Maine/Canada - Hurricane Lee, Sept 2023

[PayrollNerd]

The "fish spinner" just cracks me up. I am central east coast FL so the term fits.

Ha! I’m headed over your way to visit family. We may need to stand on the beach and blow air at the ocean. That’s what I’d tell my girls when they were little. Hurricane Lee might need a bit of persuasion to leave us alone! LOL!!

 

[Lexiintoronto]

Yesterday we were cautioned that it’s too early to tell whether Lee may hit us here in the Maritimes, but today we’ve been given a soft warning. If it continues on its expected path it’s going to first hit us here in Nova Scotia, likely on Saturday.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1700564768711413870

 

[JerseyGirl]

Hurricane Lee: 8 maps, models and satellite images detail the storm’s latest possible path

'The area in the United States that really needs to pay attention includes locations from the upper part of the mid-Atlantic coast to New England'

www.silive.com

 

[JerseyGirl]

Hurricane Lee's Risk To East Coast Rises: New Week-Long Projected Track

A new week-long projected track for Monster Hurricane Lee has been released as forecasters are now saying its risk to the East Coast has increased.

dailyvoice.com

As Lee turns northward next week dangerous surf will develop along the East Coast while the risk for direct impact rises in New England.

For a look at Lee's projected path through Saturday, Sept. 16

 

[PayrollNerd]

Current Storm Information | Tropical Tidbits

The latest information on active storms in the Atlantic Ocean

www.tropicaltidbits.com

Hurricane LEE
As of 18:00 UTC Sep 10, 2023:


Location: 21.9°N 61.4°W
Maximum Winds: 105 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 954 mb
Environmental Pressure: N/A
Radius of Circulation: N/A
Radius of Maximum wind: 15 nm
64 kt Wind Radii by Quadrant:

 

[Lexiintoronto]

This is from our most conservative meteorologist, Jim Abraham:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1701172756702720063

If he thinks we’re going to get hit here on the east coast, I personally believe him.
Current track:

Hurricane Track - Environment Canada

Tropical cyclone information track map showing storms currently tracked by the Canadian Hurricane Centre

weather.gc.ca

 

[JerseyGirl]

Hurricane Lee path update: Storm forecast to strengthen again before track makes big turn north

Forecasters say Hurricane Lee will likely cause rough surf and dangerous rip currents up and down the eastern seaboard, including the Jersey Shore.

www.nj.com

 

[Lexiintoronto]

From the CBC—the impact on Atlantic Canada:

“Folks should be preparing for a long duration event. This storm will be moving slowly, and so the impacts are likely to last 24 to 48 hours, beginning Saturday, continuing through Sunday and lingering into Monday.

This could be problematic, especially when it comes to the winds and potential for power outages to add up.”

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-scotia/lee-looking-more-likely-to-impact-maritimes-1.6962968?cmp=rss

 

[PayrollNerd]

Hurricane #Lee could bring a variety of hazardous conditions to the northeastern U.S. and southeastern Canada later this week, but how severe and widespread will depend on Lee's track and how quickly it approaches land.

An encouraging sign is that models expect Lee to slow down as it nears or enters the Gulf of Maine, which will cause it to pass over cold water north of the Gulf Stream (see image below) for a longer period of time than typically occurs with hurricanes in this region, which are usually fast movers. This could lead to max winds decreasing below hurricane force (74 mph) before they potentially move into land areas. However, the farther west Lee moves, the shorter its time over cold water will be, and the stronger its winds near New England could potentially be. With any luck, Lee will slow down far enough offshore to make this no worse than an average winter nor'easter in terms of wind impacts, but we don't know for sure, as this is still about 5 days out. I'll talk more about the possible outcomes in tomorrow's video discussion.

Regardless of the exact level of wind impacts, there will also be potential for heavy rainfall on the northwestern side of Lee that could spread well inland far from the storm center. Coastal flooding and other hazards from high surf, rip currents, and storm surge may also occur in some areas. Again, details will depend on Lee's exact track, which remains somewhat uncertain 5 days out.

There remains a range of possible outcomes in terms of impact severity from Lee, so preparing based on your local vulnerability to these hazards is probably a good idea just in case.

https://m.facebook.com/tropicaltidbits

 

[JerseyGirl]

Hurricane Lee's latest forecast: Projected path, maps and tracker

Hurricane Lee, which is churning through the Atlantic as a Category 3 hurricane, is expected to strengthen again on Monday and may near a Category 4.

abcnews.go.com

 

[HmmMysterious]

Lee is making me exhausted. The model uncertainty, the fluctuations in intensity, Lee's slow speed...whew. But it seems like an eye is once again starting to appear in the latest imagery

 

[JerseyGirl]

https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/hurricane-lee-poised-to-strike-atlantic-canada-but-new-englands-still-at-risk/1578336

Along the swath from Delmarva to New Jersey and Long Island, New York, there is a non-zero chance of Lee wandering in, but the chances will increase exponentially farther to the north in New England and reach a peak in Nova Scotia. These same areas will experience building offshore swells, coastal wave action, beach erosion, and rip currents from midweek to this weekend.

