LA - Mickey Shunick, 21, Lafayette 19 May 2012 - #31

Discussion in 'Mickey Shunick General Discussion Threads' started by bessie, Jun 25, 2012.

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  1. mesbra

    mesbra New Member

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    Ok it just came off a little snarky to me. I was trying to give you the benefit of the doubt but i'm from close to this and a little touchy.
     


  2. Pensfan

    Pensfan Former Member

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    And now a brief message from a mom :D :

    Regardless of who "disappeared" Mickey, stay with a crowd when you go out. Soulless sociopaths, crazy drug addicts, violent drunks, and unstable mentally ill people are everywhere. Always keep your door and windows locked. Secretly get personal references on any guy you are are interested in dating and check his criminal history online for a few dollars before you decide to date him.
     
  3. paddleallday

    paddleallday New Member

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    Maybe this really was an accident, like Mickey's mom has suggested. Maybe because of what they (the family and LE) know foot searches have stopped near the accident because they have seen the truck picking up an alive Mickey and took her somewhere. BRING MICKEY HOME!!!! LE would not necessarily tell a truck that they know everything. Why would the truck come forward? And unless they have a little more hard evidence or a witness, a conviction would be hard. I think they're waiting and watching and giving the perp just enough rope to hang themselves. And they will. It's why there are no updates. I think they saw alive Mickey getting in truck and that is what has given the family so much hope. It's also why cameras down johnston street weren't checked. Congress was checked before they realized her route was st Landry. Something has got to give SOON!!
     
  4. BunnyHop

    BunnyHop Former Member

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    Here's what I think;

    LE has a POI. The Shunicks' PI made a statement that he had 2 ID's/poi/descriptions he was looking into. LE is firming up their evidence. IMO, they (LE) will not reveal info that would jeopardize their case. Simple logic.

    We all just have to wait and see. They are stalling for a reason.

    There have been some good posts with good info.

    I personally do not see what others see in those pictures.
    I don't believe she was hit at that spot at Circle K. I just don't see it.

    I do believe the truth will come out soon. MOO

    :moo::moo::moo::moo::moo:
     
  5. cluciano63

    cluciano63 Well-Known Member

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    There were posts this week on the page for Mickey that searches were being resumed this week...so I have a feeling they know little more than we do. JMO
     
  6. bessie

    bessie Administrator Staff Member Administrator Moderator

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    If we hear tomorrow that MS was not a random victim of a predator on the prowl, it won't eliminate the possibility that one is around the corner. I don't think you should be "scared for your life", but fear can be a good thing when it prompts you to protect yourself. Personally, when it comes to taking precautions to avoid an attacker, I always conduct myself under the assumption that danger is lurking.
     
  7. dejavoodoo64

    dejavoodoo64 New Member

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    Well unless I'm not looking at the original and its one thats been altered, the grass is green in the picture. My original thought is it was a black and white also. Someone pointed it out to me that the grass was green. I guess I need to look a little deeper and see if I can find the original released pic. It may of well been altered.
     
  8. BunnyHop

    BunnyHop Former Member

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    I lock my door and windows every night. I always told my son to stick with your friends and watch out for each other. He had to call me regarding where he was, when he got there, (high school). Call me when you get there etc.

    College time was more difficult for me. There was a month he would not respond. I called his apartment manager to make sure he was OK. It's not easy being a parent. I was vigilant. Watch your children.

    MOO

    :moo::moo::moo:
     
  9. paddleallday

    paddleallday New Member

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    Exactly! People with "no fear" are completely naive, or they are the kind of person one should fear. (IMO) just like I don't get why someone would hang "truck nuts" from their truck, I never understood "no fear" stickers.
     
  10. paddleallday

    paddleallday New Member

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    Of course searches are still going on!!! The whole purpose to all of this is to find Mickey and bring her home. I hope searches don't stop until that happens. There is a huge area around here to search. Lots of bayous, woods, etc. Places only accessible by paddle, etc. This area is abundant in lucious land and water, hence "sportsman's paradise".
     
  11. reedus23

    reedus23 Well-Known Member

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    Ok, I went and looked at the photos on the LE update site. On two of them I can see some sort of "aura" or coloring on different parts. Almost seems like some sort of orange like tint, kind of like those old time photos. The rest all seem to be shades of gray to me, but I also wouldn't doubt than I'm going color blind.
     
  12. aviatrix

    aviatrix New Member

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    Believe it or not, there ARE ways to tell what color something was in a black and white photo. Ah, the magic of PhotoShop -- such a genius of a program. This is the way it is done: If I have a black and white photo and I want to emphasize the green grass, I simply turn up the green. It will not appear green in the photo -- but it will appear a deeper gray, etc. If I want to emphasize blue in a black and white photo, same procedure. PhotoShop truly is a genius at a thousand things. I highly suggest those who are interested at all in photography to invest your time in learning PS. It has a very steep learning curve, is expensive -- but it does things that are smarter than rocket science. Truly it does. So - -I happen to know the answer to this question -- you can most of the time tell what color something was in a black and white photo -- IF PhotoShop recognizes the color that is -- which it does pretty accurately most of the time. You're welcome.
     
  13. Jkg005

    Jkg005 New Member

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  14. aviatrix

    aviatrix New Member

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    But if you asked me if I see a truck in this picture I would tell you no. Its too distorted and blurred.[/QUOTE]

    Hate to say it, I am a photo editor, pretty good with PhotoShop and I don't see anything in this picture either. Sorry, don't see it. :(
     
  15. inquizative

    inquizative New Member

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    bbm

    Exactly!


    I am a firm believer that awareness is king.
     
