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I simply MUST bring Chicken's post forward and am curious as to what people have to say:
((((great post chicken!!!))))
what I put in red is where I first start having questions... because in the affidavit DD (brother) says that knowing Hailey's experience level with the game she would have played until midnight
Regrouping, trying not to get tunnel visioned on SA and BD.
Runaway or abduction:
Still possible. LE, Clint and volunteers still searching for a live Hailey. Billie continues to appear on NG so Hailey's face is seen by up to 1 million people nationally. Billboards featuring Hailey's face appear along Highway 120.
Hailey harmed/removed from home:
SA is officially the first named suspect. He cannot be ruled out based on what we know now; he has means, motive and opportunity.
1. SA Means: SA has access to Hailey on 12/26 p.m. up until 4 p.m. on 12/27. No one else has seen her since that time. SA has ability to drug or overpower Hailey and get her out of the house late at night, in the morning, or in the daytime - won't take him long to move her once he knows the coast is clear. SA has a vehicle.
2. SA Motive: LE has a record of previous threats by SA against Hailey. Consistent statements made by family and friends that Hailey is afraid of SA and wants to move out of the house. This could be motive for runaway, what we all hope. This could be motive for SA to rid himself of the person who is complaining about him. Possible alternate motive: SA admits to fantasies of killing someone on MM site + SA admits obsession with horror + SA likes to role play horror scenes with masks, knives... Could he have crossed the line between fantasy into reality with Hailey as his victim?
3. SA Opportunity: Hailey is alone in the house when SA is supposed to be at work. He claims he is at mom's house after unexplained departure from work and that his uncle saw him. Cell phone pings indicate otherwise. SA has had opportunity to provide an alibi, but none is given to the public by SA or through BD. SA has a car to transport Hailey.
Billie is not named a POI in public. She is a main player in the case and most visible in MSM. She invited SA into her home and knowingly made a false statement to the public that SA was at work on 12/27. She initially supports SA, but seems to be unsure and distance herself as the investigation continues. Did she have some part in what happened to Hailey or did she not believe SA would harm Hailey and didn't want anyone else to suspect him? Remains to be seen, but LE needs to determine this - could be key in finding Hailey.
Until Hailey is found, SA belongs on the top of the suspect list - he is suspicious and cannot be ruled out. Billie should be a focus of sleuthing as well; she cannot be ruled out as being directly involved or being an accomplice at this time. She was at work 12/27 a.m., but no one other than she and SA have been confirmed to have seen Hailey since 9p.m. on Sunday, 12/26. Did something happen to Hailey when both SA and BD were in the home with Hailey on 12/26? If something happened on 12/27 when BD was at work, does she know about it?
Mind cleared; still open to all possibilities, but not ignoring those that are suspicious and can't be ruled out yet...
Makes perfect sense to me. I'd do the same thing. I don't want to over-read the photo, but my first impression was that Hailey looked left out, so to speak. I'm pretty sure the image would have struck me the same way even if the subjects were completely unknown to me.Two days prior to Hailey going missing. No, Hailey did not look happy. What I find strange is Billy's hand isn't even on her daughter. I know when I've been in pictures like this, I place my hand on my child's leg so as to include them. Does this make sense?
Where are these pics?
If Hailey quit the band then wouldn't have BD noticed that the saxophone (and case) were no longer around? Wouldn't the band director have asked that the instrument be returned (those ain't cheap)?
I think there are pesky little details in the back story here that might help. We heard mention of a "blow up" at Christmas. We never got any details but for a "blow up" there must have been pressure brewing. Its just the details of that pressure brewing that we have no knowledge of.
here is a great bit of info on interruption of service...
**imhoo he was in a remote area at this time**
((why do I think this? I don't think he was so savy.... erasing messages right in front of LE... he has no idea how the cell phone can be his worst enemy right now))
No waddles I only saw the one pic that belimom linked backthread where it is the 3 of them sitting.
ETA: so I don't post another post, I'm not really looking at facial expressions because I, myself, have had two 13 yr olds that were known to pull faces or not smile when having a picture taken. I'm looking at the placement of body. Arms...hands...such. Only in candid photos too. Any posing and it's a bit hard to decipher body language. KWIM? Just an observation.
thanks! What ppl think is a yellow stain is actually the date in yellow 12/25/2010
in the affidavit's we only got 'snippets' of the tower pings imhoo... we know his phone pinged off the same tower that Hailey's would use... than the 2.5 hr interruption in service.
my question...
did his phone ping off any towers during his drive between work and the home?
did his phone ping off any towers in between the interruption of service and when it was next picked up at his mother's house?
those "dead areas" for his provider coverage need to be searched thoroughly... moo
I'm with you. We have no credible signs of Hailey alive after 9pm Sunday Dec 26, and nobody checking to see where she is until Tues Dec 28.
At our school all band and orchestra instruments have to be rented from a local music store.
Orchestra are flat out rent because like with cellos and violins, the kids need a larger size as they get older.
Band instruments with the exception of a couple that change size like saxs i believe, they are flat out rent to own. 90% of your monthly rental payment goes towards paying off the total. If that makes sense.