Tropical Storm Karen in Gulf of Mexico

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Reader, Oct 4, 2013.

  1. Reader

    Reader New Member

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    Thanks, Peliman. I'll ask a mod about having it both places. This morning Karen seems to have moved a little more to the west.

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    I can't save this graphic at CNN that shows it even more to the west landing around Mobile:

    http://www.cnn.com/2013/10/04/world/americas/tropical-storm-karen/index.html?hpt=hp_t2

     
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  3. Reader

    Reader New Member

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    Karen's strength wavers; focus remains on central Gulf coast

    http://www.wtxl.com/news/local/kare...cle_64a16168-2d14-11e3-b55c-0019bb30f31a.html

     
  4. Reader

    Reader New Member

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    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT2+shtml/051432.shtml?

    Tropical storm karen discussion number 10
    nws national hurricane center miami fl al122013
    1000 am cdt sat oct 05 2013

    the low-level center of karen remains exposed about 100 n mi to the
    west-northwest of the deep convection. Based on several sfmr
    winds around 35 kt from the earlier aircraft missions in karen
    early this morning...the initial intensity remains 35 kt. The next
    aircraft missions into karen this afternoon will help determine if
    the cyclone has weakened to a depression. The environment remains
    unfavorable for intensification and most of the guidance shows
    gradual weakening. The new nhc forecast shows the system weakening
    to a depression in 24 hours. There is little difference in impacts
    between a 30-kt depression and a 35-kt tropical storm...and
    tropical storm force gusts could easily occur in convective bands.
    Karen should dissipate or be absorbed by a cold front shortly after
    48 hours.

    Karen has been moved quickly north-northwestward over the past few
    hours...and the initial position is to the left and ahead of the
    previous forecast track. The initial motion estimate is now
    355/07...as karen has now turned northward. A sharp northeastward
    turn is shown by all of the guidance in the next 24 hours ahead of
    a mid/upper-level trough...with an east-northeastward motion and an
    increase in forward speed expected through dissipation......more......

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