  16. Jkg005

    Jkg005 New Member

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    IMO just because something is not probable, it doesn't mean that it's not possible. Just because someone doesn't believe as you do it doesn't mean that they can't be right. Someone will be right and someone will be wrong that is life. But to ridicule someone for what they see or believe IMO is just wrong. Everyone hear just wants Mickey to be found and returned to her family and her community. Mickey stay strong!
     
  17. Boudin

    Boudin New Member

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    That is light from the street light that is not in the picture.

     
  18. A.C.I

    A.C.I Private Investigator

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    It doesn't get much more "hard evidence" than them seeing her being put into a truck or getting into a truck. Thats plenty enough evidence to make an arrest if they know who the driver is. And if they know all that but don't know who the driver is, then it is irresponsible to not ask the public for help in finding the person. That would just be wasting time. Look at Jaren Lockhart's case. Video of two people seen with her, released to the public, boom, identified and arrested within days. If LPD wanted to make an arrest, they would. And then figure out the evidence after. They're known for that. When they want to make an arrest, they do. They're not secretly building a case against some perp. They may have POI's, but theres no hard evidence to go on. If there was, someone would be arrested by now. IMO they are still just lookinh for more clues and solid evidence to point them in the right direction. So people thinking they should just sit back and wait until an arrest is made because LPD already has wbat they need and are building a case, are wrong. People should absolutely still be calling in anything they see or hear, anything suspicious at all, to LPD and Abdella.
     
  19. BunnyHop

    BunnyHop Former Member

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    Thanks for tuning in.
     
  20. waiting1979

    waiting1979 New Member

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    <modsnip>

    Trying to get to the bottom of the timeline itself which is short, only 6 minutes between when MS leaves BW @ 1:45, and the still of the hooptie @1:51.

    I got the address from camera point A on Versailles and Camera point B on St Landry, got Google to do a bike route the same as Mickey's and came up with a distance of 0.4 miles between point A and B. The cameras are said to be approx 1 min apart. With that I figured if she kept up the same hustle for 10 minutes she would travel 4 miles. In 60 minutes she would travel 24 miles.
    In other words, if a minute is a minute, she is traveling up to 24 MPH. LE said z71 was behind her on Versailles and "directly behind her turning onto Saint Landry"

    We all have eyes to see with, right? We can see that Z71 is not literally right behind Mickey, so "directly behind" means the very next vehicle to go down Saint Landry after Mickey Shunick.

    Maybe we can agree that Mickey appears to be stopped, maybe we can't. I don't see any motion blur to suggest she is still riding 20-24MPH.

    Maybe we can agree that the truck is stopped in the 2nd Saint Landry frame, maybe we can't. The wheels are still enough to judge their style/type.

    The tail lights are telling us something. I don't see a driver at all. I see light from the gas station through the window.

    The drivers side window is where I would expect it to be if the door were closed. If there is no driver, I'm leaning toward the vehicle being parked, maybe with flashers or emergency brake on. This indicates multiple seconds between frames, enough time to have an accident and check to see what happened.

    It's not so much an accident, however, if this vehicle saw a red light coming up on University and avoided it by taking a right onto W.Convent or a left on Hamilton Place and really went out of their way to chase Mickey. LE said 'the Z71 truck turned from university and was directly behind Mickey on St.Landry'. FACT.

    IMO the truck took a left on Hamilton place, because you can see cars line up at the intersection of University and Saint Landry, and maybe the traffic light itself. See attachment 1. Then it took a right onto University and a left on Saint Landry. IMO Mickey knew darned well she was being harassed by this vehicle, especially if it's true as WSleuth Woldalo pointed out, that the trucks lights were off on Versailles. Maybe that's worth another game of telephone with LE. Have you heard this motor run? I have. It would be an intimidating thing to have this truck gunning it's motor on you, if you were on a bike. You'd go out of your way to avoid it, and you'd want to remain visible at all costs.. IMO I think that is why Mickey stopped. And she had reason to believe she lost them at the light. Next thing we know, there is a truck parked at the last place we saw Mickey. The only passenger this truck seems to have is in the passenger seat. It's a fact that the occupant(s) are not known [by the public] to have come forward to tell their side of the story to LE.

    3 cars sit at the gas station for 2 stills, another car joins in the 3rd still.
    I think we can agree on this.
    According to Jordan Hamlett a.k.a WSleuth A.C.I and WSleuth 'redhaired girl', Individual calls were made to LE, and LE says there is no girl under the truck. They were not asked if there was a girl beside the truck.

    Whether they were asked if there was a bike under the truck cannot be independently verified without a public statement from LE. a P.I license does carry some clout, but it's unclear whether LE is cooperating with independent investigators.

    If the entire event takes place from 1:45 to 1:48, we can maybe agree that the time between the first two Saint Landry LCG building stills are less than three minutes apart.

    If we can agree the truck turns onto Saint Landry, maybe we can agree that it's speed would be limited. IMO we're in first gear, a nudging speed. Maybe we can also agree that it is likely Mickey heard this truck from 10s of feet away. it's a loud truck. She might think she has time to head to the Circle K. I think that's what I would have done. Maybe we can agree that if the truck is parked, we are missing several seconds worth of critical events.

    I'll look around some more to see if i can nail down the time between stills a little better. I'll admit it doesn't look good. I don't care if you see Mickey or not. I do care that you believe this was a purposeful malicious act, maybe just a prank that went to far, maybe something more complicated. I also care about what appears to be a custom wheel well tool box, with a 3 digit or letter stamp in the middle of a black rectangular outline. I've seen a lot of GM 1500 series Z71 package white Silverados, but none with this wheel well.
    If DWTiq still matters, that may be the feature that matters the most.
     

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