Tropical Storm Ophelia possible for Florida
- Thread starter Dark Knight
- Start date
Buzz Mills
New Member
Oops tybee, Ophelia appears to have reformed, but it hasn't, as yet, made that turn to the Northwest. BTW, where is Tybee Island--I couldn't find it on the map.tybee204 said:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
There will be another major update in about 45 minutes.
OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY.
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...SOME STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST AND OPHELIA COULD AGAIN BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...31.2 N... 76.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.
Buzz Mills
New Member
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005
...AN AIR FORCE PLANE MEASURED 80 MPH WINDS IN OPHELIA...NOW A
HURRICANE AGAIN...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF THE SAVANNAH
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 255 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
OPHELIA HAS SLOWED DOWN AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR
3 MPH. LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 76.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005
...AN AIR FORCE PLANE MEASURED 80 MPH WINDS IN OPHELIA...NOW A
HURRICANE AGAIN...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF THE SAVANNAH
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 255 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
OPHELIA HAS SLOWED DOWN AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR
3 MPH. LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 76.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
Buzz Mills
New Member
tybee, thanks for that info. It appears you may be OK, but stay tuned.tybee204 said:
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF THE SAVANNAH
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
Buzz Mills
New Member
Where is Gaia located?? Perhaps she'll get lucky and not have to evacuate. They are saying that along with Ophelia slowing down, it will begin a gradual turn on Sunday toward the West/Northwest; however, the track of this storm has been erratic, so that could change. We'll do our best to wish the storm away from her area.JBean said:
Buzz Mills
New Member
Hi JBean, what date did you have your surgery, and how are you feeling???JBean said:
At the moment, Oriental, NC is in the picture. It's a wait and see.
Buzz Mills
New Member
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005
...LARGE OPHELIA BARELY MOVING...
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE
SHIFTED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST OR ABOUT 230 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 240 MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
OPHELIA HAS BEEN MEANDERING MAINLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH.
LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N... 76.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005
...LARGE OPHELIA BARELY MOVING...
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE
SHIFTED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST OR ABOUT 230 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 240 MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
OPHELIA HAS BEEN MEANDERING MAINLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH.
LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N... 76.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
9/1. Anterior cervical discectomy with double fusion. Buzz, I got the titanium mesh cages,plates, bolts and cadaver bone and the whole nine yards. I'm bionic!Buzzm1 said:
I am still mending but I feel just fantastic. Some typical post-surgical discomfort and local neck pain, but no headaches and the radiculopathy is gone.
*sigh* I know you know that relief is a good thing. thanks for asking.
Dark Knight
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- Sep 3, 2004
- Messages
- 21,649
- Reaction score
- 82
Hurricane Watch Posted for Southeast Coast
By BRUCE SMITH, Associated Press Writer
A hurricane watch was posted Saturday for the Southeast coast as Ophelia strengthened into a hurricane once again and meteorologists said its meandering course could take a sharp turn toward land.
A hurricane watch was posted along a 300-mile stretch from the Georgia-South Carolina state line to North Carolina's Cape Lookout, meaning hurricane-force wind of at least 74 mph was possible by Sunday evening, the National Hurricane Center said.
South Carolina state emergency officials said a decision would be made later Saturday whether any evacuations would be ordered, but Charleston County announced it would open shelters Saturday evening for voluntary evacuees from low-lying areas and barrier islands.
"We don't think it's a done deal yet," said Joe Farmer, a spokesman for the South Carolina Emergency Management Division. "It's moving really slow so we have to hang with it. But there is some expectation it will move toward the coast."
Emergency management directors along the North Carolina coast said they were prepared for Ophelia and warned residents not to be complacent.
The crew of an Air Force hurricane hunter airplane flying through Ophelia measured top sustained wind of 80 mph. It could strengthen a bit before an expected Monday landfall, said Eric Blake, a meteorologist at the hurricane center in Miami.
"Almost every (computer) model indicates a United States landfall," he said. "It's time to make those preparations."
At 2 p.m. EDT Saturday, Ophelia was centered about 225 miles east-southeast of Charleston, S.C., and about 255 miles south-southwest of Cape Hatteras, N.C. It was drifting northeast at about 3 mph, but was expected to head to the northwest, toward the coast, on Sunday.
Ophelia was already contributing to rough surf along the coast.
"There are large swells from Ophelia and residual swells from (Tropical Storm) Nate and from the northeast winds we've had over the past few days. You can imagine how confused the seas are," said meteorologist Steve Pfaff at the National Weather Service in Wilmington, N.C. He said a buoy at Frying Pan Shoals, 35 miles off Cape Fear, was reporting 12-foot waves.
Nate and another tropical storm, Maria, posed no threat to land as they weakened over the cooler water of the north Atlantic.