 

[Lexiintoronto]

We received our first official weather alert. Right now it’s a ‘moderate’ possible threat, which is better than Fiona last year. It’s moving slow, and it’s very wide. I’ve never been in a hurricane that’s expected to last this long once it hits.

Hurricane Track - Environment Canada

Tropical cyclone information track map showing storms currently tracked by the Canadian Hurricane Centre

weather.gc.ca

 

[JerseyGirl]

Hurricane Lee slowly weakens with most of Maine in forecast cone; Major coastal surf expected

Whatever the track of Hurricane Lee is, major coastal surf and high winds are expected late week and over the weekend.

www.wmtw.com

 

[Lexiintoronto]

Oh no, this guy is coming here.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1701741914163122562

 

[PayrollNerd]

I have lots of family in New England. An Aunt and her children in Harrington ME. Two brothers in Wells ME. Cousin in Kennebunk ME. Niece in Plymouth MA and she has a 10 y/o autistic son. He is high functioning but I still worry for them. That area has had a lot of rain and flooding this past week. A hurricane is just more pain for all of them.

This video gives a great synopsis of what could happen and what will likely happen.

Hurricane LEE
As of 18:00 UTC Sep 12, 2023:

Location: 24.5°N 66.2°W
Maximum Winds: 100 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 949 mb
Environmental Pressure: N/A
Radius of Circulation: N/A
Radius of Maximum wind: 30 nm
64 kt Wind Radii by Quadrant:

Tropical Tidbits

Tropical weather and Atlantic hurricane information, analysis, and forecasts by Levi Cowan.

www.tropicaltidbits.com

 

[Irishknit]

Oh no, this guy is coming here.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1701741914163122562

When Reed Timmer is showing up it is like Jim Cantore showing up on a coast of Florida.

 

[anneg]

I have lots of family in New England. An Aunt and her children in Harrington ME. Two brothers in Wells ME. Cousin in Kennebunk ME. Niece in Plymouth MA and she has a 10 y/o autistic son. He is high functioning but I still worry for them. That area has had a lot of rain and flooding this past week. A hurricane is just more pain for all of them.

This video gives a great synopsis of what could happen and what will likely happen.

Hurricane LEE
As of 18:00 UTC Sep 12, 2023:

Location: 24.5°N 66.2°W
Maximum Winds: 100 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 949 mb
Environmental Pressure: N/A
Radius of Circulation: N/A
Radius of Maximum wind: 30 nm
64 kt Wind Radii by Quadrant:

Tropical Tidbits

Tropical weather and Atlantic hurricane information, analysis, and forecasts by Levi Cowan.

www.tropicaltidbits.com

I alerted my son, who lives in Vermont, about Hurricane Lee. His in-laws own a small cottage on the Maine coast, and he was going to offer to go over and batten down the hatches. Haven't heard anything more yet.

 

[HmmMysterious]

Very concerning

https://x.com/reid_lt/status/1701766260382454028?s=20

 

[nhmemorymaker]

I have lots of family in New England. An Aunt and her children in Harrington ME. Two brothers in Wells ME. Cousin in Kennebunk ME. Niece in Plymouth MA and she has a 10 y/o autistic son. He is high functioning but I still worry for them. That area has had a lot of rain and flooding this past week. A hurricane is just more pain for all of them.

This video gives a great synopsis of what could happen and what will likely happen.

Hurricane LEE
As of 18:00 UTC Sep 12, 2023:

Location: 24.5°N 66.2°W
Maximum Winds: 100 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 949 mb
Environmental Pressure: N/A
Radius of Circulation: N/A
Radius of Maximum wind: 30 nm
64 kt Wind Radii by Quadrant:

Tropical Tidbits

Tropical weather and Atlantic hurricane information, analysis, and forecasts by Levi Cowan.

www.tropicaltidbits.com

I am in New England now...but far inland and west. However, Vermont has been inundated with rain this year, so not sure what to expect. I am watching so closely for my friends and relatives in ME, as well. And I have a best friend in Nova Scotia.... She just moved from Florida to Nova Scotia last year... and quite naturally, she felt she 'was getting away from hurricanes'......... sigh.