As I said before, the McCann defence is based entirely on tearing other evidence apart.
No one knows where Gerry was at 10 because the reconstruction never took place...in fact, Gerry's whereabouts for most of 3 May are still uncertain.
The reconstruction never took place because the McCann refused to cooperate.
The truth is now lost to the mists of time...which was the point.
I have absolutely no doubt that Martin Smith did not lose sleep over a "60%" certainty...he was 100% certain, otherwise why lose sleep and go to the trouble of contacting the police again?
It is so predictable that now Martin Smith is wrong/rubbish/mistaken too.
Everyone is, except the McCann.
:banghead:
If Gerry was missing from the hotel at 10pm then that would have been all over the papers by now. It has nothing to do with the reconstruction all the PJ had to do is ask each independent witness whether they saw Gerry at the hotel when Kate raised the alarm. You don't need a whole reconstruction for that.
Kate and Gerry did not refuse to do a reconstruction. Where are you getting this information?
You can find all of the information about the reconstruction here from the original sources
http://madeleinemythsexposed.pbworks.com/w/page/39077838/Rebuttal of "Fact" 23
If Martin Smith was 100% sure of this sighting he would have said 100% or maybe even 99% for safe measures. Instead he has said 60-80% which is a fair amount lower.
No one is saying that Martin Smith is wrong. This information is coming straight from HIM. He is saying there is a 20-40% chance he could be wrong. You can't just dismiss his certainty and change that to 0% because you feel like it.
And of course he's going to lose sleep. If he thought there was a 10% chance it was Gerry he'd probably still have lost sleep. He potentially saw Madeleine's abductor poor guy.
Again, Why would Kate raise the alarm when Gerry couldn't be accounted for? That would throw suspicion right at them.