If Ophelia makes landfall in South Carolina it would the third hurricane in 13 months to strike the state. Hurricanes Charlie and Gaston hit the South Carolina coast last season in the same general area.
Ophelia is the seventh hurricane in this year's busy Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and ends Nov. 30. Peak storm activity typically occurs from the end of August through mid-September.
___
On the Net:
National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
By BRUCE SMITH, Associated Press Writer
A hurricane watch was posted Saturday for the Southeast coast as Ophelia strengthened into a hurricane once again and meteorologists said its meandering course could take a sharp turn toward land.
A hurricane watch was posted along a 300-mile stretch from the Georgia-South Carolina state line to North Carolina's Cape Lookout, meaning hurricane-force wind of at least 74 mph was possible by Sunday evening, the National Hurricane Center said.
South Carolina state emergency officials said a decision would be made later Saturday whether any evacuations would be ordered, but Charleston County announced it would open shelters Saturday evening for voluntary evacuees from low-lying areas and barrier islands.
"We don't think it's a done deal yet," said Joe Farmer, a spokesman for the South Carolina Emergency Management Division. "It's moving really slow so we have to hang with it. But there is some expectation it will move toward the coast."
Emergency management directors along the North Carolina coast said they were prepared for Ophelia and warned residents not to be complacent.
The crew of an Air Force hurricane hunter airplane flying through Ophelia measured top sustained wind of 80 mph. It could strengthen a bit before an expected Monday landfall, said Eric Blake, a meteorologist at the hurricane center in Miami.
"Almost every (computer) model indicates a United States landfall," he said. "It's time to make those preparations."
At 2 p.m. EDT Saturday, Ophelia was centered about 225 miles east-southeast of Charleston, S.C., and about 255 miles south-southwest of Cape Hatteras, N.C. It was drifting northeast at about 3 mph, but was expected to head to the northwest, toward the coast, on Sunday.
Ophelia was already contributing to rough surf along the coast.
"There are large swells from Ophelia and residual swells from (Tropical Storm) Nate and from the northeast winds we've had over the past few days. You can imagine how confused the seas are," said meteorologist Steve Pfaff at the National Weather Service in Wilmington, N.C. He said a buoy at Frying Pan Shoals, 35 miles off Cape Fear, was reporting 12-foot waves.
Nate and another tropical storm, Maria, posed no threat to land as they weakened over the cooler water of the north Atlantic.
If Ophelia makes landfall in South Carolina it would the third hurricane in 13 months to strike the state. Hurricanes Charlie and Gaston hit the South Carolina coast last season in the same general area.
Ophelia is the seventh hurricane in this year's busy Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and ends Nov. 30. Peak storm activity typically occurs from the end of August through mid-September.
___
On the Net:
National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
concernedperson
Former Member
- Joined
- Apr 10, 2004
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- 14,795
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OK, Tybee there's your warning. You will get some wind and water, hopefully not much but better to be safe. Let us know where you land. God Bless!
Buzz Mills
New Member
tybee, you should be safe, and shouldn't have to evacuate, as the hurricane will most likely end up making landfall far North of you. At 11:00PM EDT there will another major advisory which will most likely shift the area of concern from North Carolina Northward. It's moving almost directly North at the moment at 2mph, and is well East of you.tybee204 said:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005
LOCATION A B C D E
SAVANNAH GA X 2 5 5 12
CHARLESTON SC 1 6 5 4 16
MYRTLE BEACH SC 6 7 3 3 19
WILMINGTON NC 10 6 2 2 20
MOREHEAD CITY NC 9 6 2 2 19
CAPE HATTERAS NC 2 7 2 3 14
NORFOLK VA X 3 4 4 11
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
C FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON
D FROM 2PM MON TO 2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
Buzz Mills
New Member
NC is still in the projected path, based on the current track, and expected turn towards the Northwest sometime tomorrow.. It appears that tybee is just about free and clear though. The 11:00PM EDT advisory should tell us more.JBean said:
Buzz Mills
New Member
8:00PM EDT Update
OPHELIA HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. LITTLE MOTION IS
ANTICIPATED THE REST OF TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N... 75.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
OPHELIA HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. LITTLE MOTION IS
ANTICIPATED THE REST OF TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N... 75.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
Buzz Mills
New Member
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005
...OPHELIA AGAIN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE
SHIFTED NORTHWARD ON SUNDAY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST OR ABOUT 255 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 235 MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
OPHELIA IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
NOAA BUOY 41002 LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 47 MPH.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 150 MILES...240 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N... 75.8 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005
...OPHELIA AGAIN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE
SHIFTED NORTHWARD ON SUNDAY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST OR ABOUT 255 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 235 MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
OPHELIA IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
NOAA BUOY 41002 LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 47 MPH.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 150 MILES...240 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N... 75.8 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
Buzz Mills
New Member
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST OR ABOUT 265 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 250 MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
OPHELIA IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
HURRICANE HUNTERS IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 75.7 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 978 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST OR ABOUT 265 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 250 MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
OPHELIA IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
HURRICANE HUNTERS IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 75.7 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 978 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
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Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Off Carolinas
By BRUCE SMITH, Associated Press Writer
Hurricane Ophelia sat off the coast of the Carolinas on Sunday and a meteorologist said it was a waiting game to see where, and if, the storm comes ashore.
