debs
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This has been a possible theory I have thought about, too.
Damage to the van-Chelsea stated she did not notice it-Lindsy said she noticed it soon after Haleigh's disappearance when (I assume) the van was driven to Tyler after Chelsea was called about Haleigh. Lindsy then called Chelsea to ask about the damage-Chelsea said she did not do it.
It's a possibility Haleigh may not of been properly secured and hit her head if there was an accident. No immediate signs of injury. When Misty described the Monday evening activities in one of the TM tests she stated Haleigh was riding her bike and (paraphrasing) "she was fine then". This statement has bothered me. Why wouldn't she be fine? Later on Haleigh could of been acting funny,(think Natasha Richardson) Misty noticed and called Ron or TN or AS. AS and Aunt
Elisa (who had a RN license-expired 7/08) were reported by Misty as being there that evening. I think this fact was not to be revealed and it wasn't until a week or so after Haleigh disappeared when the talk started flying about Misty not being home all night so AS stepped in and gave her an alibi. Didn't TN admit to calling AS and asking her to go to Green Lane with the reason being to take clothes to them?
Haleigh could have passed away and we all know what happens when death occurs explaining why the blanket would need to be washed. They all leave Green Lane and well, you know. Misty was told to turn her phone off so it wouldn't ping elsewhere. Jr. was told Haleigh was sick and sleeping and they were taking her to the dr. They don't want LE involved because Ron is responsible for the accident and could lose Jr. By this time TN has Misty and Jr. with her and drop them off at Green Lane, stage the scene, wait on Ron and call 911. Jr. sleeps through everything but is woken up when he hears Ron yelling. TN waits nearby, RC calls her and she arrives. She calls AS and she arrives.
That would explain why Haleigh never had pj's on-she never went to bed! What she was wearing was an overlooked detail in the planning. Misty does not know that Haleigh was not wearing the pink shirt (because she is not the one who removed it or put it where it was found) or forgets. Ron is upset and punches the door/wall whatever, I've heard both stories. The 20 phone calls to Misty and the call to Tommy was to set them up or maybe Ron called Tommy and asked him to remove anything he did not want LE to find from the home.
Ron denies Joe's presence at the home and the gun fight because he is part of the reason for Haleigh's fate and Ron doesn't want him linked to it but TN and Misty aren't filled in on this detail, that is why they stated it did happen, even Misty's parents did an interview blaming Joe, repeating the gun theft and Joe's threat to get even with Ron.
I think Tommy has an idea on who is responsible for what happened to Haleigh but doesn't know a lot of details. It's possible he didn't tell LE about Ron's phone call or his visit to the Green Lane home because Ron threatened him or paid him off in some way to keep his mouth shut. Ron denies asking Tommy to go to Green Lane (he denies everything except for he was at work) he only states he called to ask if Misty was there. It is not known if Tommy called Ron back or Ron called Tommy back after Tommy went to Green Lane house. I think there is no return phone call because Ron already knew Misty was not home and the only reason Tommy went there was to get rid of "stuff" and Ron does not want that known. After the incident in Welaka with Tommy and Ron's arrest I think Ron was scared Tommy was mad enough at him (for treating his sister bad) to spill the beans so Ron did the rat incident. The Saturday after the rat incident when Det. Merchant went to Welaka to speak to Ron AS stated Ron and Misty were in St. Augustine. (stated in police report) Not long after that it was known that that is where Ron's attorney is located-I can't recall right off if that is where Misty's lawyer is located, too.
Ron's first lawyer (Kimball) was no longer representing him. I believe that Ron and Misty were thinking Tommy was going to spill the beans and implicate them in Haleigh's disappearance so they retained lawyers right away. Does anyone know if Shoemaker is representing Ron pro-bono or not? Something Tommy said to Ron that night in Welaka made Ron go after him after AS had broken up the fight and Ron went inside. I have a very good idea what it was. I wouldn't be surprised if Ron threatened to hurt Misty or Tommy's children if Tommy tells and Ron finds out about it. I think Tommy wants to tell what he knows and it is possible he already has. I also think this is why there has also been a drastic change in him since Feb. It is eating away at him.
I don't put much into the dog scent trail because of the way the blankets were handled and the wind. The scent picked up could have belonged to someone else. I am not clear on what was used for the dogs to get the original scent, if it was bedding Ron slept on it could of been his scent the dogs picked, maybe he has walked to the river, Haleigh could have even been with him. Haleigh's scent the dogs picked up away from the river could of been from her taking a walk or riding her bike around the neighborhood.
One problem I have with this theory is that if an auto accident did happen I would think there would be witnesses who saw the accident unless they were in a secluded area.
This is just a theory I have based on people's certain actions, known facts gathered etc, etc.
This is a very well sorted theory, Twall. Kudos to you.