So what do you think this means?
BM did have a license, as I recall. So you figure he might have been in Boulder, but Chris Stanley places both BM and JAR at the movies in Atlanta, so he has to be in on the conspiracy too. Then Lucinda and MR and her fiance have to be in on it as well, or else JAR slips into the house in the early morning hours w/o being noticed so that those 3 believe he'd been sleeping in the house all night. If Brad was not someone frequently in CO then his sighting may not have registered, but at the same time an unfamiliar face might stick out and draw attention? Which way do you read this? Additionally there is Harry Smiles who places JAR at Peachtree Presbyterian on the evening of the 25th for church services.
Ok, but there still has to be a flight plan, or a plane has to be landing at an airport "out of the blue" which would be noted. How many flights could there be from Boulder to Atl. ? Doesn't seem hard to check up on. Either they flew w/o filing a plan, then landed to refuel w/o a plan, then continued on w/o a plan and no air traffic controller ever spotted them or if they did never inquired who they were, or BM filed a plan neglecting to include BR as a passenger. Let's assume the latter as it's more likely than the former.
So after 16 years no one who knows the importance of JAR's presence in Boulder on 12/25/96 has come forward? OK, possible. How loyal must every one of BRs acquaintances be that not one came forward. Or did he only see close friends and was very careful not to be spotted, except by Joe B.
Your right, I messed up the arithmetic, I was still thinking about the Cessna. It's possible, if it was a jet. Did JR have a jet? Did a friend have a jet? Could be. As you point out, there needn't necessarily have been a return trip, but there would still be an airplane in Atlanta, with markings, which would have been in CO according to it's prior flight plan. Shouldn't be to hard to check up on. Either it had to be flown back out before being spotted or someone had to ask "hey, where the hell did this Lear Jet (or Cessna, or whatever type plane) come from, the one with the number XXXYYY111222?
It's definitely a conspiracy theory because at a minimum CS/BM/and HS have to be providing a false alibi for BR. For the JAR theory to fly (no pun intended) there had to be at least 3 people, aside from JAR, in on the plot. Depending on circumstances you might have to include Lucinda, MR, and Stewart Long.
IMO, MS isn't credible because she thought it might have been negative energy. She's a flake and I don't put much stock in what she claims to have heard.
What do you think the RST did to change Joe B's mind? Death threat? $$$? Either are possible. Or did they just explain to Joe that JAR wasn't in CO and he accepted that and changed his story? Doesn't have to be true, but why would he change his mind merely on suggestion unless he wasn't all that certain to begin with? So do we have the power of suggestion? Bribery? Threats?
As far as I can tell the idea that JAR was in CO that night is based on Joe B's sighting, and a complete lack of evidence: no one else who saw JAR coming forward, the possibility that a JAR and/or JR might have had a friend with a plane and a license and that authorities couldn't figure out if a plane flew from Boulder to Atlanta despite it appearing in Atlanta and the prior plan indicating it last landed in Boulder. Only so much can be inferred from the lack of evidence. We have Joe B's sighting to support a JAR theory, and BM/CS/HS/MR/SL/Lucinda to claim he was in Atlanta that night as late as 1am.
I have to say I think you are trying much too hard for this JAR theory. We know he got on a plane at 8am or so on the morning of the 26th. The flight took off at 8:30. There are 3 non-family witnesses placing JAR in Atlanta on the night of the 25th. There are 3 family members who do likewise, along with soon to be family member SL. There is one person in CO who claims to have seen JAR that day. It seems to me the scale tips in favor of JAR being in Atlanta that night.
But ok, I'll agree that Brad might have been in Boulder, and that he might have flown a borrowed plane to Atlanta, perhaps with BR slipping aboard not officially on the manifest. The appearance of an unfamiliar plane at a small private airport might not have aroused suspicion. It all strikes me as much less likely than JAR being at the movies with his buddies.
WRT the movie ticket stub. It's often been remarked that there is something suspicious about JAR hanging on to the stub. Either one of his co-conspirators bought a 3rd ticket (it must have been Chris if Brad was flying) to give him an alibi, or he just stuck the stub in his pocket and happened to find it again later. If he's innocent, maybe he hung on to it realizing the importance of proving where he was? It seems another one of those things that can be read both ways.
