I’ve followed this case casually but recently started diving into it. Quarantine allows you time to do stuff like that. Anyways, my high level thoughts after pouring through podcasts, boards and other stuff:
BRIDGE GUY
- Believe BG did not set out to abduct A&L specifically - meaning he wasn't stalking them - however it’s highly likely he had been in Delphi area and had been to bridge/woods. Knew young girls frequented the area and taking one for sexual perversion was driving factor.
- BG is someone with ties to Indiana but doesn’t necessarily live there or ever lived there.
- BG is likely a loner and someone without a deep family & friends structure otherwise there would’ve been a report of someone who knew him. His image and sketch is one of the most infamous in America.
- He's also likely been in trouble with the law before, however likely for petty crimes and things you wouldn't need a DNA sample saved for. Would be shocked if when they finally catch him, he's a squeaky clean citizen with no past record living in suburbia, etc.
- Highly likely he was or is either a trucker or drifter. This is why billboards of A&L went up in almost the entire lower 48 states. That’s expensive and you wouldn’t do that unless you felt he may have left the area at some point.
- A&L were not his first victims. May have been his first murder victims but not abduction, SA, etc. On the video we know exists, he approached them at a rapid pace. This tells me there was some planning and sophistication to the crime.
- He possessed a gun which was used to subdue the girls into complying. Very difficult for one person to subdue two able bodied teenagers without some legit threat. Based on the recordings the family has indicated they heard, A&L made several comments about the creepy guy approaching or near them. Both A&L seem like intelligent girls and if he just told them to go with him or go “down the hill” with no other means of subduing, they both were athletic enough to make a break for it.
- None of the possible suspects the online sleuth community has reviewed so far are BG. Some are more intriguing than others and kinda, sorta match if you look at them in the correct light, but none presented so far are him.
THE CRIME - **all moo**
- As noted, believe BG had frequented the area at least recently around time of murders. Motivation was sexual in nature.
- Believe the crime was supposed to be abduction and taking someone out of the area in a vehicle which likely was somewhere past "down the hill". Ultimate plan may have been SA/kill but not in the woods. It was broad daylight and he was in a reasonably populated area - tons of risk there.
- Just after 2 PM, Libby takes Snap of Abby on the bridge and posts it. Girls likely haven't seen BG by this point. Do believe he's seen them and is beginning to stalk them.
- Sometime around 2:15-2:20 PM, they notice him. From family comments who have heard some audio Libby recorded, the convo starts as 'regular girl talk' then as they spot BG there were whispers about how he's continually moving towards them, creeping them out, etc. Based on other comments, BG was moving towards them at a rather rapid pace. One of the girls noted they were at or near a dead-end, which could've been what BG wanted - aka waiting until someone that matched his desired victim profile put themselves in that position.
- Believe shortly after this, BG shows them a gun and begins directing them. Part of this direction is to go "down the hill", presumably in the direction where his vehicle is. Did not set out to abduct/SA two girls, but rather one. Plan changes to two when he sees them near the end of the bridge and near a dead-end.
- At some point, at least one of the girls tries to get away or once they realize what he's going to do, fights back. BG now realizes he will not be able to quietly abduct them and panics and commits the crime there.
- Believe one girl was murdered first while the other was either alive and watching or injured/subdued, then BG sexually assaults the other and murders her. Believe manner of death was strangulation for at least one, however knife is also possible. Further believe BG did some type of posing of girls after as a sick trophy. Alluded to by LE with quote "I promise you they are not as you left them".
- I think crime took place between 2:25 - 3:05 PM and murders themselves happened very rapidly after BG realized he wasn't going to be able to abduct them from the area. From the little that's leaked or been released, parts of crime scene matched that of a quick almost rage-like killing.
AFTER CRIME/OTHER
- Believe BG did his posing then left crime scene hurriedly because he knew area was at least semi-frequented by people and it was getting to late afternoon when more would be off work.
- Libby's phone was recovered which is where the images and audio/video came from. I think in his haste to leave crime scene, BG forgot to check for stuff like that or never thought of it to begin with.
- On that note, believe BG was unaware Libby's phone was recording. Strongly suspect she put it in her pocket and kept recording.
- DNA was recovered at the crime scene. Not sure the extent of which it was, but given what's been released so far it's almost impossible for me to believe there was nothing there.
For this crime to be solved, I think either BG will have to make a mistake and be charged with a crime where DNA is required so it can be matched in a criminal database or slip up by talking about or telling someone of the crime which casts a light on him.
It wouldn't surprise me if BG's original motive was to abduct and SA a girl but not necessarily murder however that changed when one of A&L either fought back, refused to comply or made a break for it. Whew - lots to unpack there. Hope this one is solved because aside from all the rumors, speculation and hot takes - this is the brutal murder of two children and their families deserve closure and justice.