Buzz Mills
New Member
Stan is the next name chosen after Rita. We will know in the next 48 hours if this storm is going to develop further and beccome a tropical depression.
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
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It looked for a while as if it had dissipated; but now it is beginning to look ugly again. Keep an eye on it. Hoping it doessn't form up.Buzzm1 said:Stan is the next name chosen after Rita. We will know in the next 48 hours if this storm is going to develop further and beccome a tropical depression.
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
Buzzm1 said:It looked for a while as if it had dissipated; but now it is beginning to look ugly again. Keep an eye on it. Hoping it doessn't form up.
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
Pook said:Wasn't it reported that there would be a least 2 more named storms, probably of hurricane status, before the end of the season?
Pook, the end of the hurricane season isn't until the end of November, so the odds are pretty good that we will see a few more hurricanes. The names chosen for any additional hurricanes, in order, are: Stan, Tammy, Vince, and Wilma. This has been quite the year, with Rita, and Katrina, ranked number 3 (897 MB), and 5 (902 MB),, respectively, in intensity, since they began keeping records. We don't need any more records set this year.Pook said:Wasn't it reported that there would be a least 2 more named storms, probably of hurricane status, before the end of the season?
:sick: We can't take anything else in Texas. So many of us are grabbing our butts looking for help.Buzzm1 said:Pook, the end of the hurricane season isn't until the end of November, so the odds are pretty good that we will see a few more hurricanes. The names chosen for any additional hurricanes, in order, are: Stan, Tammy, Vince, and Wilma. This has been quite the year, with Rita, and Katrina, ranked number 3 (897 MB), and 5 (902 MB),, respectively, in intensity, since they began keeping records. We don't need any more records set this year.
From Accuweather:
A tropical wave along 80 west south of 23 north is moving to the
west-northwest at 12 knots. During the past 12 hours, the system has developed a low-level circulation along the southern end of the wave near 16 north. Wind shear is light over this portion of the wave so it should continue to develop and could become a tropical depression over the next 12-24 hours. It should track just to the north of Honduras later Thursday and into the Yucatan Peninsula on Friday. It may become a tropical storm prior to reaching the Yucatan and if it did, it would be named Stan. From there it should move across southern Mexico or even the Bay of Campeche later in the weekend or early next week. High pressure aloft should remain strong enough to the north to keep this feature to the south of Texas, but a weaker ridge would allow room for a northward shift. The northern part of the wave is being sheared and should be slow to develop over the next couple of days.
Right now, according to Accuweather, if this storm develops it will probably be steered South of Texas, but Accuweather did allow themselves an out.deandaniellws said::sick: We can't take anything else in Texas. So many of us are grabbing our butts looking for help.
I meant that we already had so many others misplaced from the storms that we couldn't take anything else.Buzzm1 said:Right now, according to Accuweather, if this storm develops it will probably be steered South of Texas, but Accuweather did allow themselves an out.
A tropical wave along 81 west south of 23 north is moving to the
west-northwest at 12 knots. A low level circulation developed along the wave near 16 north Wednesday afternoon but all the strong convection associated with it has diminished Wednesday evening. The strongest convection is farther north near 19 north and it may get going again later Wednesday night closer to the low level circulation. Wind shear is light over this portion of the wave so it should continue to develop and could become a tropical depression over the next 12-24 hours. It should track just to the north of Honduras later Thursday and into the Yucatan Peninsula on Friday. It may become a tropical storm prior to reaching the Yucatan and if it did, it would be named Stan. From there it should move across southern Mexico or even the Bay of Campeche later in the weekend or early next week. A ridge of high pressure aloft will build over the lower Mississippi Valley later this weekend and early next week and should steer this feature to the south of Texas, but if the ridge is weaker or farther north northward shift in the track could occur.
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsyhttp://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
Just curious where this report came from. It reads like Accuweather's.Buzzm1 said:Tropical Depression 20 is becoming better organized and bearing down on
the Yucatan Peninsula.
At 2:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, Tropical Depression 20 was located at 19.3 north, 85.8 west, about 110 miles southeast of Cozumel, Mexico. The depression is nearly stationary. A tropical storm warning is in effect for the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from Punta Gruesa to Cabo Catoche. A tropical storm watch is in effect for the northwestern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from Cabo Catoche westward to Campeche. Maximum sustained winds are about 35 mph, and the estimated minimum pressure remains at 1007 millibars, or 29.74 inches. The Hurricane Hunters recently arrived in the storm, and have found winds of about 30 mph so far.
The depression will track over the northern Yucatan Peninsula Saturday night, perhaps briefly reaching tropical storm intensity before landfall. It will then move into the open waters of the southwestern Gulf of Mexico Sunday. After that, the storm should gradually intensify as it tracks westward toward northeastern Mexico, and it could become a hurricane before making landfall. The potential is there for the track to be far enough north to impact southern Texas, and for it to be far enough south that southern Texas remains untouched. All those with interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should be rushing storm preparations to completion, and those along the southern Texas and northeastern Mexican coastlines should monitor the progress of this storm carefully.
As of 11:00 a.m. Saturday, Tropical Depression 19 was located near 14.1 north and 33.8 west, or about 665 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands. Tropical Depression 19 was moving toward the north-northwest at 7 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and an estimated central pressure of 1008 millibars, or 29.77 inches. TD 19 should slowly track north and could become a tropical storm within the next 24 hours. This feature should generally track to the north-northwest toward the open waters of the Atlantic over the weekend.
The first of the two depressions to reach storm intensity will be named Stan, the second Tammy; either depression could reach tropical storm strength by late Saturday afternoon.
A tropical wave along 74 west, south of 24 north, shows little sign of development. Another wave located near 20 west, south of 20 north, will have to be watched for possible development. An upper-level trough of low pressure interacting with a tropical wave to the northeast of Puerto Rico will have to be watched for slow development over the weekend. This feature could be destined for the Southeast coast of the United States next Tuesday or Wednesday. Another area of disturbed weather southwest of Bermuda will shift west and could bring rich moisture to the Southeast coast early next week.