This idea that the affidavit is sealed because it's weak, is complete nonsense IMO. I've seen that sentiment expressed everywhere.
I've followed multiple cases where the arrest affidavit was sealed, and the majority have been slam dunk cases.
If you're investigating the possibility of another perpetrator, the last thing you want is to provide them with details that could destroy the ability of law enforcement to verify a potential confession.
It would also give this person time to dispose of any evidence that they might not have thought to get rid of.
I agree with you or else a smart defense attorney would point to the fact that not even police believe they have the right man. Whatever evidence they have, it must be something very conclusive like DNA or other forensic evidence or finding the murder weapon or the bloody clothing or clothing from one of the victims on his property. It has to be something that no matter how the long the probable cause affidavit remains sealed would not sway opinion about the suspect's potential guilt. I think police are trying to make sure they have everyone involved even though I have never thought it was more than one person who committed this crime.
Proving that he was at the Monon High Bridge on the day the girls were murdered does nothing. He is a local who knew about the Monon High Bridge trail area. It is reasonable to think a person like that may have been walking around there on the day the girls were killed.
That is why I think this case is basically "solved", even if the probable cause affidavit has not been released yet. This case just needs to run its course through the legal system. Other than that, from an online perspective, this case is over.
I look at this case and realize how wrong I was on just about everything(other than the age but I was a little off there too). The only part I was correct on was not considering the second sketch at all. It was way too different from the video of the person on the bridge, but that was an easy conclusion to make. I thought it was going to be a truck driver who knew about the Monon High Bridge trail area, but who was passing through town when the crime was committed. I thought he would be over the age of 50 and possibly be disabled with a unique face. I thought that, because I theorized that maybe that is
why Liberty German recorded him, because he seemed strange, even if they did not talk to the killer before he approached them. They only saw his face. He
looked strange to them was my theory.
The evidence is the evidence in this case. The whole case is strange though. Even former prosecutor Ives said there was so much evidence left at the crime scene that a detective from the 1960's or 70's would be able to solve the case. The suspect must have been very confident in his abilities, especially if he committed previous crimes and was never caught.
Such is the nature of true crime. It is not tv or the movies. But even now, with everything I think about the probable cause affidavit, it just does not
seem like the right person.