Hurricane Delta - October 2020

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Flhurricane.com

Hurricane Delta has made landfall near Puerto Morelos around 5:30 AM CDT over the Yucatan and weakened to a category 2, and is expected to move into the Gulf later today and restrengthen to a category 4, and as a much larger system area wise. Which usually translates into a large storm surge event along the coast.

Beyond that a track to an area in Louisiana is likely, and perhaps a bit more widely felt than Laura since it will be more established by then than Laura was. Unfortunately it also means the areas affected by Laura may also be affected by Delta again, and possibly a bit east or west (and effect further east of the center than Laura)

Listen to local media and officials on what to do in your particular area. Hurricane and Storm Surge watches may be issued for the Gulf coast later today.

Key Messages:

1. Life-threatening storm surge and dangerous winds are expected within portions of the northern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico during the next few hours. Now is the time to be in your storm shelter.

2. Heavy rainfall will affect portions of western Cuba and the northern Yucatan Peninsula through early Thursday. This rainfall could lead to significant flash flooding and mudslides. Flash, urban, and small stream flooding, along with minor river flooding is likely Friday through Saturday across portions of the central Gulf
Coast north into portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley. The heavy rainfall will spread northeastward into the Tennessee Valley and interior southeastern United States this weekend into early next week.

3. There is an increasing likelihood of life-threatening storm surge and dangerous hurricane-force winds, especially along the coasts of Louisiana and Mississippi, beginning on Friday. Residents in these
areas should ensure they have their hurricane plan in place and follow advice given by local officials. Storm surge and hurricane watches will likely be issued for portions of the northern Gulf Coast later today.
 
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND DAMAGING WINDS INCREASINGLY LIKELY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BEGINNING FRIDAY...
7:00 PM CDT Wed Oct 7
Location: 22.3°N 90.2°W
Moving: NW at 17 mph
Min pressure: 973 mb
Max sustained: 90 mph
 
...DELTA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON FRIDAY...
1:00 PM CDT Thu Oct 8
Location: 24.4°N 93.1°W
Moving: NW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 966 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph
 
HURRICANE DELTA

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.DELTA REGAINS MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON FRIDAY...
4:00 PM CDT Thu Oct 8
Location: 24.8°N 93.4°W
Moving: NW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 959 mb
Max sustained: 115 mph
 
...DELTA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND A LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON FRIDAY...
10:00 PM CDT Thu Oct 8
Location: 25.7°N 93.6°W
Moving: NNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 955 mb
Max sustained: 120 mph
 
Those poor people. Life is so unfair sometimes.

Hurricane Delta track: Storm gets stronger approaching Louisiana

"Delta ... is expected to bring a dangerous and life-threatening storm surge, heavy flooding rainfall, damaging winds along the coast as well as isolated tornadoes from Friday into Saturday," Kottlowski warned.

The storm's forward speed and the amount of wind shear – an increase in wind speed with altitude along with a sudden change in wind direction – it encounters will determine its wind strength at landfall, Kottlowski said.
 
PayrollNerd said:
Those poor people. Life is so unfair sometimes.

Hurricane Delta track: Storm gets stronger approaching Louisiana

"Delta ... is expected to bring a dangerous and life-threatening storm surge, heavy flooding rainfall, damaging winds along the coast as well as isolated tornadoes from Friday into Saturday," Kottlowski warned.

The storm's forward speed and the amount of wind shear – an increase in wind speed with altitude along with a sudden change in wind direction – it encounters will determine its wind strength at landfall, Kottlowski said.
Click to expand...

We haven’t completely recovered from Laura. Feeling very stressed in Louisiana. My area should get the eye Friday afternoon. I appreciate all your updates.

edited for grammar
 
...MAJOR HURRICANE DELTA HEADED TOWARD SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND A LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY...
1:00 AM CDT Fri Oct 9
Location: 26.2°N 93.6°W
Moving: NNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 953 mb
Max sustained: 120 mph
 
It is the water that kills far more than the wind. Check on your neighbors, friends an family before you leave. Get their cell phone numbers if you don’t have them.
 

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Delta's path forecast to hit Louisiana Friday as Category 2 hurricane

It is expected to weaken slightly before making landfall near Cameron, Louisiana, around dinner time Friday night as Category 2 hurricane with winds of 105 to 110 mph.

Even though it's expected to weaken, the storm surge from Delta is still forecast to be near 11 feet in parts of Louisiana.

The storm surge and damaging winds will continue to be the biggest threat for southwestern Louisiana and eastern Texas.
 
...RAINBANDS OF DELTA SPREADING INTO SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND A LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY...
7:00 AM CDT Fri Oct 9
Location: 27.5°N 93.8°W
Moving: N at 12 mph
Min pressure: 958 mb
Max sustained: 120 mph
 
National Hurricane Center -- Hurricane Delta
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Key Messages: [as of 4 a.m. CDT Friday 10/9]

1. Life-threatening storm surge is expected near and east of where
Delta makes landfall this evening, and a Storm Surge Warning is in
effect from High Island, Texas, to Ocean Springs, Mississippi. The
highest inundation of 7 to 11 feet is expected somewhere between
Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge and Morgan City, Louisiana. Residents
in the warning area should promptly follow advice given by local
officials. The storm surge risk remains high despite the forecast
decrease in intensity before landfall since Delta is a relatively
large hurricane.

2. Hurricane-force winds are expected this afternoon and evening
somewhere within the Hurricane Warning area between High Island, Texas, and Morgan City, Louisiana. Hurricane force winds will also spread inland across portions of southern Louisiana near the path of Deltas center this evening and tonight.

3. Heavy rainfall will lead to significant flash flooding and minor
to major river flooding in parts of Louisiana today and Saturday.
Additional flooding is expected across portions of the central Gulf
Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley.
 
Good Morning, friends.......It is pretty quiet this morning......a bit windy and wet. I feel like I did before Laura.....lucky that the storm has been nudged west but not sure that it is enough to be safe.....and worried about anyone in the path.
Have a birthday later this month......think I am going to get a rain gauge.
Will check with you a bit later. Thank you for all the news. Lato
 
...CENTER OF DELTA MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA COAST... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND A LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY...
10:00 AM CDT Fri Oct 9
Location: 28.0°N 93.8°W
Moving: N at 13 mph
Min pressure: 962 mb
Max sustained: 115 mph
 
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