"This one is sitting still," said meteorologist Gil Wagi at the National Weather Service bureau in Newport, N.C.
The hurricane's top sustained wind decreased from 85 mph earlier in the day to 80 mph at 11 a.m. A hurricane watch remained in effect from just north of Edisto Beach, S.C., to North Carolina's Cape Lookout, a stretch of more than 250 miles.
Although there was a chance Ophelia could remain at sea, most computer models bring the hurricane close to the Carolinas late Tuesday or early Wednesday, said Daniel Brown, a meteorologist with the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
"They'll be feeling the effects there in portions of the Carolinas even if it stays offshore," he said.
Conditions don't appear too favorable for Ophelia to strengthen much, he said.
North Carolina Gov. Mike Easley declared a state of emergency as the storm's meandering track shifted northward. The storm was not close enough to make a decision on whether to order evacuations, said Eddie King, Pender County emergency management director.
South Carolina officials said a decision would be made soon about whether to order evacuations, but Charleston County said it would open shelters for voluntary evacuees from low-lying areas and barrier islands.
The storm is "moving really slow so we have to hang with it. But there is some expectation it will move toward the coast," said Joe Farmer, a spokesman for the South Carolina Emergency Management Division.
At 11 a.m. EDT, Ophelia was 265 miles east-southeast of Charleston, S.C., and about 250 miles south of Cape Hatteras, N.C. The storm was stationary after following a meandering course since becoming a tropical storm Wednesday off the coast of Florida.
Ophelia already was contributing to rough surf along the coast.
"There are large swells from Ophelia and residual swells from (Tropical Storm) Nate and from the northeast winds we've had over the past few days. You can imagine how confused the seas are," said meteorologist Steve Pfaff at the National Weather Service in Wilmington, N.C. He said a buoy at Frying Pan Shoals, 35 miles off Cape Fear, reported 12-foot waves Saturday.
Nate and another tropical storm, Maria, were heading toward the cooler water of the north Atlantic.
Ophelia is the seventh hurricane in this year's busy Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and ends Nov. 30. Peak storm activity typically occurs from the end of August through mid-September.
___
On the Net:
National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
By BRUCE SMITH, Associated Press Writer
Hurricane Ophelia sat off the coast of the Carolinas on Sunday and a meteorologist said it was a waiting game to see where, and if, the storm comes ashore.
"This one is sitting still," said meteorologist Gil Wagi at the National Weather Service bureau in Newport, N.C.
The hurricane's top sustained wind decreased from 85 mph earlier in the day to 80 mph at 11 a.m. A hurricane watch remained in effect from just north of Edisto Beach, S.C., to North Carolina's Cape Lookout, a stretch of more than 250 miles.
Although there was a chance Ophelia could remain at sea, most computer models bring the hurricane close to the Carolinas late Tuesday or early Wednesday, said Daniel Brown, a meteorologist with the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
"They'll be feeling the effects there in portions of the Carolinas even if it stays offshore," he said.
Conditions don't appear too favorable for Ophelia to strengthen much, he said.
North Carolina Gov. Mike Easley declared a state of emergency as the storm's meandering track shifted northward. The storm was not close enough to make a decision on whether to order evacuations, said Eddie King, Pender County emergency management director.
South Carolina officials said a decision would be made soon about whether to order evacuations, but Charleston County said it would open shelters for voluntary evacuees from low-lying areas and barrier islands.
The storm is "moving really slow so we have to hang with it. But there is some expectation it will move toward the coast," said Joe Farmer, a spokesman for the South Carolina Emergency Management Division.
At 11 a.m. EDT, Ophelia was 265 miles east-southeast of Charleston, S.C., and about 250 miles south of Cape Hatteras, N.C. The storm was stationary after following a meandering course since becoming a tropical storm Wednesday off the coast of Florida.
Ophelia already was contributing to rough surf along the coast.
"There are large swells from Ophelia and residual swells from (Tropical Storm) Nate and from the northeast winds we've had over the past few days. You can imagine how confused the seas are," said meteorologist Steve Pfaff at the National Weather Service in Wilmington, N.C. He said a buoy at Frying Pan Shoals, 35 miles off Cape Fear, reported 12-foot waves Saturday.
Nate and another tropical storm, Maria, were heading toward the cooler water of the north Atlantic.
Ophelia is the seventh hurricane in this year's busy Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and ends Nov. 30. Peak storm activity typically occurs from the end of August through mid-September.
___
On the Net:
National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
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