Another example of an abduction gone bad is in New Mexico. Explained in the Albuquerque Journal 3/1/17 attempted abduction at secluded trail --the LaLuz trail. Peep abducted couple, forced them into trunk of car. One person was able to pull safety release and open trunk. He was shot. Girl tried to escape but was re-apprehended. Peep killed girlfriend in Mississippi (I think), killed a church worker and shot a bigger before the abduction. Cross country chase, more shooting and car hijacking, etc before apprehended. Read Albuquerque Journal for complete story. Also look at all posts regarding this perp to see how much he can change his appearance from one time to another.
The point of my post was to illustrate exactly what the perp in Ardmore had done.
1. Vehicles in Oklahoma only have rear plates. If you watched the second video that shows the surveillance you can see that he backed the car into the spot, closest available one to the exit of the parking lot.
2. Backing his car in also made his exit faster than his entrance as backing up (unless you do it completely blind) is slower.
3. He chose an intercept point straight across the road that was within a short distance to his car such that, success or fail, he has the best possible chance of getting to his means of escape.
This are important things to see because it demonstrates that people who do such things actually do some planning/preparation to mitigate risks and have a plan to get out quickly success or fail.
So, what, if anything can we determine about BG's thinking and preparation?
What was his mitigation plan to keep one or both girls from running?
Either one gets away then whatever he was going to do is out the window. We know the girls were not physically trapped where they were at the time of the video. We know when the video of BG was taken BG was some 70 feet away. If the girls had thought to run they would have had a large head start especially since the ties on a railroad bridge are not spaced for human walking (let alone running) but for supporting very heavy trains.
What happens should someone come down the trail to get on the bridge at the north side? What does BG do? What if the abduction is already in progress? What was the mitigation plan for those scenarios?
He certainly wouldn't be able to go back over the bridge. Anyone on the bridge or just at the north end has the high ground and would be able to watch where BG would go.
What if a car, or a delivery vehicle, whatever, came along the road that goes under the bridge? What does he do?
What if there was someone or even a few people further south of the bridge that BG didn't or couldn't see?
What happens if when BG and the girls get to the south bank of the creek and there is one or more persons that can be seen over on the other side? What happens then?
He certainly wouldn't be able to see the area where the girls were found from where they were at the end of the bridge. Wouldn't be able to see into that area until almost at the banks of the creek. This would seemingly be the worst possible spot for things to go wrong. He would have to back track all the way.
Success or fail: How close was his means of escape? What were his options for getting to his means of escape?
If we go with the prevailing theory of the flow of the crime it would appear that BG came armed with the plan of going through the 35-38 degree water of the creek if it was a success. I could see crossing the creek as an escape plan B if things went wrong but doing so if things went right? Who thinks like that?
Obviously BG, if things happened as theorized and something like that should inform any profile of BG.
If the vehicle of interest at the CPS was BG's just how fast could he get there if things went bad? 10 minutes? 15 minutes? Both of those are a long time for law enforcement to arrive. Someone could follow BG at a distance just to keep him in sight and relay that information. If someone were on the other side of the bridge it would possibly preclude that option for getting out of there. Would such a scenario force BG to go the long way around staying on the South Side? But at the same time someone who had seen/interrupted this crime could easily follow along the north side keeping BG in sight.
While it is true that there wasn't an interruption, the girls didn't run, someone didn't come along to spook BG and scare him off but that does not mean that BG could count on, let alone know in advance, that everything would fall into place.
I have trouble especially with the idea that BG would chose an intercept point that wouldn't be in sight of, or a very short and easy path to, his means of escape if something went wrong.
If his means of escape were on the South Side then that has the some problems as well if the prevailing theory of the crime flow is true especially if things went wrong after crossing the creek, though he would be closer to a means of escape.
These are the kinds of things I try to work through.