Looks like maybe I can post my theory here after all:
In 2006, Joey’s mother had gotten temporary custody of her kids because she made Joey seem crazy for talking to that man on the internet. Joey had been talking to a man who said he wanted her to pose as a fashion model, but then later said he wanted her to pose for *advertiser censored*. The video doesn’t go into details about everything he said, but it obviously was something that indicated he was a dangerous criminal because when Joey’s mother told the authorities, they gave her custody of Joey’s kids. If the man had merely been wanting to have sex with Joey, that would not have been grounds to take her kids away. They didn’t take Joey’s kids away just because they thought she was too mentally challenged to raise kids because later, they gave the kids back to Joey–after she had seen counselors and agreed not to talk to any more men on the internet.
Because of her brain defect, Joey doesn’t really understand that the man she was talking to was dangerous. She only pretended to understand and to agree with the counselors that she shouldn’t talk to men on the internet so she could regain custody of her children.
After arguing with Alexis about how she’s taking care of the kids on July 2, 2007, Joey is upset that he and her mother have the power to get custody of her kids. She thinks that if she can talk to the guy from the internet once again without any dangerous incidents occurring, that will give her proof that the guy was not really dangerous, thus taking away her mother’s and Alexis’ proof that she is an unfit parent and ensuring they cannot take her kids away.
On July 3, 4 or 5th, she gets in touch with the guy from the internet again. He’s actually part of an organized group of sex traffickers who lure in vulnerable women through the internet. He somehow gets the information of where she lives, either from her or from an internet search. Joey was last seen by the neighbors on the afternoon of July 5, and the hamburger meat was left out on July 5 at the latest.
On the night of July 5, the internet sex trafficker man and one or more accomplices show up at her house. Their plan is to kidnap her and force her to work as a prostitute.
They either break in or she lets them in willingly because she thinks they’re her friends and doesn’t know their plan. Once inside, they drug her or hit her to make her
unconscious. They don’t want to deal with the baby, and they don’t want it to cry and make a bunch of noise, so they kill it and leave it in the bathtub. She had to have
been removed from the house forcibly, and without the baby, because she left her purse, diaper bag, and baby seat. Her car keys were gone–but that’s because they took her keys out of her purse either on that night or when they went back the next night. She would never have gone with the men willingly without her baby.
Then they put her in their car and take her to a location where they will keep her for several days and force her to work as a prostitute. The day after the kidnapping, July 6, they start to think about the dead baby in the bathtub and the fact that people might stop by the house. They don’t want anybody to call the police or come looking for Joey because it might interrupt their money-making, so in the middle of that night, they go back to the house to get her car and lock up the house to make it look like nobody’s home, and Joey left of her own accord, so no one will enter the house or think she’s missing. There have to be at least two drivers each time the car is removed or dropped off because for instance, when dropping off the car, two people have to drive to the house, and one of them has to get out and get Joey’s car, and then both cars have to drive away. One person working alone would have had to walk all the way to her house to get the car, or drive their car there, leave it, get her car, drive away, and later walk back or take a cab back to get their car, all of which are unlikely. They’re doing these pickups/dropoffs in the middle of the night so they’re not seen. When they arrive at Joey’s house on the night of July 6, they may see the note left by the nurse on the front door, which makes them worry that government people are looking for her and might call the police. On July 7, at night, they return the car and leave it there all day Sunday because it needs to look to the neighbors like she’s still living there and coming and going on her own, but they don’t want any government workers to think she’s home and try to have to police open the door, and they figure there will be no government workers there on a Sunday.
On the night of July 8th, they remove the car again so the social worker won’t see it during the week. By July 11, they have realized it’s starting to look like she’s gone, and started to think that they can’t keep dropping off the car and picking it up because they might get caught doing that. They may see Alexis and the social worker talking to each other at the house, and realize the dead baby and Joey’s disappearance are about to be discovered. They need to stage her disappearance and the baby’s death in a way that will deflect any suspicion off of themselves. They decide to make it look like she killed the baby, then set her house on fire to cover up her crime while running away in her car.
On July 12 at 3:00 a.m., they return to the house in her car to set the house on fire. They use her car and hope that it will be seen at the house just before the fire so people will think Joey set the fire. They start a fire in the bathroom to make sure the baby’s body is good and burned because they are worried there will be some DNA evidence on the baby’s body. Also, they don’t want it to be known that the baby was already decomposing. They start another fire downstairs to make sure the whole house burns down and destroys any evidence of the kidnapping. After starting the fires, they leave Joey’s car in the apartment complex where they know she used to live because at one point she had told the guy she was talking to online about it. They think it will make it look like she had gone to join some old boyfriend with whom she had been having an affair in the apartments where she used to live with Alexis, and escaped with the boyfriend in his car while ditching her own car there.
After the fire, they know police will be looking for Joey. They begin to worry that one of the Johns who are paying to have sex with Joey will recognize her from photos on the news and call the police with an anonymous tip of where she is. They decide to move her to a foreign country where American TV and internet cannot be seen. I believe she's still alive and being forced to work as a prostitute in a foreign country.
