'Very active' hurricane season predicted

Discussion in 'Weather' started by kahskye, Apr 3, 2007.

  1. kahskye

    kahskye Inactive

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    FORT COLLINS, Colorado (AP) -- The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season should be "very active," with 17 named storms, a top storm forecaster said Tuesday.
    Those named storms are expected to include five intense or major hurricanes, according to forecaster William Gray's team at Colorado State University. Gray said there is a 74 percent probability of a major hurricane hitting the U.S. coast.


    http://www.cnn.com/2007/WEATHER/04/03/hurricane.forecast.ap/index.html?eref=rss_topstories
     
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  3. poco

    poco A cat will blink when struck with a hammer.

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    You are trying to ruin my summer and it hasn't even really started yet - thanks alot! :slap:
     
  4. kahskye

    kahskye Inactive

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    Sorry, the article caught my eye when I came online. I only live 1/2 a mile from the coast, so this doesn't exactly thrill me.
     
  5. Cypros

    Cypros New Member

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    Well, they predicted a bad season last year but then nothing much happened so let's hope for the sake of everybody that they are wrong again this time.
     
  6. angelmom

    angelmom The love stays...forever in our hearts

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    That's what I was going to say too. Last year was supposed to be the worst ever and it might have been the least activity I remember. Console yourself with how often they are wrong.
     
  7. Peter Hamilton

    Peter Hamilton New Member

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    It's gonna be a wild season! Batten the hatches!
     
  8. christine2448

    christine2448 Retired WS Staff

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    Bill Gray's 2006 Predicitions

    The specifics
    The 2006 forecast calls for:
    • 17 named tropical storms; an average season has 9.6.
    • 9 hurricanes compared to the average of 5.9.
    • 5 major hurricanes with winds exceeding 110 mph; average is 2.3.
    Though these statistical predictions cannot portend when any of the storms will form or where they will go, Klotzbach, Gray and colleagues calculate an 81 percent chance that at least one major hurricane will hit the U.S. coast in 2006.


    What actually happened:
    a total of 9 Storms
    only 5 Hurricanes of those (2 considered major)

    (just pulled this up, didn't spend much time researching, but I don't believe 1 MAJOR hurricane hit the US last year...or am I wrong)


    [​IMG] Alberto[​IMG] Beryl[​IMG] Chris[​IMG] Debby[​IMG] Ernesto[​IMG] Florence[​IMG] Gordon[​IMG] Helene[​IMG] Isaac
     
  9. Buzz Mills

    Buzz Mills New Member

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    I was going to say the same thing. After the same prediction, last year was a bust when it came to hurricanes.

    In the meantime, I am hoping we, here in CA, don't have to endure another heat wave, like the one last year. I'm waiting for Costco to bring in the air conditioners; I'll probably buy another one.
     
  10. Nova

    Nova New Member

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    Even though they may not be able to accurately predict the number of storms in any one year, they do know we are in a period of increased hurricane activity (after a few relatively quiet decades). People on the East and Gulf Coasts should probably just assume the worst.
     
  11. Amraann

    Amraann Former Member

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    I was also going to point out that last year they were totally wrong but ya'll beat me to it...(a couple of times)

    kahskye I live litterally on the beach ... So a big hurricaine season does not appeal to me either.

    I live on an island in south Florida so if there is a caine it usually hits here first then decides which direction it will take :)
    Luckily they usually do not hit here to hard...
    I once evacuated to where the hurricaine hit LOLOL .....
     
  12. Paladin

    Paladin Former Member

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    And I'm sure the media will blow this out of proportion. No pun intended.

    Look what happened with shark attacks. They're so minimal yet every time it happens to someone it's all over the news.
     
  13. RiverRat

    RiverRat Patsy Ramsey to the Left

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    :bang: Hunker Down time already?!
     
  14. Peter Hamilton

    Peter Hamilton New Member

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    Dr Gray's reputation is really on the line this year--Last year he predicted 17 storms but there were only 9--If the same thing happens this year, more and more people will not take him seriously anymore
     
  15. dingo

    dingo Former Member

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    :D :blowkiss:I hope you have a beautiful summer Poco
     

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