WiseOwl
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@WiseOwl your post is great and sums up my thoughts exactly! There is no clear evidence either way that Leah was abducted OR disappeared herself so why then say ~
"My own theory? I think the most likely theory is that Leah has gone of her own accord on her own... I believe it is because of a decision she made herself."
It does seem that they have asked Mr X if there was a relationship and he has denied it and so they've just accepted that at face value and said "ok". Would you not just double check and look into it just to be 100% sure he was telling the truth? Something about this just does not sit right. Like @Skigh says it does look like Mr X is being protected.
Another thing I found interesting was this quote ~
"There is also the possibility that Leah had a second phone and was plotting to vanish - although this is a scenario the family of the quiet, home-loving teenager finds difficult to believe. But location settings were turned off at the eastern part of the lake the previous evening, when she mysteriously slipped out for a short time on Valentine's Day. They were never turned back on. Why?"
So we now know the night before she was again within the vicinity of the lake. So if this was a suicide why not do it the night before? Why come home and order a takeaway?
I looked on google maps and going by the new info out today that there was a sighting of Leah at Teletubbie hill at 8.20am if you put in the premier Inn address (where her phone was switched off at 8.34am) from teletubbie hill it's exactly a 14 minute walk!! 8.20 + 14mins = 8.34am!! I have a gut feeling whatever happened to Leah has something to do with that premier Inn, maybe she was meeting someone there? Also, if that's where her phone location services were turned off the night before then is that not the biggest coincidence???
I have attached a copy of the map and marked Teletebbie hill in red (TTH) and the Premier Inn in purple (PI). Teletubbie hill does not come up on goggle maps as a location so I have entered the nearest road which is loxbeare drive.
I looked up photos of the premier Inn on google maps and it quite clearly has several CCTV cameras one of which looks at though it is pointing directly at the footpath past the lake (if I am incorrect on this please feel free to correct me). I have attached photos from google maps to show what I mean. I also note around the back of the hotel there is a large number of large wheelie bins (just another possibility rolling around in my head).
The police have mentioned going door to door to peoples houses asking for CCTV or sightings of Leah. Yet looking at her route and the time her phone switched she was quite clearly in close proximity to the premier Inn, which is covered in CCTV cameras. Yet nothing has been mentioned about this (they may well have checked it and are just choosing to not to disclose that info) but going by DCI Howards comments he does not feel she was abducted so it seems to be Avenue they are not even willing to look at.
ALL MOO
Great detective work Holly in finding out Teletubbie hill to the Premier Inn is 14 minutes walk. As we now know Leah was seen at 8.20 at TT hill so it seems extremely likely she was at the Premier Inn at 8.34 that morning - possibly meeting someone in the car park?
Do you know if there are any CCTV cameras at the Premier Inn that overlook the car park? I would presume there would be.