Rukmini Callimachi @rcallimachi
Correspondent for The New York Times covering ISIS
Rukmini Callimachi on Twitter
1. ISIS has claimed responsibility for a deadly car ramming in the former Soviet Republic of Tajikistan which killed four cyclists yesterday, including two Americans, as well as a Swiss and a Dutch national. The bulletin on Amaq was issued first in Arabic & later in French
2.
Like in numerous past claims, ISIS describes the attackers as "soldiers of the Islamic State," but then says that the assailants were "responding to calls to target citizens of Coalition countries," which is the phrasing they use to denote attacks inspired by their propaganda.
3.
Compare the phrasing of the Toronto attack with the phrasing of the Tajikistan attack and you'll see that they are almost identical:
4. Whereas in Toronto police say they have found no evidence of an ISIS-link to date, in Tajikistan officials are considering an extremist plot among the possible motives for the attack. Knives and guns were found with some of the suspects, according to the interior minister:
4.
At least one of the cyclists who survived the hit-and-run had a knife wound, suggesting the attackers had used the car to ram into the tourists & then had jumped out & stabbed at least one of the victims. That was the MO of the London Bridge attackers:
5. At the same time, Interior Minister Ramazon Rakhimzoda told
@AP on Monday that it was too soon to say if the incident was accidental or deliberate. However, in the same news conference, he referred to the hit-and-run as "an attack."
6. I don't have any other record of ISIS claiming an attack in Tajikistan. Perhaps I'm overlooking one
@charliewinter @einfal @SaladinAlDronni? That is an interesting dynamic given that Tajiks joined ISIS in large numbers and have been involved in other signature attacks.
7.
Assuming that this is the first attack claimed by ISIS in Tajikistan, allow me to point out how odd that is. Approximately 1,300 Tajiks travelled to join the jihad in Iraq & Syria, according to this table by @TheSoufanGroup. That's 1 of the largest tallies for a single country
8. Compare that number (1,300) to the number of Americans who made it to Iraq & Syria, a number that has varied from a few dozen to around 300 depending on who you ask. I trust
@SeamusHughes' research, which has identified just 55 American citizens and residents who joined ISIS.
BBM
IMHO the fact that the attack was filmed, was not a coincidence (what would the odds be??) but part of the planning.