2020 Hurricane Season Starting Early, "High Activity" Expected This Year

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Gardener1850, May 14, 2020.

  1. Gardener1850

    Gardener1850 Timeline Guru (Still Remembering Cupcake)

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    Hurricane season may get early start near southeast US
    [​IMG]
    Kristina Pydynowski
    ,
    AccuWeatherMay 13, 2020
    Even though the Atlantic hurricane season doesn't officially start until June 1, the first tropical or subtropical storm is expected to develop offshore of the southeastern United States this weekend.

    "In every year since 2012, except for 2014, there has been at least one named tropical system during May," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said - and this year is likely to be no different.

    AccuWeather meteorologists anticipate a system to begin brewing near South Florida on Friday before strengthening into a subtropical or tropical system offshore of the Southeast coast this weekend. The ocean water is just warm enough for tropical development.

    Hurricane season may get early start near southeast US

    ----------------------------


    Here is the list of 2020 hurricane names:

    Arthur

    Bertha

    Cristobal

    Dolly

    Edouard

    Fay

    Gonzalo

    Hanna

    Isaias

    Josephine

    Kyle

    Laura

    Marco

    Nana

    Omar

    Paulette

    Rene

    Sally

    Teddy

    Vicky

    Wilfred

    Hurricane season names 2020 list: How Atlantic storms get their names
    -------------------------

    Colorado State University has released its early forecast for the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. They have been issuing these early forecasts for almost 25 years. The CSU Atlantic hurricane season forecast calls for above average tropical weather activity.

    Two of the main weather conditions CSU cites as reasons to expect more tropical systems and hurricanes this season also would influence Michigan and Ohio’s weather.

    [​IMG]
    Sea surface water temperatures are warmer than normal around the southeast U.S. on May 13, 2020
    CSU mentions a possible change from slight El Niño conditions to a possible La Niña developing this summer or fall. An El Niño produces a more west-to-east upper-level wind over the tropical Atlantic. The west-to-east wind can be a hinderance to hurricanes. The forecast of conditions turning to La Niña is an important one for hurricanes and Great Lakes weather. La Niña brings a more east-to-west upper air flow in the tropical Atlantic region. This condition helps hurricanes thrive, survive and move westward toward the U.S.

    CSU also says surface water temperatures in the tropical Atlantic are warmer than normal for now. Of course we know the warmer ocean water could more easily brew a powerful hurricane.

    Michigan, Ohio could see impact of new hurricane season forecast

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    Hurricane Season Is Expected to Be Particularly Active This Year, and Coronavirus Could Make It Worse

    The start of the U.S. Atlantic hurricane season is just over two weeks away and forecasters are expecting particularly high activity this year. With warmer than usual conditions anticipated in the North Atlantic this summer, meteorologists have predicted that the season could produce eight or more hurricanes.

    While forecasters cannot predict how many hurricanes—if any—will make landfall, the potential for dangerous storms to strike the southern and eastern coasts poses an additional problem for authorities already grappling with the COVID-19 pandemic.

    Experts say that the pandemic is straining the capabilities of The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)—the government agency responsible for disaster coordination—and other organizations involved in responding to natural disasters

    Hurricane season is expected to be particularly active this year, and coronavirus could make it worse

    [​IMG]

    US weather: Hurricane season, wild winds and tornadoes expected | Daily Mail Online
     
    watcher9, BUF, JerseyGirl and 4 others like this.


  2. margarita25

    margarita25 I like taking naps with my dog

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    Thank you for starting this thread, @Gardener1850
     
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  3. PayrollNerd

    PayrollNerd Well-Known Member

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  4. Gardener1850

    Gardener1850 Timeline Guru (Still Remembering Cupcake)

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    You're welcome @margarita25
    I'm so glad to see you posting on WS again. You were missed. :)
     
  5. JerseyGirl

    JerseyGirl Staff Member Staff Member Forum Coordinators

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    I'm here for the 2020 season. We should be moving in this year after Hurricane Sandy.

    I can't believe the tropics have started already.
     
  6. JerseyGirl

    JerseyGirl Staff Member Staff Member Forum Coordinators

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  7. margarita25

    margarita25 I like taking naps with my dog

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    Thanks, G. :)

    —-

    There’s never a good time for hurricanes, but could this time during a pandemic be any worse?

    —-

    ETA:

    And during this season, when shelters may need to be utilized, there is this aspect of “shared spaces” during the “pandemic” at hand...

    Some people may be more inclined to not evacuate to a shelter for this reason.

    I’m sure the Red Cross, etc. is planning their “socially distanced” shelters as we speak; I imagine them to be not that much different from a “quarantine facility”.
     
    Last edited: May 17, 2020
  8. PayrollNerd

    PayrollNerd Well-Known Member

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    My kinda outlook!!

    Flhurricane.com

    Back to normal for the preseason, with nothing expected to develop over the next week or two. Areas to watch in for the somewhat rare June system usually occur in the Gulf or Western Caribbean, and occasionally a storm just off the east coast, but June typically does not see much development.
     
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  9. PayrollNerd

    PayrollNerd Well-Known Member

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    The people commenting. LOL!!!

    Tropical Tidbits

    The NOAA Atlantic hurricane season outlook has been released, and expects a more active hurricane season than normal in 2020. Based on the developing La Nina and current Atlantic conditions, I agree with this expectation.

    This doesn't necessarily mean many landfalling storms, but it certainly doesn't hurt the chances of landfalls. It's always important to be prepared! Have a hurricane plan ready before the season ramps up, just in case a storm heads your way this year.
     
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  10. PayrollNerd

    PayrollNerd Well-Known Member

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    And next on the line up, Bertha. She pretty much ruined Memorial Day weekend for Florida. Now she’s torturing the east coast.

    Tropical Tidbits

    We now have Tropical Storm #Bertha this morning. A tight, closed circulation has reformed farther east within the deep thunderstorms as it approaches South Carolina. The primary impact is still flash flooding, with some gusty winds over 40 mph possible. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for portions of the South Carolina coastline. Bertha will be over land within the next couple hours and continue dumping heavy rain over South Carolina, spreading into North Carolina and parts of Virginia tonight.
     
    Gardener1850 likes this.
  11. PayrollNerd

    PayrollNerd Well-Known Member

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    Gardener1850 likes this.

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