Oddly, I have thought about Jayme Closs’ case a few times during all this. While the cases are different, an abduction, though her family was murdered, I’m reminded of how the perp targeted Jayme: It was simply just a matter of him driving by one day when she was getting off the bus and him seeing her, and iirc him basically getting it in his mind at that moment that he was going to come back for her. A simple random sighting, and he became fixated on her. That was all it took in her case. It could be something like that here, someone drove by and saw one of them and vowed to come back, or maybe saw them at another location, followed them home and found out where they lived, and planned to come back.
I still think all possibilities could exist here as far as the perp, a complete stranger, to someone who just saw one or some of them in passing, to an acquaintance, to someone being closely known to one or some of them, and degrees in between.
I was remembering a few times how sometimes the perp turns out to be a neighbor who was previously interviewed and cleared, cleared in the sense the neighbor didn’t set off any alarm bells at the time during regular canvassing.
One would think if it was a neighbor or someone very close by, that he would be caught with all the local attention, etc., but then there’s examples like Richard Allen in Abby’s and Libby’s case. I/we used to say if it’s someone in the area, he likely would have been caught by now, but that obviously isn’t the case. Of course that case is different, and there was audio and video (which didn’t turn out to be helpful as far as him being recognized locally), but you get the general idea. In other words, if he’s close, and just because LE doesn’t find him, it doesn’t mean he’s not there. He could be “hiding in plain sight”, as so many killers do. Or maybe he’s nowhere near, or in between, I frankly have no idea on this one, everything is on the table. But if I had to guess from a distance, I would guess he’s close by.
One never knows what’s going on behind the scenes. They could have some really strong leads, be watching persons of interest, who knows, or they could have nothing (yet) as far as concrete leads on the killer, but as we know an important part of the process is of course trying to cross people off the list, and new things are constantly coming to light I would think, especially with all the tips, etc.
They always say the level of rage, stabbing, is likely personal, but there have certainly been cases where people were stabbed to death without there being a personal connection between the victim and the perp.
As for knowing the layout of the house and possibly being in the house before, of course very possible, but if he knew where they lived, floor plans are available online as we know, so this isn’t a sure thing, imo. And even without that, random perps have entered houses way before the internet and done their deeds. Sure, are some scenarios possibly more likely, yes, but again, with the basic information we have, I’m not sure certain things can be taken for granted as being the case.
Could it be someone who felt slighted, jealous, rejected, etc. specifically by one/some of these victims? Of course, but it could also imo just be some random psycho or stranger.
So, in summary, a bunch of rambling that basically says who knows how this will turn out. The thing I think about a lot is how long will it take to catch this person.