The way they said this irritates me. I don't like it when either LE or the reporters (who knows where the exact wording actually comes from) say things like, "They have no evidence to suggest she left west Tennessee." (BTW, I support LE, so don't take that comment too seriously.) That doesn't mean anything. Does it mean they have evidence leading them to believe she did NOT leave that area? Or does it mean they have no evidence one way or the other? The way the word these things is misleading sometimes. Why tell us what they DON'T have evidence of? It doesn't really make sense. They don't have evidence of a lot of things, but it doesn't mean it didn't happen. I wonder if what they meant to say was that they have a reason to believe she didn't leave rather than they don't have a reason to believe she did?
This is all stictly my opinion, but here is why I think LE and family believe this is local.
Looking at this photo of the Bobo property
http://www.diigo.com/bookmark/http:...0of20property.jpg?tab=people&uname=casesignal
If the perp heads west from the carport(the treeline behind the carport is the what CB was quoted as saying) and since this is the closest cover, makes sense...then at some point they turn north, putting them quite close to Swan Johnson Rd which runs northwest and looks closer to the house at that point than at the actual driveway entrance. I think IF the perp's escape required crossing Swan Johnson, he would want to do it as soon as possible, to get accross that open area before the alarm has spread. It would also account for CB not seeing them when he came back out after the 911 call. In my experience, these things almost always happen exactly like you would think they would, like how people cut across the grass to avoid the 90 dregree angle of two sidewalks. Its just ingrained in most humans to take the path of least waste, especially in thick woods. Neighbors/population are obvious to the South from every map and picture Ive seen, so lets assume the perp comes in from/escapes to the north...leaving a vehicle either on the east or west side of the road, maybe or maybe not right off the road, and maybe or maybe not close to the house, but LE must have some idea where, which would indicate how long the escape took. Also Town is to the South, the most likely approach of police is from that direction..So perp reaches a vehicle and drives North to escape the immediate area. At some point they are at or near both Gooch Rd with lunchbag(remember though, this is found after first rain and near a creek) and at the site of the Easter evidence.
Any order is possible with the Easter evidence or the lunchbag left first. It could be driven both ways, however each of those ways suggest the perp heading in an different direction.
Suppose the Easter evidence is a cell phone, which was widely rumored(Sorry grandmaJ), I would think the perp tosses that out first because lots of people know that cell phone companies record GPS locations of customers, so that would worry the Perp. If that was tossed first, then it implies the perp must have headed North/North West, which agian, is away from population, and makes sense especally if he still has Holly. If we consider that Gooch road appears to be an isolated area and far enough away from the crime scene that the perp feels safe enough to re-secure HB, then we can now tie in the duct tape evidence also.
Still supposing the Easter Evidence is a cell phone, but now consider the lunchbag is tossed out first..The perp heads north from the crime scene, tosses out the lunchbag, and then South toward population and then tosses the easter evidence, but if it is a cell phone why hang onto it? Its way more dangerous to him than the lunch. I just dont buy this person is that careless.
North and West make more sense. I think LE and the family think this also, and I think its possible that looking at it this way connects the dots to area's that have been searched as well as to the RSO who tried to sell/scrap the truck a few days after the crime. I think that they very likely have a suspect, but not the evidence.
I think that if LE wants to more effectively use the public to help them find Holly, the best thing to do is to post a clear as possible timeline of the first hour/hours after the crime happened. For instance..someone may have seen something at one of the evidence locations, but at a time that seemed unrelated to the crime. We the public just don't know if its possible for the perp to have been seen at say Gooch Rd at 8am...maybe it is..and maybe somebody sees him...but doesn't think its possible for that to connected because its to early.
Also LE could release a most likely direction of travel..
Either of these things could help the public help Holly, without giving any of the "special" evidence away.
JMO
