CNN
     
  20. imstilla.grandma

    imstilla.grandma Believer of Miracles

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