Crime Scene Location Variables:
A) Abduction Site:
Known
B) Potential (SA) Assault Site:
Unknown
C) Murder Site:
Unknown
D) Disposal Site:
Known
E) Vehicle Abandoned Site:
Known
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1. Are B and C the same (assuming B occurred)?
2. Are B and/or C separate from D?
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Reverse Variable examination:
1. Could E have oddly occurred before B, C and D?
a) if there was another vehicle ready for transfer (unlikely if opportunistic?) or
b) there was walking involved? (Unlikely, moo)
c)
It would be more likely E would occur after B,C, D? Moo.
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ETA:
Timeline variables:
1.) How soon after B and C did D and E occur? Stats tells us likely soon after if a classic pedophile/hebephile abduction occurred.
Which at this point sounds plausible, except the “carjacking” throws in the unusual MO factor.
2.) How soon after D did E occur, assuming E did not occur before D?
3.) If a classic predator SA and Murder occurred, stats would tell us that A and B and C (and possibly D, but some predators keep their victims overnight and complete the disposal the next day, etc, Craig Wood, ARS..) likely occurred soon after each other.
But these other predators had a place to take them to and a home nearby. This predator took a vehicle and appeared to be on foot heforehand.
4.) IMO appears to have resemblances of a classic abduction and murder based on mileage stats, etc at the moment, however there is nothing to indicate someone might not have returned the general area to perform the disposal there later? In order to possibly make it appear as a classic child abduction or contain the crime scene in that area? No that’s doubtful (talking to myself out loud just trying to think about this timeline), also would be brazen to return to area...
5.) How soon after C did D occur, if they are not one in the same?