Today I ended up thinking about TM & VB and my own teenage years. And since this case's coverage seems to be so notorious with blowing things out the proportion while there is likely not much there and staying enigmatic where it's seriously confusing and next to impossible to tell what was really going on.
And my theory about it is (well, it's rather a collection of my guesses but anyways).
What was VB even doing there?
I don't mean on that specific day, cause that's iffy, but in general. He wasn't like the next door neighbour.
And we have pretty good explanation on how Renee's & Rachel's friendship happened despite of significatn distance between their houses and age gap: cause Renee was vitsiting F's, who were her parent's friends and next door neighbours of A's.
Then - what's VB doing there? So he's TM's friend (which I'm not sure if it's even accurate, cause what I took from their stories was that they kinda knew each other before, but the actual friendship formed sometime AFTER the disappearance and VB's return from Cali).
But TM is the eldest sibling and he's significantly younger than VB, who doesn't seem to be their next door neighbour - while in the same time he was apparently a guest at Renee's, at Rachel's birthday party month prior to disappearance. Assumming that it was as TM said - that he was unaware of his interest in Renee, her interest in him, his interest in Rachel and that he didn't even knew Rachel that well. We also have Renee's dad being against VB, yet not so much against TM (which sounds odd under assumption that they were friends already).
Sounds like a big mess, but there is a way to make sense out of it without considering their statements as lies cause it's all possible if:
- TM and VB are not close friends YET,
- TM and Renee are not dating each other for long YET - and it's not like she was hiding anything from TM, instead more like she didn't have much of an occasion to tell him YET (and I don't mean confessing that she used to want to date him, I mean usual chatting about her days, when she may met him)
- VB is someone who Renee met through Rachel
Then it makes sense that Renee's dad, upon hearing that she went shopping with Rachel his first thought was that they must be somewhere together, with VB. Doesn't sound like he was thinking that VB could harm them, it sounded more like he got angry cause he didn't saw VB as an appropriate companion for his 14yo daughter.
Yet, in the same time it doesn't sound like VB and Rachel were good friends, neighbours or antyhing like that, also age difference still, so they weren't classmates.
Is this possible that he came into the picture and started hanging out with Rachel cause he was a friend or acquaintance of DA or ST? Seems like VB and ST were same age, and the first mention of VB places him at that unfortunate November's birthday party - if that happened after DA came to live with TT & Rachel, it's possible that they got introduced to each other not that long before the disappearance.
Even if so, there still had to be someone who introduced TM and VB... unless they met in High School few months earlier.
No one, not one person in the right mind would assume that 17yo girl takes her 14yo friend and her 9yo neighbour to ran away. This is not how reality works. It doesn't happen like that.
People having plans and acting enthusiastic about some events in the future sometimes are running away, especially teenagers who are known for not making the best decisions and being easily overtaken by emotions (so some super important and unforeseen reasons my appear, or just poor judgement, underestimating time needed to visit a place) - not that often, but it may happen. It's far from being the most likely scenario to explain their absence, but it may happen.
Running away with 9yo neighbour, randomly tagging along doesn't happen. Cops may be negligent or uninterested, but parents surely were.
What on Earth did they knew that we now don't know, what made them believe that running away was a possibility. There had to be something. They weren't dumb. What was it?
VB was Renee's dad best guess as who may be responsible for them not returning home as planned. And he was freaking right to assume that they met with him. Cause they did.
So good thinking, good awareness of what's going on with his daughter and her friend.
But then VB is still there, while girls are not. So what's his secound guess? Where they may go, with who, to visit who or what? The scenario of them running away had to be supported with some believeable theory as to why, where, whith whom. What was it?