How I see the victimology is this..
Not at all necessarily that Jessica, herself was targeted at some point earlier, specifically stalked for some period of time, and sought out and abducted intentionally on Friday, October 5th very soon after leaving the safety of her home..<-- I am NOT saying that couldn't have happened, but I'm saying that not at all did have to have happened that way in order for the perp to have been organized, premeditated, and to have thoroughly plotted out this abduction, murder, disposal....
In my opinion I firmly believe the last sentence above in that he absolutely not only had long term fantacized how he would go about executing this crime, but also throughout the course of failed attempts only better honed, or finely tuned certain variables of the crime.. I know that some are stuck on his being a pedophile...moo is that its much more likely this perp IS NOT A PEDOPHILE necessarily.. That throughout his attempts of subduing and abducting someone who actually fit the true victimology of this perp..iow his preference quite likely could have been an adult female, but due to those failed attempts that as i said sadly instead of deterring him from trying again..instead it only caused him to change or "tweak" one or more of the variables(ie. Instead of going for his prime preference adult female he changes the victim to an easier attainable target such as just a smaller version of his prime preference of adult female...aka female child)..thereby his finely tuning or "tweaking" the variables of the crime that appeared to cause him the most trouble and was causing the failed attempts..
So, its for those reasons why I in no way find it at all necessary that the perp is actually a pedophile who seeks pre-pubescent victims to satisy his sexual desires.. I find it much more likely that the victimology changed due to his ineptitude in being able to successfully subdue and abduct an adult female therefor at some point caused him to seek an easier target, a child..
I believe that in that sense that he had definitely begun to hunt for a child to "fit his bill" and Imo I find it reasonable to believe that possibly it was not JUST JESSICA that he zeroed in on, but rather in his hunting phase while scoping this area that he likely noted several, different prospects that so, too did they walk unsupervised by an adult, tho possibly buddied up with one or more other children in their walking to and from Witt Elementary.. So, for me i believe a more accurate description was that this perp was stalking this particular neighborhood, with these particular unsupervised Witt Elementary students, which happened to also include Jessica Ridgeway.. Just as Sarah Ridgeway(and other parents as well) have described is that within their neighborhood it was a very common, everyday occurence that different groups of children would walk to and from school everyday(not just the group of kids that Jess walked with but also other groups of kids that walked to the elementary school as well as the local middle school)..
It is these groups of children that imo this perp initially took notice of during his hunting phase for a new, revised version of his previously failed attempts at abducting.. In his seeking an alternate victim of a child he zeroed in on these couple of groups of kids that everyday he saw them walking to and from school.. This imo is the type planning, plotting, and stalking that took place leading up to the abduction.. Imo in time of his studying his new victim type he began to possibly note different details about the group of kids and then zeroing in on details about each of the kids individually.. Imo taking note of such things as his seeing the morning walk would likely work better as far as time allotted him prior to the child being noticed as missing..imo obviously morning would give him a better or longer window of time..also noting which child appeared to have the greatest distance for which they walked ALONE to the predetermined meeting spot where all the group would gather together at.. I believe that its likely this that truly honed him in on possibly just one or two children as prime targeted prospects..
Meaning that he possibly noted that with jess he possibly had a much better or longer window of opportunity from when she left out of the view of her home...to when she entered into close proximity and view of the meeting spot..its that small window of op that imo this perp not only studied but imo it was this that likely narrowed down his victim to quite possibly Jessica.. After narrowing it down, having taken some time during this hunting phase to become more familiar with the neighborhood and the basic morning timeline of those neighbors that lived in the direct line of where that window of opportunity would be.. Imo its all of these variables and details that make up the process of what is done and accomplished within the hunting phase for an organized abductor..much of the organized abduction is plotted by the perp, but imo as with all crimes of this nature so much of it still comes down to pure "luck", the way the cards fall, or in this case the coming together of what is plotted and planned meets with what cannot possibly be planned but rather is just left to happenstance..its when that premediation meets with happenstance of fate that creates the "perfect storm" that allowed for Jessica's abduction to be "successful" in many ways for this perpatrator..
This "perfect storm" as it was that morning was very much of an organized perpatrator..much of the perfect storm was due to his thorough plotting, planning, and changing of variables that had proved unsuccessful in earlier attempts... Thereby his changing up those variables and only making it that much more likely to be a successful abduction..
Tho, the "perfect storm" does very much consist of happenstance beyond the perpatrator's control that in this case aligned correctly for his benefit..it imo is very much the combination of both thorough premediatation and happenstance falling into place and without the organized, planning that was put into it the much more likely it would have been a failed attempt.. Without a doubt as briefly described above just in the "hunting phase" alone the amount of preparation for this particular abduction/murder is tremendous.. Imo it is in all phases and processes of this crime that this perp thoroughly premeditated...not just the hunting phase..
Imo his determination had only grown stronger from his prior failed attempts and thereby only further fueled his dedication to ensuring he not fail on this attempt.. Sadly it was Jessica Ridgeway that became the hunted prey for this monster and imo if not found and stopped he will only better hone his skills and only finely tune and tweak the variables in his once again beginning the hunting phase all over again..this monster gets off on every phase of this..the plotting, planning, hunting, execution, and unfolding within his community of all of his "work" displayed in the media.. He gets off on it ALL and without a doubt will strike again and again if not stopped..
All jmo.